🚨 Thrilled to share our new article in AJPS (w/ Yanilda González)! How do competing narratives shape support for police violence? Using a nationwide survey experiment in Brazil, we show that victims’ counternarratives boost empathy and reduce support for police killings—even among right-wing voters

American Journal of Political Science (AJPS)@ajpseditor.bsky.social · 2w ago

Contesting repression in divided democracies: Can counternarratives reduce support for police violence? by Yanilda María González and Natán Skigin is now available in Early View. @natanski.bsky.social ajps.org/2026/07/20/c...

I cross-referenced my database of candidates against credible voter fraud cases. GOP politicians are implicated at 50x–38,000x the general public's rate. Yet even if every American voted with the integrity of a GOP candidate, it still wouldn't come close to justifying making voting one iota harder.

‘Polarization’ has become the master concept for diagnosing our current democratic crisis. But this is not polarization. It is the radicalization of the political right. By misdiagnosing it, we risk becoming complicit in the crisis. 🧵 Just out in Perspectives on Politics doi.org/10.1017/S153...

The Department of Political Science at Aarhus University is hiring both Assistant Professors and Associate Professors. Assistant Professor: international.au.dk/about/profil... Associate Professor: international.au.dk/about/profil... Please share these opportunities with your networks!

Assistant Professor in Political Science - Vacancy at Aarhus University

Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University

international.au.dk

Forthcoming in the AER: "Rationing by Race" by Manasvini Singh and Atheendar Venkataramani.

Rationing by Race

(Forthcoming Article) - We document how deepening resource scarcity results in rationing on the basis of race in a highstakes setting: health care. Using detailed, time-stamped data on 107,000 inpatient admissions to a large health system, we find that in-hospital mortality increases for Black, but not White, patients as hospitals reach capacity. These findings are not explained by differential patient selection. We identify rationing by wait times as a mechanism, documenting that sicker Black patients wait longer for care than healthier White patients at almost all capacity levels. Text analysis of unstructured clinical notes reveals rationing of provider effort as another mechanism.

aeaweb.org

For years I've tracked billionaire excess. Each year I show students a chart that blows their minds. This year I had to redraw it for a trillionaire: Elon Musk, $1.32T. Depressing that we're here. Silver lining: couldn't have happened to a less deserving person, proof that wealth ≠ merit.

Elon Musk's $1.32 Trillion, to Scale

The first trillionaire's fortune, one pixel per $1,000 — scroll past every dollar, and see what a fraction of it could do instead.

stanford.edu

It seems a good day to remind people that in the UK 3 times as many people work in Indian restaurants or for McDonalds as in the whole coal and steel industry. 5 times as many are academic staff at universities. If Labour does not understand its electorate, there is no way to appeal to it.

⚽📚 The Ultimate World Cup Research Thread I've set up a little automated thread: every day of the 2026 World Cup (11 Jun–19 Jul) it shares one study on what football does to society: politics, economics, migration, health, crime & more. One paper a day. Kickoff below 👇

🚨 What happens with voters when politicians use simpler language? New @thejop.bsky.social paper with @rsenninger.bsky.social: simple language changes not just what citizens understand, but who they think politicians are. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Can Simple Language Affect Voters’ Political Knowledge and Their Beliefs About Politicians? | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No 0

How does the level of sophistication in political messages affect citizens? While research has examined how politicians use this element to distinguish themselves, little is known about how it resonat...

journals.uchicago.edu

Remember that recent paper claiming to show that "ideological bias" determined the results obtained by immigration policy research teams? A careful, open-code reanalysis by @kauspurg.bsky.social & Josef Brüderl finds that the result arises from a coding error. —> doi.org/10.31222/osf...

New pub with Camilla Bjarnøe, Kristina Jessen Hansen & Mads Thau What makes political group appeals work? Politicians routinely flatter voter groups but we know little whether it works. We tested class-based flattery appeals using survey experiments in 🇩🇰 Denmark and 🇺🇸 the US.

Excellent news! Nature is expanding Registered Reports to all the fields in which they publish! A great result by all those proposing this strong solution to publication bias and selective reporting (and getting expert feedback before data collection)! www.nature.com/articles/d41...

Here are remarks I gave at the Keeping the Republic Conference at Notre Dame. If you’ve followed me over the past decade or so, my skepticism toward the field’s fixation on polarization likely won’t come as much of a surprise. But here they are, for what they’re worth. substack.com/home/post/p-...

Beyond Polarization

My Remarks at Notre Dame's "Keeping the Republic" Conference

substack.com

The DNC "autopsy" omits the biggest reason Democrats lost in 2024: inflation and anti-incumbent sentiment. In doing so, it fails to incentivize party actors to think about how they will overcome the same negative forces in 2030 and 2032 www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-dnc-au...

