Check out our new paper! (1/5) www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/... @err-ring.bsky.social @kkshimizu1.bsky.social @markstoneking.bsky.social @balthasarbickel.bsky.social @chiarabarbieri.bsky.social @isle-uzh.bsky.social @nccrlanguage.bsky.social

An inverse correlation between structural linguistic and human genetic diversity | PNAS

Linguistic structures show uneven global distributions, but it remains unknown to what extent such distributions are driven by human population his...

pnas.org

In what follows, I will resolve the contradiction I made up

And big thanks to @jsmartin.bsky.social and @jaeggiadrian.bsky.social for sticking around on the long haul to get this paper out!

Jordan S. Martin@jsmartin.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Our paper on generalized dynamic phylogenetic models is finally out in MEE 🥳 The brainchild of @err-ring.bsky.social, GDPMs open up a vast new space for comparative studies on complex, coevolving traits, greatly aided by @scottclaessens.bsky.social's work on the accompanying R package. Check it out!

🏅 Shortlisted for the 2025 Robert May prize! 🏅 In his paper, @jsmartin.bsky.social proposes a statistical model for detecting how complex, continuously varying environments shape the expression of and association among multiple organismal traits 🌍 Read more here 👇

New preprint! So, what's a multiverse analysis good for anyway?> With @jessicahullman.bsky.social and @statmodeling.bsky.social juliarohrer.com/wp-content/u...

"For you, intelligence is not one thing among many. Every day it devours everything. It would like to put an end to a new state of society every morning." 1/n

Postdoc position open in Zurich -- Prof. Martin Tomasik and I have a joint SNF project on interpretable neural network approaches for large scale, complex item / temporal structure, online learning / cognitive development data. Please retweet. tinyurl.com/PostdocGNNSNF

I’m not sure I’ve ever seen something so simultaneously absurd and disturbing: the House will vote Monday on a bill that would punish Americans for participating in boycotts of Israel with fines of up to $1 MILLION or prison terms up to TWENTY YEARS.

Excited to share that I’ve started a new role as Principal Data Scientist with @pymc-labs.bsky.social. I’m working with and learning from an amazing group of people to do applied Bayesian modeling and advance open-source @pymc.io libraries.

OK, here is a very rough draft of a tutorial for #Bayesian #SEM using #brms for #rstats. It needs work, polish, has a lot of questions in it, and I need to add a references section. But, I think a lot of folk will find this useful, so.... jebyrnes.github.io/bayesian_sem... (use issues for comments!)

Ah, I found what I was looking for! From Imai et al.'s "Unpacking the Black Box of Causality" (2011). This is coming from the angle of two experiments in which you identify A -> B and B -> C and why you cannot infer the average causal mediation effect from that.

🚨 JOB ALERT!! We're looking for a PhD student to join our group! Are you interested in evolutionary medicine / anthropology? Already have a master's? Apply with your own project ideas! See link: jobs.uzh.ch/job-vacancie... #EvMed @bioanth.org @ehbea.bsky.social Please RT!

UZH: PhD position in evolutionary anthropology and medicine

The Human Ecology Group of the Institute of Evolutionary Medicine (IEM) Institute of Evolutionary Medicine at the University of Zurich, led by Prof. Adrian Jaeggi, is inviting applications from prospe...

jobs.uzh.ch

Our JSS article is out! And now I get to focus on {marginaleffects} 1.0.0. Stay tuned. www.jstatsoft.org/article/view...

Prior specification is one of the hardest tasks in Bayesian modeling. In our new paper, we (Florence Bockting, @stefanradev.bsky.social and me) develop a method for expert prior elicitation using generative neural networks and simulation-based learning. arxiv.org/abs/2411.15826

Expert-elicitation method for non-parametric joint priors using normalizing flows

We propose an expert-elicitation method for learning non-parametric joint prior distributions using normalizing flows. Normalizing flows are a class of generative models that enable exact, single-step...

arxiv.org

Our updated EcoEvoRxiv preprint "Estimating (non)linear selection on reaction norms: A general framework for labile traits" is now live. Work done in collaboration with Yimen Araya-Ajoy, Niels Dingemanse, @ali--wilson.bsky.social, and David Westneat. ecoevorxiv.org/repository/v...

Conversely, the tools of “exploratory” data analysis lend more credibility and clarity to scientific claims than statistical testing ever could.

Andrew Mercer@awmercer.bsky.social · 2y ago

Insofar as the goal of science is to learn something about the world beyond the data at hand, I think the idea of hypothesis tests as being “confirmatory” makes us think we’ve learned more than we actually have.

𝚝𝚒𝚗𝚢𝚝𝚊𝚋𝚕𝚎 0.6.1 for #Rstats is out! It's an ultra simple, super flexible, and 0-dependency package to draw beautiful tables in HTML, LaTeX, Typst, Word, PDF, and PNG. And for those who ❤️ documentation, 𝚝𝚒𝚗𝚢𝚝𝚊𝚋𝚕𝚎 ships with a billion pages of tutorials: vincentarelbundock.github.io/tinytable/

New blog post (and uh, new blog!) If you use observation-level random effects (e.g., for over-dispersed counts), your predictive checks are probably wrong. Here's how to do it the right way in both #brms and #PyMC. tl;dr: you need to sample new levels of the OLRE to avoid a false goodness-of-fit

The right way to do predictive checks with observation-level random effects – Erik J. Ringen, PhD

erikringen.github.io

This primer on between/within effects (using Mundlak device) is the paper I pull-up more often than any other during stats consultations. Better approaches exist (latent mean centering) but the explanations and figures here are top notch. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Teaching statistics to grad students this semester. Reading Freedman's anti-regression piece "Statistical Models and Shoe Leather" (paper brought to my attention by @edhagen.net) next week to calibrate expectations. Tag urself on his ordinal scale of pessimism.