📢 New paper out in Party Politics with Francesco Bromo, @paridecarrara.bsky.social, and @paologambacciani.bsky.social 📉 What happens when MPs lose their political incentives to be loyal to their party? 1/3 🔽

My first dissertation paper is out in Sexuality Research and Social Policy — open access! 🎉 It's about trans inclusion in sports and what fairness concerns actually do to public support. link.springer.com/article/10.1... Short thread below 👇

🚨 New article out! “Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social 👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000... We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany. Short summary thread below 👇

📢 My last PhD paper is out in Legislative Studies Quarterly 📢 📌 Main finding ➡️ Party control of speaking time in parliament limits MPs’ geographical focus ➡️ Open access increases constituency representation 🔗 Read it open access here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

@eavigano.bsky.social, Bruno Della Salla, Stefan Stojkovic, & Nils-Christian Bormann: In interwar Italy, violence boosted Fascist support at the polls but weakened the radical left. Suggests violence asymmetrically empowers nationalist, radical-right parties. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

Political violence and anti-system voting in interwar Italy - Edoardo Alberto Viganò, Bruno Della Sala, Stefan Stojkovic, Nils-Christian Bormann, 2025

What is the effect of political violence on electoral support for anti-system parties? We argue that the effect of violence is asymmetric and predominantly bene...

journals.sagepub.com

🚨🚨🚨Announcing a special issue on “Political Violence in Democracies” published by @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social and edited by @andrearuggeri.bsky.social, U Daxecker, and me. In this very long 🧵, I will introduce the special issue with its 14 articles. doi.org/10.1177/0022...

Political violence in democracies: An Introduction - Andrea Ruggeri, Ursula Daxecker, Neeraj Prasad, 2025

It is well established that democracies experience less political violence than autocracies. Paradoxically, however, this widely accepted fact has led scholars ...

doi.org

⛏️ After a LOT of digging, here's what I found: 🚩 5 estimates outside their CI 🚩 46 estimate-CI duplicates 🚩 20+ cases of asymmetric CIs 🚩 17 values rounded to 4 decimal places (all others 3dp) 🚩 >50% of all estimates and confidence intervals are multiples of 0.008 (???) (CI = confidence interval)

🚨 Very happy to have a new paper out in @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social‬ with @bdellasala.bsky.social‬, Stefan Stojkovic & Nils-Christian Bormann Using data from interwar Italy, we show that political violence has asymmetric effects: it benefits the radical right while weakening the radical left ⬇️

Together with @paugrau.bsky.social, we have just posted our first Substack, which is our quick take on the outcome of the labour rights and citizenship referendums in Italy on 8-9 June 1/ open.substack.com/pub/simonhix...

Divide and Lose

One Reason Why Italy’s Progressives Lost the June 2025 Referendums

open.substack.com

Our newest piece on BSW is now published. We show that when attitudes toward Wagenknecht come into the game, policies are no longer that meaningful in predicting behaviour. Personalisation in a personalised party! What a surprise! 😀 @sarahwagner.bsky.social www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10....

I missed this last month, but the Golder/Bormann Democratic Electoral Systems dataset has an update to v5.0, and now includes democratic elections from 1919 to 1945 mattgolder.com/elections

Elections

DES Version 5.0 (1919-2020) Nils-Christian Bormann and I are releasing version 5.0 of the Democratic Electoral Systems (DES) dataset. The new dataset is the same as DES 4.2 but expands the time per…

mattgolder.com

🚨New article🚨 Why does the ethnic majority expect that ethnic minorities "free ride" and contribute less to the collective? In a new article in @bjpols.bsky.social, I show that negative expectations are driven by the correlates of ethnicity rather than ethnicity itself 🧵👇 OA-link: cup.org/4lOX7jN

🚨 We’ve released the Archive of Interwar Europe Election Data and Assemblies (AIEEDA) 🗳️ 25 European democracies, 1919–1939: party positions, cabinet formation, elections (and subnational geo-coded data for 6 countries) 1/2 ⬇️

Lea Kaftan@dielea.bsky.social · last yr.

We finally published the Archive of Interwar Europe Election Data and Assemblies (AIEEDA)! 🗳️💽🤓 Find out more about party positions, cabinet formation, and parliamentary elections in 25 European democracies between 1919 and 1939! We also collected geo-referenced data for 6 countries! 🗺️📍 rdcu.be/ehRgD

📚😅🎉 Yay!! I just submitted the complete manuscript of my upcoming book to the publisher! Learn to easily and clearly interpret (almost) any stats model w/ R or Python. Simple ideas, consistent workflow, powerful tools, detailed case studies. Read it for free @ marginaleffects.com #RStats #PyData

Happy to announce that my first article is finally in print in Political Science and Research Methods (PSRM).

