Maurice Baudet von Gersdorff

@m.baudetvg.net

Student Research Assistant | Graduate Student of Social Sciences @humboldtuni.bsky.social | Linux Enthusiast | https://m.baudetvg.net

Not having German citizenship does not automatically exclude you from voting. EU citizens can participate in local elections, and even refugees have ways to make their voices heard. Not sure if you can vote, who for, or what these bodies do? We’ve got you covered.

Your voting rights in Berlin's upcoming elections

Not having German citizenship does not automatically exclude you from voting. EU citizens can participate in local elections, and even refugees have ways to make their voices heard. Not sure if you ca...

rbb24.de

Research shows that heat can increase human aggression, but data from 1 million amateur football matches in Germany suggest there may be a limit: fouls and misconduct rose with temperature up to approximately 13°C but declined thereafter. In PNAS Nexus: https://ow.ly/f0vc50ZijAE

Soccer referee pulling a red card out of his pocket. Stock photo.

SELBST ZUM FOULEN ISTS ZU HEISS! Hitzewellen machen uns nachweislich aggressiver und das überträgt sich auf das Verhalten ganzer Kollektive: Fussball und Wahlen. Grosse Freude, die Studie von Riaz, @m.baudetvg.net & @heikekluever.bsky.social in unserer Sommer- #wm2026 - #Politkolumne aufzugreifen!

Rahel Freiburghaus@rfrbrghs.bsky.social · 4w ago

#POLITKOLUMNE: When it’s hot during heatwaves, we typically focus on ourselves, and simply on getting through the day. Yet the heat-induced reactions we experience individually (aggression!), add up to collective outcomes: to football matches and, yes, voting behavior www.derbund.ch/hitzewelle-w...

Also finding it hard to keep up with new research? I built something to fix this. SciLove — swipe through recent papers in your field. The feed learns from your saves. Also matches you with researchers saving your work back (opt-out if you prefer). www.scilove.app 3,000+ journals, updated daily

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Do far-right parties gain electoral support by embedding their members in sports clubs, cultural societies and volunteer fire brigades? Excited to present my research on far-right infiltration of civil society at #EPSS2026 tomorrow! 🗓️ Saturday, 3:20 - 5:00 pm 📍Broadway (Hilton)

From Sports Clubs to Ballot Boxes: Far Right Infiltration of Civil Society and Consequences for Political Behavior
Annina Hermes 
June 2026
Abstract
Does the strategic infiltration of civil society associations strengthen far-right parties?
While existing research on far-right normalization emphasizes elite cues and electoral breakthroughs, less is known about how extremist actors gain influence through grassroots embedding in everyday social life. I argue that by entering and assuming leadership positions in non-political associations - sports clubs, cultural societies, church councils - far-right actors can strengthen their party through three channels: normalizing their ideology and lowering the perceived costs of supporting it, shifting attitudes through trusted personal contact, and mobilizing existing sympathy into participation and organizational capacity. I construct a
novel dataset linking AfD candidates and members to leadership positions in more than 480,000 civil society associations across Germany between 2013 and 2025, providing the first systematic measurement of far-right embeddedness in local civic life. Leveraging variation in the timing of leadership turnover within associations, I employ a staggered difference-in-differences design to estimate the effect of AfD infiltration of civil society organizations on electoral support for the AfD.
This study highlights a critical mechanism through which democratic societies become vulnerable to extremist influence: the everyday social spaces meant to strengthen civic life can become vehicles for undermining democratic norms and empowering anti-democratic
movements.

Many of you have asked me for a full-blown desktop version of SciLove. Here it is! 👇 My favorite part is the redesigned feed: now features a progress bar plus an article queue so you always know what’s next.

Post nicht verfügbar.

We have a new version of this paper out. The headline results are the same—political science must filter results heavily for statistical significance—but we've added many extensions and rewritten much of it in response to feedback (thank you!). A quick thread on updates 👇

Ryan Briggs@ryancbriggs.net · 6mo ago

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

It must be very hard to publish null results
Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

Join us for a panel on party strategies in Germany’s 2026 super election year! 🗓️ 29 May 2026, 2–4 PM 📍 Senatssaal, HU Berlin 💬 Research insights + roundtable with guests from politics and civil society. Reception & networking afterwards. 🗣️ In German More info & sign-up: hu-govlab.de/events/

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🚨 Just shipped a major update to GERDA, the German Election Database. - State elections update: new years + mail-in - 3 new election types: Mayoral, County, European - Municipal elections: 1984-2025 - Meinungsbild public opinion - New website & features german-elections.com

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#Cloudflare: generally a great service for owners of small, hobbyist sites. But today is a great reminder that having a handful of very large service providers goes against the grain of an *inter*-network of autonomous systems

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