Libbie Goult

@egoult.bsky.social

PhD student in infectious disease epidemiology - Max Planck Institute for Infection Biology & Charité Berlin. Interested in vaccine-preventable diseases and mathematical modeling.

Measles cases have been surging over the short term despite massive declines in deaths over the long term. Even over the short term, the resurgence in cases has disproportionately been in countries with better access to care, so deaths have not increased as sharply.

Measles deaths down 88% since 2000, but cases surge

Global immunization efforts have led to an 88% drop in measles deaths between 2000 and 2024, according to a new report from the World Health Organization (WHO). Nearly 59 million lives have been saved...

who.int

Measles is horrible. It has already impacted thousands of young kids. This will only grow as vaccines become less accessible. And when measles is joined by epidemics of rubella, mumps, and polio, we will see children suffer and die at national scale. www.nbcnews.com/health/healt...

Day care measles exposure forces Iowa family to take weeks off work for baby: 'It only takes one'

There have been at least 1,309 confirmed cases of measles in the U.S. this year. Hundreds or thousands of other families have most likely had their lives upended after being exposed.

nbcnews.com

First confirmation of #WestNileVirus in mosquitoes in the UK, in an Aedes species. Risk to public still very low, but highlights huge importance of having robust mosquito surveillance and response programmes in place. @mosquitoscotland.bsky.social submit.forms.service.gov.uk/form/3652/re...

Mosquito Scotland Project@mosquitoscotland.bsky.social · last yr.

📢Breaking news - @ukhsa.bsky.social confirms 1st detection of #WestNileVirus particles in mosquitoes in the UK. This is a zoonotic virus that usually spreads in birds, but very occasionally infects people. Risk to UK public is extremely low, no detection in Scotland yet www.gov.uk/government/n...

A tricky thing about modern society is that no one has any idea when they don’t die. Like, the number of lives saved by controlling air pollution in America is probably over 200,000 per year, but the number of people who think their life was saved by controlling air pollution is zero.

Ontario is now reporting 440 measles cases in 2025 so far, compared to 64 in 2024, and 101 between 2013 and 2023. The vast majority of infections are in unvaccinated individuals. The measles vaccine is free, widely available, highly effective and backed by decades of safety data.

Bild
Isaac Bogoch@isaacbogoch.bsky.social · last yr.

Ontario is currently experiencing a measles outbreak, with the vast majority of cases occurring in unvaccinated individuals who were eligible to receive both doses of the vaccine. The measles vaccine is safe, free, widely available, and very effective.

And measles is really dangerous. It can kill directly through encephalitis or pneumonia. And it can still kill years later through SSPE, a terrible death. "If people ever saw that up close, and I've seen about five cases in my life, they would get a measles vaccine", @pauloffit.bsky.social told me.

Consider applying to 2nd ESPIDAM summer program on infectious disease modelling, 23-27 June, in beautiful Stockholm! Covering many exciting topics (AI & ID, now/forecasting, networks, within-host models, data analysis...). So much to learn and great scientific discussions! www.math.su.se/espidam

Matematiska institutionen

2nd ESPIDAM is a summer program for PhD students, Post Docs, Public Health scientists and others interested, supported by Stockholm University and the Nordic Research Council NordForsk.

math.su.se

Check out this new paper by my friend and colleague (who isn't on Bluesky yet...) Laura Barrero Guevara on #causalinference!! 🥳💃

Domenech de Cellès lab@domenech-lab.bsky.social · 2y ago

How does weather affect the transmission of #infectiousdiseases, and how can we predict the effects of #climatechange on them? Our new article in @natureportfolio.bsky.social Ecology & Evolution explores these questions using #causalinference and #transmissionmodels. See the 🧵for more! (1/10)

Thrilled to share my PhD research on #measles vaccine schedules, out now in @natureportfolio.bsky.social! 🥳

Domenech de Cellès lab@domenech-lab.bsky.social · 2y ago

When should children get vaccinated against #measles? Is there an optimal age? If so, what affects this optimal age? In our new #NatureComms paper, led by @egoult.bsky.social, we explore these questions using #mathematicalmodeling: rdcu.be/d0ktY. Read the 🧵 for a summary of our findings 👇 (1/8)