“Just collect more data” is one of the most common responses to uncertainty in quantitative research. But in a lot of social science, that advice is impossible—or even misleading. Our new working paper asks: when has a study reached its information limit? Check it out here: osf.io/preprints/so...
Natan Skigin
@natanski.bsky.social
• Asst. Prof. at UGA (@ugaintl.bsky.social) • Researching violence, migration, identity, and democracy in Latin America • Website: natanskigin.com
🚨 Thrilled to share our new article in AJPS (w/ Yanilda González)! How do competing narratives shape support for police violence? Using a nationwide survey experiment in Brazil, we show that victims’ counternarratives boost empathy and reduce support for police killings—even among right-wing voters
Contesting repression in divided democracies: Can counternarratives reduce support for police violence? by Yanilda María González and Natán Skigin is now available in Early View. @natanski.bsky.social ajps.org/2026/07/20/c...
I'm thrilled to share the latest @chesdata.bsky.social paper "A Global Scale of Economic Left–Right Party Positions: Cross-National and Cross-Expert Perceptions of Party Placements", out now at JOP, where we compare expert ratings from Europe, Latin America, Australia, Israel, Canada, & the US.
journals.uchicago.edu
📢 JOB ANNOUNCEMENT 📢 Our department is hiring an Assistant Professor of Quantitative Political Science. We seek a scholar in AP, CP, PE, or IR who applies frontier methods of statistics and data science to substantive questions in their area of expertise. apply.interfolio.com/189477
¡¡VOLUME 24, ISSUE 1 IS NOW OUT!! doi.org/10.1017/S153... www.cambridge.org/core/journal... Incl. work by @elliotaposner.bsky.social, @excubs.bsky.social, @roselynhsueh.bsky.social, @andresuribe.bsky.social, @phillegitimate.bsky.social, @natanski.bsky.social, @stephanieternullo.bsky.social...
Finally got to @gelliottmorris.com's piece this week on how poll question wording dramatically affects responses. It's excellent. This is classic stuff in the political behavior subfield of poli sci, but we don't hear enough about it in punditry. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/many-ameri...
Many Americans hold contradictory opinions on the same policies
Our new poll finds question wording can swing opinion by 20+ points on immigration, the budget, and transgender rights. That's a problem for people who use polls to tell politicians what voters want.
gelliottmorris.com
Great blog post by @gelliottmorris.com which is backed by decades of academic research. How you ask a question impacts how people answer the question! This has important consequences for how to think about puic opinion and how to treat opinion polls. Short 🧵
Many Americans hold contradictory opinions on the same policies
Our new poll finds question wording can swing opinion by 20+ points on immigration, the budget, and transgender rights. That's a problem for people who use polls to tell politicians what voters want.
gelliottmorris.com
New article by Ayelén Vanegas. It explores how redistributive attitudes react to citizens' evaluations of policy results. It is a fascinating analysis of the conditions under which beneficiaries of social policies cease to support them. Fantastic work. www.ingentaconnect.com/content/cuny...
ingentaconnect.com
Please share - multiple summer 2026 in-person undergrad internship opportunities at @pewresearch.org! - religion - digital - social trends - data journalism - global - news - internet - AI - admin - race - science - methods - politics Apply soon! pewtrusts.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/Center...
What does everyday peacebuilding look like? Rincón-Unigarro et al. examine a Colombian city's annual mixed-race festival as a large-scale collective action to build trust and social cohesion through shared cultural expression and communion. Read the full piece online: doi.org/10.1111/pops...
Our new paper!
🫡Do multiple parties help dictators survive? ➡️ Using data from Latin America, @natanski.bsky.social & @aperezli.bsky.social find that allowing multiple parties can reduce the risk of popular revolt but increases the likelihood of gradual democratization www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
#OpenAccess from @psrm.bsky.social - Preemptive multipartism and democratic transitions - https://cup.org/4qhmLPo - @natanski.bsky.social & @aperezli.bsky.social #FirstView
Sometimes a divided opposition is not a good sign for dictators. We explain this with @natanski.bsky.social
#OpenAccess from @psrm.bsky.social - Preemptive multipartism and democratic transitions - https://cup.org/4qhmLPo - @natanski.bsky.social & @aperezli.bsky.social #FirstView
I'm re-upping our new open access article on why armies shoot their own soldiers in light of recent reports that more than 100 Russian officers have been confirmed as ordering the execution of their own soldiers in more than 12,000 reported incidents www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Fratricidal Coercion in Modern War | International Organization | Cambridge Core
Fratricidal Coercion in Modern War - Volume 79 Issue 1
cambridge.org
We’re accepting submissions for Fall 2025 until August 14. If you’re on the market, it’s a great chance to practice your job talk with an audience! We also welcome paper presentations. Apply here: iu.co1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...
