Joël Reland
@jreland.bsky.social
Senior Research Fellow at UK in a Changing Europe. Looking at UK-EU relations, regulatory divergence and European politics.
Very important analysis, especially given the current govt fixation on the auto industry and Made in Europe. Savour UKICE while you still can!
🚗 "Britain’s decline came in two Brexit stages: years of uncertainty post-referendum weakened the industry, before the trade arrangements that replaced EU membership did more lasting damage." @shepotylo.bsky.social explains how Brexit has damaged the UK car industry. ukandeu.ac.uk/from-pace-se...
Very sad news but also a chance to say that I could not have been prouder to have spent the last five years at UKICE. Brilliant people doing vital work in an incredibly fun and supportive environment. We may be winding down but the need for our kind of work is very much not!
A rather sad announcement from @anandmenon.bsky.social on the future of UK in a Changing Europe. ukandeu.ac.uk/announcement...
Por qué Andy Burnham puede llevar al Reino Unido de vuelta a la UE. Aqui explico las opciones. El camino es largo y tortuoso, pero el mensaje del primer ministro esta semana es un punto de inflexión. Con la ayuda de @jreland.bsky.social de @ukandeu.bsky.social www.eldiario.es/1_ceda31?utm...
Por qué Andy Burnham puede llevar al Reino Unido de vuelta a la UE
El primer ministro británico promete plantear opciones para la cumbre de noviembre y no descarta convocar otro reférendum, pero los obstáculos persisten en su país y en Bruselas, que quiere sobre todo...
eldiario.es
I've tied together a couple of themes from this week - Burnham's speech and our new divergence tracker - to argue that the EU is becoming increasingly protectionist in its regulatory approach, and that Burnham should bear this in mind as he decides what to do next. ukandeu.ac.uk/made-in-euro...
🤔Wondering what's next for UK-EU relations?🤔 👀 Read our report from June, which sets out the different options, and includes exclusive polling on how those options are viewed by voters. ukandeu.ac.uk/reports/ten-...
What's that Andy? You want to look at the different options for the UK's relationship with the EU? If only someone had set them out already... ukandeu.ac.uk/introducing-...
Big day in UK politics... The new divergence tracker is out! What is most striking in this edition is the large degree of EU-led divergence over tech/digital policy.
🎉NEW REPORT OUT🎉 ⬅️The latest edition of the UK-EU divergence tracker by @jreland.bsky.social is here ➡️ "There is plenty happening on the continent which is going to have a profound effect on the UK, whether [the UK] pays attention or not." ukandeu.ac.uk/reports/uk-e...
On holiday last week, I read A Place of Greater Safety, Hilary Mantel’s marvellous novel about the French Revolution. Because I’m a huge nerd who struggles to switch off, several passages about the use of the guillotine for public executions made me think about the economic impacts of AI...
"Von der Leyen’s ambition to ‘to bring the relationship with Canada to the highest level possible’ is deliciously vague: it implies some limit on the extent of possible cooperation, but does not tell us where it exactly lies." ✍️ @jreland.bsky.social on the prospect of associate membership of the EU
A more developed take on the new EU-Canada deal and what it means for the UK. In sum: no one knows what 'associate membership' means yet; it probably won't grant much privileged access to the single market; and it's politically much easier to do with Canada than the UK.
"None of this means UK associate membership is now there for the taking. While the UK might resemble Canada legally, it does not do so politically." ✍️ @jreland.bsky.social reflects on the lessons that Canada’s prospective EU association holds for the UK 🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/canadas-new-...
A lot of excitement about this but the 'highest level possible' is a brilliantly vague phrase. And for those who see it as a potential door opening for the UK, two things to bear in mind. 1) Canada is not the UK - much further away, much less recent baggage.
Dear @mark-carney.bsky.social, we want to bring the relationship with Canada to the highest level possible. I would like to work with you on opening the door for Canada to being the first associate member of the EU. And create a common prosperity and economic security space.
Lib Dems talking about the single market again - so here's a reminder of the flaws in that plan
"But good politics does not necessarily make good policy. At first glance, the single market might seem like the perfect compromise... But there are good reasons to think that – were a govt. to seriously pursue it – they might quickly discover numerous downsides." 🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/no-eea-sy-op...
This piece well worth reading on EU-UK relations by @jreland.bsky.social of UK in a Changing Europe. Could Burnham segue from economic relations to security and defence. Easier topic for EU and for PM... and could also achieve growth through defence expansion ukandeu.ac.uk/what-will-an...
What will Andy Burnham mean for EU relations? - UK in a changing Europe
Based on what we know so far, Joël Reland considers how an incoming Andy Burnham government might approach its relationship to the European Union.
ukandeu.ac.uk
My early attempt to analyse Burnham's approach to EU relations. "The paradox is that Burnham sounds less pro-European than Starmer, but is formulating an economic and security agenda which could in fact bring London into closer line with Brussels." ukandeu.ac.uk/what-will-an...
