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Axel Dreher

@adreher.bsky.social

Professor of International and Development Politics, Editor of RIO. #china, #aid, www.axel-dreher.de.

33 Posts3322 Follower796 Folgt
Political Science Department at Northwestern University@polisciatnu.bsky.social · last mo.

What impact does the rise of lawyers have on the design of international cooperation? Recent Ph.D. & UT-Arlington Prof. Bo Won Kim joins @syracuseu.bsky.social Prof. Minju Kim @minjulisettekim.bsky.social via @the-peio.bsky.social doi.org/10.1007/s115...

Arbitrators as advisors: Evidence from changes in investment treaty design - The Review of International Organizations

The international investment regime is increasingly reliant on the expertise of lawyers. What impact does the rise of lawyers have on the design of international cooperation? We argue that lawyers can advise states to create international investment agreements (IIAs) that lower institutional barriers, making it easier for investors to access legal dispute resolution. Using an original dataset of 479 arbitration practitioners registered with the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes from 1974 to 2023, along with a newly constructed dataset measuring investors’ access to legal dispute settlement, we find that states with a larger pool of arbitration practitioners are more likely to amend their treaties in a way that eases investors’ access to Investor-State Dispute Settlement (ISDS). We also find support for our theory through interviews with arbitration practitioners. Our findings can explain why states maintain investor-friendly ISDS clauses, even after suffering losses from previous ISDS disputes. The growing reliance on lawyers can reshape and professionalize international cooperation beyond the purview of states.

doi.org

Axel Dreher@adreher.bsky.social · 2w ago

Do higher oil prices fuel conflict? New column with Maximilian Herrmann and Jingke Pan: organized violence moves toward oil locations and away from nearby areas, while protests spread outward. Aggregation can hide the resource curse:

VoxEU @ CEPR@voxeu.org · 2w ago

Maximilian Herrmann, Jingke Pan, & @adreher.bsky.social show that oil price shocks change where violence happens by pulling organised conflict towards petroleum fields. Aggregate conflict statistics can look calm while the local map of violence changes. cepr.org/voxeu/column... #EconSky

The map shows, for each oil-bearing grid cell in the sample, the predicted decline in conflict probability had oil prices remained at their December 1998 level instead of rising to their July 2008 peak. Cells are grouped at cut-offs of 36% and 45%, the 25th and 75th percentiles of positive predicted effects: 938 cells show predicted declines of up to 36%, 1,874 cells between 36% and 45%, and 932 cells above 45%. Oil price shocks do not simply make conflict more likely everywhere; they change where violence happens. Using monthly georeferenced data for 131 low- and middle-income countries from 1989 to 2021, this column shows that higher oil prices pull organised conflict towards petroleum fields, while protests and attacks rise around refineries and pipelines. Aggregate conflict statistics can therefore look calm while the local map of violence is being redrawn.
Axel Dreher@adreher.bsky.social · last mo.

New RIO (@the-peio.bsky.social) editor: Christopher Kilby After more than 20 years as editor of the Review of International Organizations, I'm stepping back from new submissions. As of today, Christopher will take them over. I will continue with resubmissions for papers I originally handled.

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International Organization@iojournal.bsky.social · last mo.

New research note: Santi Foncillas, Erasmus Kersting & Christopher Kilby, "Dirty Work and the Domestic Politics of Aid" When rewarding or punishing other countries, why does the U.S. sometimes use bilateral aid and other times work through the World Bank? [1/3] www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Dirty Work and the Domestic Politics of Aid | International Organization | Cambridge Core

Dirty Work and the Domestic Politics of Aid

cambridge.org

Axel Dreher@adreher.bsky.social · 2mo ago

What happened after the USAID shutdown? New GODAD paper by Marcella Nicolini and Fabio Sabatini: exposed African regions saw falling nightlights and rising acute food insecurity, especially where vulnerability was high and institutions weaker. godad.me godad.uni-goettingen.de/uploads/GODA...

GODAD

Geocoded Official Development Assistance Dataset

godad.me

Fabio Sabatini@fabiosabatini.bsky.social · 2mo ago

The impact of the USAID shutdown on Africa, as seen from space and on the ground. M. Nicolini and I study the effects of the aid cuts by linking GODAD data on USAID projects to satellite-based measures of economic activity and IPC food insecurity indicators. 👉 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... 1/11

IE Political Science Department@iepolisci.bsky.social · 6mo ago

We are very excited that the 18th @the-peio.bsky.social conference will be held at IE's Segovia campus next weekend. More information at www.peio.me

Political Economy of International Organization – PEIO

peio.me

Axel Dreher@adreher.bsky.social · 7mo ago

Program and papers for the 18th PEIO (@the-peio.bsky.social, IE University, Jan 29-31) are now online at www.peio.me. Thanks to Zoe Ge, Nikitas Konstantinidis and Irene Menéndez González for hosting us! @iepolisci.bsky.social

Lisa Dellmuth@lisadellmuth.bsky.social · 10mo ago

🙌 Recommended reading: rising powers can use international organisations to improve their image among foreign publics. These efforts may have negative effects on the perceived legitimacy of international organisations. Based on novel survey #Brazil #China #polisky @the-peio.bsky.social 👇

link.springer.com

Sabrina B. Arias@sabrinabarias.bsky.social · 10mo ago

This has stark implications for global governance: if China steps into a more prominent leading role in the US-left vacuum, IOs must aggressively assert their independence to prevent legitimacy erosion. See the full article here! tinyurl.com/4r98wktt 5/5 @womenalsoknowstuff.bsky.social

Chris Earney@chrisearney.bsky.social · 11mo ago

We're increasingly using data on donor funding trends & combining it with strategic foresight to understand what the state of multilateralism could plausibly be in the coming years. This analysis from @the-peio.bsky.social on government donor funding is very interesting: bit.ly/4mkkUqB

The far right and international organizations: How the far right in government affects foreign aid funding - The Review of International Organizations

The far right is on the rise, winning elections, entering governments globally, and politicizing international cooperation. Existing research finds only very limited effects of far-right governments o...

bit.ly

Prof. Kai Gehring@kaigehring.bsky.social · 8mo ago

Two days left to register, on site or online. Thanks for sharing @juliegwen.bsky.social @dinapomeranz.bsky.social @bachmannrudi.bsky.social @adreher.bsky.social @wyssacademy.bsky.social @dlangenmayr.bsky.social

Prof. Kai Gehring@kaigehring.bsky.social · 8mo ago

Disasters are rising, while poor households remain least insured. On 10 Dec 2025 we discuss how to protect them through better insurance and anticipatory action at Wyss Academy Bern with World Bank experts. Join on site or online. Register here: forms.office.com/Pages/Respon...