Junior Scholars in Quantitative Conflict Workshop Submission
We are now accepting submissions for the Fall 2025 sessions of the Junior Scholars in Quantitative Conflict Workshop! This virtual workshop provides a supportive space for junior scholars (PhD candida...
iu.co1.qualtrics.com
📢 CALL FOR PRESENTATIONS | Junior Scholars in Quantitative Conflict Workshop Fall 2025 PhD students, postdocs & junior faculty: Present your research/practice job talk! 🗓️ Virtual: 1st & 3rd Thursdays, 1pm ET 📝 Deadline: Aug 14 Application below: #PoliSci #polisky #JobMarket #ConflictStudies
ND grad students killing it this year! A 2nd discipline-wide diss prize: The @apsa.bsky.social political psychology award goes to the amazing @natanski.bsky.social Natan Skigin for “Challenging Stigma from Below: How Human Rights Movements Contest Repressive States and Shape Democratic Citizenship.”
The Experimental Research section of the American Political Science Association (@experimentsapsa.bsky.social) invites research proposals from post-prospectus PhD students for its Experimental Research Early-Career Fellowship program. Share this post! @apsa.bsky.social, @poscresearch.bsky.social
New visualization tool alert! The vayr package version 1.0.0 is now on CRAN. It contains position adjustments for ggplot2 that help with overplotting in pleasing ways. My favorite is position_sunflower(). - install.packages("vayr") - alexandercoppock.com/vayr #rstats #ggplot2 #dataviz
1/ I just published a new article titled “Criminal Violence, the State, & Society” in the Annual Review of Political Science, which examines the growing political science research on criminal violence over the past 15 years. Link 👉https://go.shr.lc/3GnoH7f Here is a summary of some key insights...
Having published a book recently, I found it sometimes hard to understand how the process worked (and luckily, had very kind mentors who helped). I have uploaded a short document detailing how my experience went, in case others find it helpful: www.vicentevalentim.com/_files/ugd/a...
vicentevalentim.com
New research by @natanski.bsky.social & Guillermo Trejo reveals a stark increase in violence against journalists in militarized regions of Mexico amid the War on Drugs, driven by local government and cartel interests in criminal governance. loom.ly/K5LVzgI
New important research by Guillermo Trejo & @natanski.bsky.social on violence against local journalists in Mexico's drug war. "Silencing the Press in Criminal Wars: Why the War on Drugs Turned Mexico into the World’s Most Dangerous Country for Journalists" Link here: bit.ly/4h1R74j
Are Democratic leaders making cities more dangerous than Republicans? Trump + others have repeatedly made claims like this. New paper in Science Advances w/ @chriswarshaw.bsky.social, Dan Jones & Matt Harvey shows that, in short, the answer is no.
elpais.com/america/2025... De @maryhenjimenez.bsky.social y Veronica Zubillaga. Muy buena lectura
¿Quién democratiza a quién? La sociedad organizada y la lucha silenciosa por el cambio en Venezuela
La falta de coordinación sostenida en la estrategia de la oposición ha contribuido a apuntalar al chavismo en el poder
elpais.com
Happy to share a new working paper "Calculation and Conscience: Motivations for the Substantive Representation of Ethnic Minorities" (with Stepahnie Zonszein, Apurav Bhatia and Will Dinneen). See osf.io/preprints/os...
The course websites for my Spring 2025 causal inference and data visualization classes (both with #rstats) are live! evalsp25.classes.andrewheiss.com datavizsp25.classes.andrewheiss.com
Program Evaluation for Public Service – Program Evaluation
Combine research design, causal inference, and econometric tools to measure the effects of social programs
evalsp25.classes.andrewheiss.com
In a democracy, when and where should majorities rule? And when should their powers be limited? Steve Levitsky and I propose a framework to think through these questions in a new piece in the January 2025 issue of 'Journal of Democracy' muse.jhu.edu/article/947880
Silencing the Press in Criminal Wars: Why the War on Drugs Turned Mexico into the World’s Most Dangerous Country for Journalists @poppublicsphere.bsky.social Guillermo Trejo @natanski.bsky.social www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Silencing the Press in Criminal Wars: Why the War on Drugs Turned Mexico into the World’s Most Dangerous Country for Journalists | Perspectives on Politics | Cambridge Core
Silencing the Press in Criminal Wars: Why the War on Drugs Turned Mexico into the World’s Most Dangerous Country for Journalists
cambridge.org