The DNC "autopsy" omits the biggest reason Democrats lost in 2024

In doing so, it fails to prepare the party for 2028 — and 2032

gelliottmorris.com

New piece in Science: Sudden elimination of USAID grants triggered waves of violence in affected regions in Africa, undermining civic governance and fueling civic unrest. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Aiding peace or conflict? The impact of USAID cuts on violence

Less than a week after its inauguration, the second Trump administration issued a blanket stop-work order for the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), the largest national human...

science.org

New paper out in Nature Human Behaviour. "Government policy documents across 185 countries largely cite Global North sources" with @seramirezruiz.bsky.social DOI: doi.org/10.1038/s415... Ungated: rdcu.be/fh0Ss

Government policy documents across 185 countries largely cite Global North sources - Nature Human Behaviour

This analysis of 1.2 million policy documents from 185 countries identifies global inequalities in whose knowledge is cited in policymaking. Governments in the Global South rely more on foreign source...

doi.org

The Voting Rights Act is essentially dead and it’s quite possible that we will, like when a similar SCOTUS gutted civil rights at the fall of Reconstruction, see a disappearance of much of the Black congressional representation, especially in the most heavily Black states, which are in the South.

📄 New paper with a fantastic MA student @jmschulte.bsky.social: When social democrats move right on migration, do voters actually follow? We study Olaf Scholz's radical shift on migration in Germany (October 2023).

🚨 New WP 📄 (w/ @muzhou-zhang.bsky.social and @winniexia.bsky.social ) We ask which countries people in 🇺🇸🇬🇧🇩🇪🇩🇰🇮🇹🇷🇴 think their governments should learn from and show: 1) Citizens have clear favorites (Nordics top) 2) Performance info shifts what they prefer and how they explain it Comments welcome!

This is completely insane and he should be impeached. It is also extremely confusing. He writes "God Bless the Great People of Iran!" in the same post as he threatens them with annihilation (although I guess it makes sense in a sick way) and brags about having ushered in regime change (he has not).

Popular attitudes are often seen as a safeguard against democratic backsliding: if citizens don’t oppose lib democracy, politicians have little incentive to erode it. In @cpsjournal.bsky.social I argue that, while intuitive, this reasoning conflates two states of the world: doi.org/10.1177/0010...

Delighted our paper (with an amazing group of co-authors) is forthcoming in the APSR Takeaway for Labour and other centre-left parties: fixing public services is key to reducing support for the populist right 👇

Zach Dickson@zachdickson.bsky.social · 4mo ago

Thrilled that my paper (w/@sarahobolt.bsky.social,@catherinedevries.bsky.social,@simonecremaschi.bsky.social) was accepted at the American Political Science Review! We find that declining public services fuel support for the populist right — and show why the right benefits more than other parties 🧵

New in the American Economic Review: migration doesn't hollow out the home economy — it builds it up. More than 75% of the long-run income gains from migration are domestic. The home economy itself grows. Here's what we found: 🧵

You and whose economy? Group-based retrospection in economic voting by Christoffer Hentzer Dausgaard is now available in Early View. @chdausgaard.bsky.social ajps.org/2026/03/20/y...

We got a paper in @pspolisci.bsky.social l on public administration beyond public administration journals A substantial share of quantitatively oriented PA research is being produced in top economics journals! www.cambridge.org/core/journal... @karlemilbendtsen.bsky.social Five stylized facts:

Our latest on the Orban System: how a dozen or so businessmen closely tied to the Hungarian premier hit gold from state contracts when he took over www.ft.com/content/70c2...

Do conjoint/factorial/vignette experiments reflect choices in the real world? Are hypothetical scenarios in the artificial survey context externally valid? Do hypothetical bias, intention-behavior gap and social desirability biases undermine validity? Two cautionary studies on this question:

‼️The FT has launched a four-part series on Orbán and the Orbán government. The first part focused on Russian interference in support of Fidesz; this second part deals with the “family’s” enrichment. You wouldn’t believe it, but the FT mapped out their real estate empire from the air ✈️

The riches of Viktor Orbán’s home village

Hungary’s longtime leader is trailing in the polls ahead of April’s election, as the opposition alleges widespread corruption

ft.com

It’s basically criminology 101 that arrest quotas destroy civil liberties

Jenn@jennburrill.bsky.social · 5mo ago

ICE agents in Oregon testified under oath that they used a custom-made app to identify neighborhoods and people to target & had daily arrest quotas they sought to meet during operations ✏️ @theguardian.com

The only thing popularists fear more than an unpopular idea from the left is a popular one that might actually threaten billionaires.

G Elliott Morris@gelliottmorris.com · 5mo ago

third way really has its finger on the pulse with its opposition to a billionaire tax. really smart election-maximizing moderation here folks