Miles Coleman

@jmilescoleman.bsky.social

Janelle Bynum beat Lori Chavez-Deremer for the third time this year in OR05, her first congressional race. Deschutes and Clackamas were both a few points bluer than in 2022 while GOP margins dropped in Marion and Linn. LCD did manage to flip the tiny 12-person sliver of Jefferson County, though!

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Colorado narrowly voted against establishing a State Constitutional right to school choice this year. The amendment, which needed 55% to pass, only got 49% and failed in several rural counties that heavily backed Trump (albeit overperforming in Democratic areas).

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The 2024 US Senate Election in Hawaii, a comfortable 32.7% win for two term incumbent Mazie Hirono in the Aloha state against Former State Representative Bob McDermott saw the Senator Rout the former State Rep, doing R+9.6% worse than her reelection in the 2018 Blue Wave

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PROVO 2024 FINAL MAPS 2024 Trump 56% - Harris 38% (R +18) 2020 Trump 55% - Biden 37% (R +18) 2020-2024 Swing=0 Blue swings in educated neighborhoods Edgemont/Indian Hills/Pleasant View, Grandview, Provost, Tree Streets +newer ones NW Downtown, Lakeview S. Note: 2020-2024 boundary changes/CBG adj.

Provo, Utah: 2024 Pres. Election ResultsProvo, Utah: 2020 Pres. Election ResultsProvo, Utah: 2020 Pres. Election Results Mapped Onto 2022 BoundariesProvo, Utah: Precinct Swings in 2020-2024 Pres. Election Results
Jacob S. Rugh@jakerugh.bsky.social · 2y ago

BOUNTIFUL & PROVO, UTAH: GOP vote share plummets since dawn of MAGA era in 2016 in mostly LDS, highly-educated suburban cities GOP Vote (Lean vs. Utah) 2004 Bountiful 78% (+7) 2024 Bountiful 53% (-7) 2004-2024 Chg.=-25.5 (-13) 2004 Provo 82% (+11) 2024 Provo 56% (-4) 2004-2024 Chg.=-26.5 (-15)

Great Virginia 2024 roundup Part of story is growth stalling in inner NOVA bc of housing and cost issues Areas getting more blue compared to 2016 saw more growth People going down I-95 to Stanford/Spotslyvania even down to Richmond or Hampton Roads areas centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...

How Virginia Illustrates the 2024 Election - Sabato's Crystal Ball

In 2024, Kamala Harris held Virginia by about a 52%-46% margin, which was several points worse than Joe Biden's 2020 showing in the state. However, as Harris lost ground in Northern Virginia, she rema...

centerforpolitics.org

Crystal Ball -- Demystifying the Senate "undervote" in 2024 -- how what we saw (smaller vote totals than the presidential race, winners getting fewer votes than their party presidential candidate, etc.) fits in with history centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...

The 2024 Senate Undervote: Not High By Historical Standards - Sabato's Crystal Ball

The size of this year's "undervote" in Senate races was very similar to what we have seen in other recent presidential cycles

centerforpolitics.org