tj nightmahr 🧟‍♂️

@tjmahr.com

data scientist studying how kids learn to speak, dad, jump roper, bayesian, husband to @amandawalrus.bsky.social, tjmahr.com, Madison, WI

"(1) the moral panic used to justify preregistration to begin with is largely manufactured and not evidentiary, (2) there is more evidence that stereotype threat is real than there is that preregistration passes its own manipulation check,...."

I’ve Read the Evidence People Sent Me In Favor of Preregistration. Here’s My Response.

It moved the needle a little bit, but not enough for me to grant preregistration the central place its proponents believe it should have.

theapologeticprofessor.substack.com

Not to be a broken record here, but he's doing this because the the sexual abuse of children is a policy goal of the Republican Party. They do it themselves, their elected officials use their powers of office to ensure it continues, their primary electorate punishes dissidents on the issue.

Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc)@purrtah.bsky.social · 3h ago

Vivek is doubling down and doing a $4m ad buy for the Acton Mom ad which has been widely debunked and faced bipartisan backlash www.axios.com/2026/10/21/r...

there's something so "here, look, I brought you a dead rat" about this move. Like you _really_ have to not be thinking about what your interlocutor might be after conversation-wise to think they probably want you to be a cut-and-paste intermediary for them

Karl Bode@karlbode.com · 10h ago

I've had several interactions with people in the last month where we're discussing something and the person just unloads a wall of AI slop copy and pasted from Claude or Gemini as if that passes for formulating your own opinion and conversing about something

# R frame_num = frame_num[which.max(prob)] # dbplyr into duckdb frame_num = ARG_MAX(frame_num, sql("prob ORDER BY frame_num")) prefer the duckdb version, although i wish the ordering was a tie-breaking/ordering was a third argument

From 1982-2018 the RNC that Rodgers invokes was under a federal consent decree that restricted its ability to engage in "ballot security measures" to intimidate voters. This is why. There is a reason Rodgers talks about Detroit and no other part of the state. Same reason as always.

Headquarters@headquartersnews.bsky.social · yesterday

Leaked audio: Michigan Republican Mike Rogers asking for officers at polling stations to intimidate voters "We called the RNC early and said hey... Let's put police officers, retired or off-duty police officers as our poll watchers in Detroit because go ahead, try to intimidate them. Please."

I am hiring! There are probably about ~12 people in the world who meet exactly what I'm looking for, so we're open to considering teaching a 13th person to do what I do provided they already have a strong background in Bayesian statistics (non-negotiable) docs.google.com/document/d/1...

Data Scientist ML Job Description

Data Scientist (ML Engineering) Company: Botsi Location: United States, Canada, or Latin America (Remote) About Botsi Botsi is building the AI layer that helps consumer apps show the right offer to th...

docs.google.com

part of me just wants to have a coding agent go through a very stable r package of mine and add type assertions or more examples or more tests, but that's just kinda busywork / productive procrastination though