Joanne Firth

@joannefirth.bsky.social

Transitioning from There to I Don't Know Where while remaining curious about everything.

Renewable energy saves hard working people money during a cost of living crisis. Renewable energy creates more jobs. Renewable energy reduces stress on the NHS. Renewable energy saves on energy import costs. Renewable energy improves national security.

My Firefighter son is moving into his beautiful new home today and a bunch of his Firefighter buddies with trucks and trailers are helping him. This is all I need to know today. ❤️🏡❤️ Motherhood Sons Milestones

Ableism is baked into Western culture I've never met a person irl with a greater measure of health than me that didn't, in some way, punish me for being chronically ill Therapists & doctors are some of the worst too

Thanks Adam. Yup. But there is one moral HAZARD that really does apply to everyone who has shielded the bitter reality from us: They will be judged. And the time of judgment is no longer distant. We are seeing in real time the dangerous assurances of the over-optimists turning to ash.

Economists use a term; moral hazard. When an institution has exposure to corrupt incentives w/out consequence. The “optimistic” scientists have ALL the moral hazards. Career, grants, tenure, awards, quoted in the Times, TV appearances, book deals, etc

This wasn’t how it was supposed to be… The tragic truth is that, as some of us warned a decade ago, mainstream climate science has turned out to be the opposite of alarmist. It has turned out to be complacent and over-optimistic. Truthfulness - and strategic adaptation - are urgent. (Pse repost.)

Dr. Aaron Thierry@thierryaaron.bsky.social · 2d ago

A first year above 2C in the mid-2030s now looks plausible. 0.5C was first passed in 1980, 1.0C in 2010 and 1.5C in 2024. The 15-year trend runs at 0.42C per decade. The 2026 and 2027 points for the current El Nino are estimates. We're not remotely ready!

Line chart titled "A first year above 2 C in the mid-2030s looks increasingly plausible". It shows global mean surface temperature from 1940 to 2050 as the annual anomaly against the 1850 to 1900 baseline, in degrees C. Data is ERA5 from Copernicus, running to 31 July 2026.

A thin gold line shows individual years, wobbling around a thick dark blue smoothed trend. Both sit near 0.2 C through the 1940s to the early 1970s, then climb steadily from the mid-1970s onward.

Three red dots mark the first year each threshold was passed. 0.5 C in 1980, 1.0 C in 2010 and 1.5 C in 2024. Labels beneath note the gap of 30 years between the first two and 14 years between the second and third. Everything above 1.5 C is shaded pink.

Two dashed lines run forward from 2025. A blue line follows the 15-year trend of 0.42 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2037. A fainter grey line follows the 30-year trend of 0.27 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2044.

Two orange circles mark estimates for the developing El Niño, at about 1.5 C for 2026 and about 1.7 C for 2027.

There are about a dozen white liberal accounts I check in on, sort of like an informal S&P 500, to see what’s going on with the moderate lifestyle types. And… It. Is. Brutal. Just brutal.