Why would the CDU accommodate AfD policies, despite a plethora of research telling them not to? My brilliant friend @philswatton.bsky.social wrote a fantastic, easy to understand piece on measurement: dysfunctionalprogramming.substack.com/p/measuremen...

Measurement Makes Communicating Political Science Hard

Imagine you are a political practitioner for a social democratic party.

dysfunctionalprogramming.substack.com

🚨 Happy to see one of my PhD papers out at JEPOP 📚 I examine whether MPs' attention to local issues in parliamentary activities affects their re-election chances in party-centred contexts www.tandfonline.com/eprint/G2HVG... Ungated version here: eavigano.github.io/papers/jepop...

🚨 Out now in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social : "Citizens' Preferences for Multidimensional Representation". Jack Blumenau, Fabio Wolkenstein & I investigate citizens' preferences regarding 6 dimensions of representation using surveys conducted in 🇬🇧🇺🇸🇩🇪. Short 🧵(1/10) doi.org/10.1017/S15375

A popular tool in political science for dealing with nonlinearities in invalidated by... ...nonlinearities. datacolada.org/121

[121] Dear Political Scientists: Don't Bin, GAM Instead - Data Colada

There is a 2019 paper, in the journal Political Analysis (htm), with over 1000 Google cites, titled "How Much Should We Trust Estimates from Multiplicative Interaction Models? Simple Tools to Improve ...

datacolada.org

Really impressive paper, huge congrats @valentindaur.bsky.social

Valentin Daur@valentindaur.bsky.social · 2y ago

🚨 PUBLICATION ALERT 🚨 Excited to share that my article has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social! It examines voter responses to mainstream party legitimization of (former) pariah parties. A thread 👇1/n... doi.org/10.1017/S000...

With #Trump soon in office, #science #skepticism is reaching new heights. 🤔But is science skepticism really about science?🔬🧪 In our new paper on Science and Public Policy, me and Simon Fuglsang investigate this question, focusing on 🌦️climate change and 🐒evolution. academic.oup.com/spp/advance-...

🚨 PhD position in political science at Witten/Herdecke University 📌 Possibility to work on the project 'Democracy, Anger, and Elite Responses' www.erc-danger.de ⏰ Deadline: 15 May. Feel free to get in touch if you have questions. More info here: uni-wh.softgarden.io/job/44051262...

Wissenschaftliche/r Mitarbeiter/in (Doktorand/innen) (Doctoral student) (w/m/d) am Lehrstuhl für International Political Studies

Wissenschaftliche/r Mitarbeiter/in (Doktorand/innen) (Doctoral student) (w/m/d) am Lehrstuhl für International Political Studies

uni-wh.softgarden.io

“The policy agenda effects of problem indicators: a comparative study in seven countries” by Thomas A. Kristensen, Peter B. Mortensen, Christoffer Green-Pedersen and @henrikseeberg.bsky.social has received the Peter John Prize for the best article in Volume 43.  Enjoy the paper here: t.ly/csf4e

Online first: "Where do parties talk about what? Party issue salience across communication channels" by Christoph Ivanusch doi.org/10.1080/0140... Polisky

🚨JOB ALERT🚨 I'm hiring two postdocs (2-3 years) for a research project on political polarization hosted at @aarhusuni.bsky.social Application deadline August 15, starting date October 1 or later. Please help share widely! polisky #AcademicSky #PhDChat international.au.dk/about/profil...

Two postdoctoral positions in research project on political polarization at Aarhus University - Vacancy at Aarhus University

Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University

international.au.dk

🚨Job Alert 🚨 We are looking for a Post-doc to help us forecast the next German federal election, zweitstimme.org! 3-year position at University Witten/Herdecke. Application deadline: 04 April 2024. Please apply and reach out for questions uni-wh.softgarden.io/job/42530117...

Post-Doc (m/f/d) in the Project 'Election Forecasts for the German Federal Election 2025'

Post-Doc (m/f/d) in the Project 'Election Forecasts for the German Federal Election 2025'

uni-wh.softgarden.io

Just out @thejop.bsky.social. The study questions a common mechanism used to explain gender differences in elite behavior: the idea that women are more averse to risk than men. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...

My paper "Civil war and state support for conventional arms control" is now available at @conflictmanagement.bsky.social. It explores the relationship between, well, civil war and state support for conventional arms control. See below for the abstract and here for the paper: doi.org/10.1177/0738...