Maryland Election results just became official. Final Presidential Result: Harris 62.6% Trump 34.1% Final U.S. Senate Result: Alsobrooks 54.6% Hogan 42.8%
Janelle Bynum beat Lori Chavez-Deremer for the third time this year in OR05, her first congressional race. Deschutes and Clackamas were both a few points bluer than in 2022 while GOP margins dropped in Marion and Linn. LCD did manage to flip the tiny 12-person sliver of Jefferson County, though!
Colorado narrowly voted against establishing a State Constitutional right to school choice this year. The amendment, which needed 55% to pass, only got 49% and failed in several rural counties that heavily backed Trump (albeit overperforming in Democratic areas).
The 2024 US Senate Election in Hawaii, a comfortable 32.7% win for two term incumbent Mazie Hirono in the Aloha state against Former State Representative Bob McDermott saw the Senator Rout the former State Rep, doing R+9.6% worse than her reelection in the 2018 Blue Wave
Old map I made comparing vote results of the 2015 and 2019 federal elections in City of Vancouver 2019 was a unique election as independent Jody Wilson-Raybould won Vancouver Granville She seemed to take votes from every party Inspired by @jmilescoleman.bsky.social Made using #rstats and #rstudio
PROVO 2024 FINAL MAPS 2024 Trump 56% - Harris 38% (R +18) 2020 Trump 55% - Biden 37% (R +18) 2020-2024 Swing=0 Blue swings in educated neighborhoods Edgemont/Indian Hills/Pleasant View, Grandview, Provost, Tree Streets +newer ones NW Downtown, Lakeview S. Note: 2020-2024 boundary changes/CBG adj.
BOUNTIFUL & PROVO, UTAH: GOP vote share plummets since dawn of MAGA era in 2016 in mostly LDS, highly-educated suburban cities GOP Vote (Lean vs. Utah) 2004 Bountiful 78% (+7) 2024 Bountiful 53% (-7) 2004-2024 Chg.=-25.5 (-13) 2004 Provo 82% (+11) 2024 Provo 56% (-4) 2004-2024 Chg.=-26.5 (-15)
Great explainer from @jmilescoleman.bsky.social at the @center4politics.bsky.social on how Virginia, particularly my home county Loudon, explains Trump’s win. centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
How Virginia Illustrates the 2024 Election - Sabato's Crystal Ball
In 2024, Kamala Harris held Virginia by about a 52%-46% margin, which was several points worse than Joe Biden's 2020 showing in the state. However, as Harris lost ground in Northern Virginia, she rema...
centerforpolitics.org
Great Virginia 2024 roundup Part of story is growth stalling in inner NOVA bc of housing and cost issues Areas getting more blue compared to 2016 saw more growth People going down I-95 to Stanford/Spotslyvania even down to Richmond or Hampton Roads areas centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
How Virginia Illustrates the 2024 Election - Sabato's Crystal Ball
In 2024, Kamala Harris held Virginia by about a 52%-46% margin, which was several points worse than Joe Biden's 2020 showing in the state. However, as Harris lost ground in Northern Virginia, she rema...
centerforpolitics.org
Crystal Ball -- Demystifying the Senate "undervote" in 2024 -- how what we saw (smaller vote totals than the presidential race, winners getting fewer votes than their party presidential candidate, etc.) fits in with history centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
The 2024 Senate Undervote: Not High By Historical Standards - Sabato's Crystal Ball
The size of this year's "undervote" in Senate races was very similar to what we have seen in other recent presidential cycles
centerforpolitics.org
Everyone needs to follow @jmilescoleman.bsky.social. Great guy who seems to know his stuff about politics and elections. He definitely deserves a bigger following than he has 😉
THREAD on the decisive House District 172: A New Kind of Pennsylvania Battleground (1/11)