Very lucky to have been able to collaborate on this Annual Review piece on luck with @fabriberna.bsky.social, William Foley and @l-sage.bsky.social. We propose that the role of luck in life can be upper-bounded with machine learning and lower-bounded by adding up causal effects of random events.

Fabrizio Bernardi@fabriberna.bsky.social · 3mo ago

New paper out in Annual Review of Sociology with @arnoutvanderijt.bsky.social #W.Foley and @l-sage.bsky.social "Luck and Predictability in the Life Course" We take stock of what we know about luck and its role in shaping life-courses and inequality www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...

PAIS's @alexjabbour.bsky.social's co-authored article "Mass attitudes towards Russia’s aggression against Ukraine: Tentative support for top-down opinion formation" is out now in @ejprjournal.bsky.social 📰 👓

🚨 New GERDA update: - Large update of mayoral elections (6 new states) - Landrat elections - Wahlkreis (district)-level results (BW & LW) - Local council seats (Gemeinde/Stadt & Kreis) - 2026 elections: BW state, BY & HE local More info below and here: www.german-elections.com

GERDA: German Election Database

Comprehensive dataset of local, state, federal, European, mayoral, Landrat, and county election results in Germany at the municipality and constituency (Wahlkreis) level, plus subnational public opini...

german-elections.com

📣 We're hiring! Looking for a PostDoc? Join our team in Berlin! Work with @heikekluever.bsky.social, @macartan.bsky.social and Johannes Giesecke at Humboldt University, @scripts-berlin.eu and @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social Great people, great project, great city! 🗓️ Deadline: 15 August 2026

Looking for speeches from all German state parliaments? @cgnguyen.bsky.social , Eric Beltermann, Sabine Kropp & Antonios Souris have you covered. Introducing the StateParl Corpus. Now open access with PVS: doi.org/10.1007/s11615-025-00643-5

Decoding German Politics with StateParl—A Text Corpus of Plenary Protocols in the 16 German Länder Parliaments - Politische Vierteljahresschrift

The availability of large amounts of machine-readable text data has enabled political scientists to explore a variety of novel and innovative research questions. In this context, parliamentary documen...

doi.org

📢 CALL FOR PAPERS PBC is looking for presenters for the upcoming fall term (October to mid-December 2026). If you would like to present, please fill out this form: forms.gle/5o7Y82uNGnD2... 🗓 The proposal deadline is 21 August. Please share with colleagues who may be interested

EUI Political Behaviour Colloquium

Call for Papers - Fall 2026 Please fill in the details below to submit your proposal. Kindly provide the title and abstract of your paper, as well as your availability to present. The Colloquium is he...

forms.gle

📣 New article out in @pnasnexus.org with Sascha Riaz and @heikekluever.bsky.social: “Temperature and aggression revisited: Evidence from 1 million amateur football matches” 🔍 Open access here: doi.org/10.1093/pnas...

Last monday we published our paper on AI Labels and a potential spillover effect on unlabeled posts on platforms such as Instagram in the ICWSM proceedings. If you are interested in our work you can now find it here: ojs.aaai.org/index.php/IC... Huge thanks to my co-authors @ddimmery.com and Pu Yan!

Fabian Pawelczyk@fpawel.bsky.social · 6mo ago

🚨My first preprint is out on @socarxiv.bsky.social! How do AI-generated content labels shape what people see as authentic on social media — and do labels have unintended side effects? osf.io/preprints/so... A thread 🧵

Social media often functions like a funhouse mirror, amplifying the most extreme voices who dominate online discourse. As a result, people come to falsely believe those voices represent society and public opinion far more than they actually do: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Do waitresses receive the same occupational prestige as waiters? Using German gendered occupational titles, we find that feminine job titles receive slightly lower prestige than masculine ones, especially among male-domindated occupations. Out now in Social Forces. doi.org/10.1093/sf/s...

We have a new paper out in PNAS. Susanna’s thread outlines our findings. The big picture takeaway is that well-designed climate education (active, personally relevant, science-based) can complement fiscal and regulatory instruments by building public support for ambitious policy!

