Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte

@turnbulldugarte.com

[trying to spend less time on social media] #ihadablackdog https://youtu.be/XiCrniLQGYc?si=q-gQTNXfScmgtl4k

With @aleferna.bsky.social we use an UESD to see if there are any (very early) signs that Sánchez's political gamble looks it has moved the dial. We can learn a lot from some UESDs. In this one, what we learn a little and that is that not much has changed.

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LSE European Politics@lseeuroppblog.bsky.social · 2d ago

Did Pedro Sánchez’s announcement of snap elections in Spain change support for any of the main Spanish parties? ✍ @turnbulldugarte.com & Alejandro Fernández-Roldán blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...

More evidence of the downstream effects of far-right electoral victories: increased discrimination by street-level bureaucrats in access to healthcare, undermining "impartiality and equal access to essential services". doi.org/10.1017/S000...

APSR Article: When Politics Enters the Waiting Room: Far-Right Electoral Victories Exacerbate Discrimination in Access to Healthcare
MERLIN SCHAEFFER, ALESSIO ROMARRi, DINA ROSENBERG and KRZYSZTOF KRAKOWSKI

Abstract
Far-right political shifts have been linked to increased racism, raising concerns about their impact on minority access to public services. This study investigates whether far-right electoral victories encourage discrimination by street-level bureaucrats, who are expected to act impartially. We conducted a nested research design in Italy, combining a field-experimental audit with a regression discontinuity design focused on municipalities near the electoral threshold for far-right mayors. Research assistants with native-Italian and West-African accents contacted municipal healthcare offices to request registration with a general medical practitioner. Compared to native-Italian callers, those with West-African accents faced significantly higher rates of scrutiny and dismissive responses. Leveraging close elections, we find that this disparity was exacerbated in municipalities where far-right candidates narrowly won. These findings demonstrate that far-right electoral success can undermine impartiality and equal access to essential services.
Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR@cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 6d ago

#OpenAccess from @apsrjournal.bsky.social - When Politics Enters the Waiting Room: Far-Right Electoral Victories Exacerbate Discrimination in Access to Healthcare - https://cup.org/4zar1W1 - @mschaeffer.bsky.social, @alessioromarri.bsky.social, DINA ROSENBERG & KRZYSZTOF KRAKOWSKI #FirstView

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Updating my slide-deck for tomorrow's internal-party-politics class. I suspect the gap between member-sourced and donor-sourced income will be dwarfed for Reform when I repeat this task in a years' time and the Ben Delo donation appears in the 2026 accounts filing.

How did Europeans react to Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs? New registered report (forthcoming, JEPS): a UESD design using a Eurobarometer survey in the field when the tariffs hit. US favorability fell 2.9 pts No change in EU attachment No shift in support for retaliation or rules-based trade

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Three years ago VOX underperformed compared to their 2019 ceiling. We won't see this in Nov - they will pass 2019 this time. I would wager we also won't see the below-avg. turnout we saw in 2023. Election during mass protest seems pretty inductive for high turnout blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...

Social democracy resists and the far-right flops in Spain - LSE European Politics

Spain's 2023 general election produced vindication for the country’s Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, and a major defeat for the far-right party Vox.

blogs.lse.ac.uk

Excited to present this talk tomorrow. If you're interested in attending drop me a DM and will share the link.

Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte@turnbulldugarte.com · 2mo ago

Do LGBTQ+ individuals take a nativist turn after Islamist violence? Does the general pop. increase support for the LGBTQ+ community? We, with @wurthmann.bsky.social & @grahn.bsky.social, answer these Qs with a pre-reg. RDiT around the Berlin attack which I'll present at the next QPW on Oct 8th.

Anti-Prime Day starts…NOW! 🥳 Today through midnight on 10/7, enjoy free shipping site-wide, all while supporting local, independent bookstores.

Why do green parties struggle electorally despite widespread support for climate action? My new (first 😱) paper explores why green parties remain uniquely challenged in economic crisis & that the mechanism is not only about sociotropic concerns, but also voters’ pocketbooks 🧵 doi.org/10.1017/S147...

Pocketbook politics and climate action: How economic strain reduces support for green parties | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core

Pocketbook politics and climate action: How economic strain reduces support for green parties

doi.org

You might not like him, but Sánchez knows how to play Spain is experiencing mass protests on housing crisis. Sánchez says: let's accelerate intro. of two reforms. Congress says: you don't have enough votes. Sánchez says: suspend e-voting in congress & make every MP stand up on camera to say "no"...

RTVE Noticias@rtvenoticias.rtve.es · last mo.

🔴 El Congreso acepta la petición de PSOE y Sumar de que los decretos de vivienda se voten en voz alta y por llamamiento