What will Andy Burnham mean for EU relations? - UK in a changing Europe
Based on what we know so far, Joël Reland considers how an incoming Andy Burnham government might approach its relationship to the European Union.
ukandeu.ac.uk
Remember the Barnier Staircase? To mark the 10th anniversary of the Brexit referendum, we've devised the new, improved 'UKICE staircase' - here modelled by Mr Barnier himself - mapping out the UK's future EU relationship options. Read all about it here: ukandeu.ac.uk/introducing-...
It's ten years since the EU referendum and the UK still can't agree on what Brexit should look like. Here I argue why the Lib Dems' plan to join the single market is no silver bullet. All of the 'pain' of membership without the 'gain' of having a seat at the table. ukandeu.ac.uk/no-eea-sy-op...
No EEA-sy options - UK in a changing Europe
Joël Reland argues that the Lib Dems’ call for the UK to join the EU single market may not survive contact with...
ukandeu.ac.uk
"Brexit has revealed the UK’s regulatory instincts to be much more European than many assumed." ✍️ @jreland.bsky.social looks at Brexit and regulation, arguing that despite deregulation being a key aim of Brexit, little divergence has taken place 🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/brexit-ten-y...
Brexit ten years on: regulation - UK in a changing Europe
Joël Reland reflects on Brexit and regulation ahead of the 10 year anniversary of the referendum.
ukandeu.ac.uk
Obviously a day for Brexit reports: this one from @jreland.bsky.social & @csbarnard14.bsky.social on REUL and alignment consoc.org.uk/publications...
New report out today with @cbarnard.bsky.social on how the UK tried - and largely failed - to take back control of regulation after Brexit. Thanks to the Constitution Society and Federal Trust for publishing. consoc.org.uk/publications...
Brexit and Regulation - The Constitution Society
Professor Catharine Barnard and Joël Reland survey changes in regulation in the ten years since the EU referendum.
consoc.org.uk
My contribution to our 'Brexit ten years on' blog series. On how Brexit has proven the UK's regulatory instincts to, in fact, be quite European. ukandeu.ac.uk/brexit-ten-y...
Brexit ten years on: regulation - UK in a changing Europe
Ahead of the ten year anniversary of the EU referendum on 23 June, UK in a Changing Europe experts have written a...
ukandeu.ac.uk
insomniac - how about listening to me and @jreland.bsky.social @ukandeu.bsky.social talk to Alex Forsyth about how - and how far - the UK has used its post-Brexit freedoms .. www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/... @instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Politically - Ten Years After Brexit - 6: Regulatory Freedom - BBC Sounds
Has the UK made the most of its post-Brexit regulatory freedom?
bbc.co.uk
We've got a new report out complete with a 'staircase' of options for the future UK-EU relationship. You can find a quick digest of it here: ukandeu.ac.uk/introducing-...
Introducing the UKICE staircase - UK in a changing Europe
Joël Reland explains the new ‘UKICE staircase’, which outlines the options available to the UK should it seek a different form of...
ukandeu.ac.uk
🚨 NEW REPORT 🚨 🔟 Marking 10 years since the EU referendum, we've got a new report on the UK-EU relationship 🔦 It highlights ‘stark divide’ between the economic impact of Brexit and the govt.’s proposed response 🪜And sets out a ‘staircase’ of options for the future 🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ten-y...
The Today programme pushing the 'NI rioters have legitimate concerns' line again... Perhaps they should reflect on the role their deeply misleading series of 'undercover' reports about migrants might have played in all this
This seems a very confused piece to me. 1) Cites Switzerland as the model but then calls for single market + customs union (Swiss are in neither). 2) SM + CU is basically full EU membership but with no political/legal influence. Why choose that over rejoin? giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
A ‘big bang’ reversal of Brexit is both unrealistic and unnecessary
Going back would create some big new problems but Switzerland provides an alternative model
giftarticle.ft.com
Loath as I am to praise the boss, this is a tour de force on the Brexit state of play
'We appear to have reached a tipping point. The Government wants more from its relationship with the EU than the current negotiations will provide. This will confront them with some stark choices'. https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/brexit/2026/05/brexit-is-back-and-it-is-consuming-keir-starmer
So we now know that EU alignment bill will be called the 'European Partnership Bill'. Key piece of info from the explanatory notes is that govt will not just get powers to align on SPS/ETS/electricity, but also on other areas in future assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6a0453...
Here's my hot take on the most lukewarm of speeches
"Starmer has no plan to change the status quo. Nothing new was brought onto the agenda, and the Prime Minister’s focus is on concluding the handful of agreements committed to at last year’s UK-EU summit..." ✍️ @jreland.bsky.social responds to Starmer's speech today 🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/the-prime-mi...