Susanna Garside@susannagarside.bsky.social · 3mo ago

🚨I have a new paper out in PNAS with my co-authors, @maxbradley.bsky.social @renschazottes.bsky.social and @ninalopezuroz.bsky.social: "Educational policies can strengthen climate coalitions." A thread on what we found (and a great story about doing ambitious research without funding!) [1/9]

🎤 The 30th session of the PBC will host Cathrine Valentin Kjaer, PhD candidate at the European University Institute, who will present: “Online Political Influence: The Role of Groups.” 📍 Join us on Zoom! Please register here: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...

Our paper is out in Nature Human Behaviour! @rsenninger.bsky.social and I asked a simple, underexplored, question: when governments write policy documents, whose knowledge do they actually cite? 👉 rdcu.be/fhngy 🔓 seramirezruiz.github.io/papers/ramir... DOI: www.nature.com/articles/s41... 🧵👇

📊🤖 New paper with @aa-philipp.bsky.social & colleagues! We investigate how LLMs construct social realities by testing OpenAI’s o3 on a highly context-sensitive task: racial categorization of YouTube creators. Access the full article here: doi.org/10.1080/0020...

New paper out in Nature Human Behaviour. "Government policy documents across 185 countries largely cite Global North sources" with @seramirezruiz.bsky.social DOI: doi.org/10.1038/s415... Ungated: rdcu.be/fh0Ss

Government policy documents across 185 countries largely cite Global North sources - Nature Human Behaviour

This analysis of 1.2 million policy documents from 185 countries identifies global inequalities in whose knowledge is cited in policymaking. Governments in the Global South rely more on foreign source...

doi.org

📢 MZES PUBLIC LECTURE ❗️ 📆 Wed, 6 May, 2:30-4:00 pm CET 📍 MZES A 231 and via Zoom Arnout van de Rijt @arnoutvanderijt.bsky.social , @eui-eu.bsky.social will talk on "Luck and Success in Millions of Life Courses" Please share and join us! 🙂 👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/even...

Who produces hate speech? And how does that matter for content moderation? We show that across different countries and platforms, a relatively small share of users are responsible for a very large share of hate - overall, 5% write 83-100% of hateful content. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

This will be the 3rd edition. If you study pol. behaviour and work on #CEE, this is the right place to present your research. Dates: June 25-26. Discussants include @simonhix.bsky.social & @eliasdinas.bsky.social. Highlight: roundtable on dem. erosion with H. Kriesi, M. Svolik & N. Wunsch.

EUI Department of Political and Social Sciences@eui-sps.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Call for Papers 📣 The EUI SPS Department invites submissions for the workshop “Political Behaviour in Central & Eastern Europe.” Research on elections, public opinion, parties and political participation in the CEE region. Submit by 30 March 2026 www.eui.eu/news-hub?id=... #PoliticalScience

When you see "AI-generated" on Instagram, does it make you more skeptical – or more trusting of everything without a label? New research from German Instagram users has answers for policymakers pushing for AI labeling laws. Good news and a warning👇

🚨My first preprint is out on @socarxiv.bsky.social! How do AI-generated content labels shape what people see as authentic on social media — and do labels have unintended side effects? osf.io/preprints/so... A thread 🧵

new paper by Sean Westwood: With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research

🚨 Applications Now Open for the EUI PhD Programmes 2026-2027! 📊 Economics |⚖️ Law |📘 History | 🏛 Political and Social Sciences Join the EUI's 50th PhD cohort! Apply by 15 January 2026 (14:00 CET) for the academic journey of a lifetime! 👉: eui.eu/phd #EUIPhD #PhDOpportunity

What happens when you reveal an IG post was made by #AI? Can ranked-choice voting reduce #polarization? These are the questions tackled by this year’s @hertieschool.bsky.social Data Science Thesis Award winners: Fabian Pawelczyk, Corbin Cerny, & Henry Baker. 👉 www.hertie-school.org/en/datascien...

„Die populistische Entgegensetzung von Volk und Elite zieht auch, weil sie als Ersatzvokabular für Klassenkonflikte fungiert.“ – Jens Bisky spricht mit Lea Elsässer und @lwestheuser.bsky.social über politische Ungleichheit und die soziale Krise des Parteiensystems. www.soziopolis.de/leute-ohne-a...