Horatiu Rus
@hrus.bsky.social
Econ & PoliSci Prof @uWaterloo: Env & Res, Trade. Kids taxi. Dog entertainer. Internalizer of externalities. https://uwaterloo.ca/scholar/hrus
I made an error on my previous EV chart! (Thanks @pjpartington.bsky.social for the catch). Sales shares are even higher than i showed. Canadian EV sales shares return to 2024 levels:
🇨🇦 energy strategy just dropped: double energy production and decarbonize economy.
Powering Canada Strong: A National Strategy for an Electrified Canadian Economy - Natural Resources Canada
Doubling our electricity systems to deliver clean, reliable power, support growth, and reduce emissions
natural-resources.canada.ca
New paper in Nature. The more a government controls its domestic media, the more it dominates AI training data, the more pro-regime outputs we get from AI. By scraping the open web, LLMs are unwittingly laundering state-coordinated narratives into seemingly objective answers.
Also, prices never go down to where you remember them. That’s not the way it works
One thing we’ve learned from the past year is that voters want prices not just to go down, but to go back *to where they remember them.* Every day that passes with the Strait closed pushes that farther into the future — and beyond when many voters will have made up their minds.
10/ Bottom line: Reproducibility in social science is higher than often claimed, but robustness remains a key challenge. More open data, more robustness, and more scrutiny can only help. Link to article: www.nature.com/articles/s41... Preprint: ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/i4rdps...
The report also said the EU’s mechanisms for addressing erosion or rule of law were largely ineffective, with most member states failing to turn guidance into tangible action despite several years of recommendations from the @ec.europa.eu. /7
places where the rule of law is declining in some areas, without erosion being part of an overall political strategy. The Czech Republic, Estonia, Greece, Ireland, Lithuania, the Netherlands, Romania and Spain were all classified as “stagnators”, defined as countries where rule-of-law conditions
🚨🚨 Grim news: Governments in five EU MS are “consistently and intentionally” eroding the #ruleoflaw, Europe’s leading civil liberties group has warned, while democratic standards are deteriorating in six more, including historically strong democracies. 🧵 www.theguardian.com/law/2026/mar...
Five EU governments found to ‘consistently’ dismantle rule of law
Exclusive: Bulgaria, Croatia, Hungary, Italy and Slovakia actively pursue regressive policies, watchdog finds
theguardian.com
Nothing much new here as far as I can see, the EU and CPTPP countries already have lots of overlapping trade agreements and intend to keep them. Not much of a response to the biggest emerging danger which is the largest powers (including the EU) weaponising supplies.
Carney’s mega anti-Trump alliance starts quest to save world trade The EU and the 12-nation CPTPP trade bloc are hatching a plan to keep the World Trade Organization on the rails. www.politico.eu/article/mega...
The release of the first iPhone is now closer to the dissolution of the Soviet Union than to today. More reminders of mortality at profmusgrave.github.io/anotherday
Another Day Closer to the End
profmusgrave.github.io
My attempt at articulating why I think LLMs are a clear net positive for all research, and it's a mistake to ignore it despite private concerns: paulgp.com/2026/03/16/r...
Research in the Time of AI
paulgp.com
Making the comprehensive agreement (CETA) even more comprehensive (comprehensiver?) #digitaltrade
"Negotiations to add digital trade provisions begin Thursday" I'm curious to see what Canada and the EU come up with here.
"Negotiations to add digital trade provisions begin Thursday" I'm curious to see what Canada and the EU come up with here.
Excited to share my newly published article with Olivia Quinn in Climatic Change, which explains why the Inflation Reduction Act passed Congress when the Waxman-Markey bill failed. It's open access so anyone can read it! link.springer.com/article/10.1...
The politics of American clean energy and climate policy: Why the Inflation Reduction Act passed - Climatic Change
Climatic Change - When President Biden won the 2020 election and Democrats gained control of Congress, a climate policy window opened. Many voters, activists, and lawmakers wondered: after...
link.springer.com
NBER: “.. Tariff increases are contractionary: imports fall sharply, exports decline with a lag, and output and manufacturing activity drop persistently.” @scottlincicome.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w34852
(1/2) Such a pleasure discussing the importance of the EU CBAM for climate policy with Arvid Viaene. Listen to his podcast to hear more about our work on the Global Effects of CBAM, with @allanhsiao.bsky.social @cwolfram.bsky.social and @jmcolmer.bsky.social. www.buzzsprout.com/2412056/epis...
#18 Kimberly Clausing - The Global Effects of CBAM: Quantifying Benefits, Costs, and Leakage - Climate Economics with Arvid Viaene
Climate policy faces a built-in incentive problem: countries bear the costs of domestic regulation, while the benefits of lower CO₂ are shared globally. One proposed solution is a Carbon Border Adjust...
buzzsprout.com
Recently accepted by #QJE: “Automation and Rent Dissipation: Implications for Wages, Inequality, and Productivity,” by Acemoglu and Restrepo: doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
Automation and Rent Dissipation: Implications for Wages, Inequality, and Productivity*
Abstract. This paper studies the effects of automation in a task-based economy in which some jobs pay workers rents—wages above their outside option. We sh
doi.org
The authors "estimate that by 2025, the Brexit process had reduced UK GDP per capita by 6 to 8 percent, investment by 12 to 18 percent, employment by 3 to 4 percent, and productivity by 3 to 4 percent. These effects grew gradually over time." www.nber.org/202602/diges... What a total disaster... 🇪🇺🇬🇧
Unsurprisingly….“Our results suggest that incorporating AI aggressively into the workplace, particularly with respect to software engineering, comes with trade-offs.” share.google/RxTfvq65f0pB...
How AI assistance impacts the formation of coding skills
Anthropic is an AI safety and research company that's working to build reliable, interpretable, and steerable AI systems.
share.google
California’s EV boom led to cleaner air in its neighborhoods, with satellite data linking this growth to lower NO₂ pollution. insideevs.com/news/785951/...
EVs Are Quietly Cleaning Up The Air. This New Study Proves It
California’s EV boom led to cleaner air in its neighborhoods, with satellite data linking this growth to lower NO₂ pollution.
insideevs.com
New at JIE: "Playing with blocs: Quantifying decoupling" by Barthélémy Bonadio, Zhen Huo, Elliot Kang, Andrei A. Levchenko, Nitya Pandalai-Nayar, Hiroshi Toma, Petia Topalova doi.org/10.1016/j.ji...