Tessera

AP projects Nithya Raman advancing to general election for Los Angeles mayor Tonight’s update from LA gives her a cushion of over 20,000 votes over Spencer Pratt, making her position in the top two safe So Raman will face incumbent Karen Bass this fall

BREAKING Nithya Raman just overtook Spencer Pratt in the LA mayor vote count Today's update puts Raman ahead of Pratt by over 3,000 votes Her tally has steadily trended up since Election Day, so this was expected She beat Pratt by 22 points in tonight's batch, 23 pts Saturday, and 21 pts Friday

BREAKING Nithya Raman just overtook Spencer Pratt in the LA mayor vote count Today's update puts Raman ahead of Pratt by over 3,000 votes Her tally has steadily trended up since Election Day, so this was expected She beat Pratt by 22 points in tonight's batch, 23 pts Saturday, and 21 pts Friday

Jacob Soboroff @jacobsoboroff.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Here's where the LA Mayoral race stands today (est. 78% in): 34.8% Bass 27.3% Pratt 26.2% Raman Here's the full trajectory of vote reports, with each row being unique batch Raman won plurality of both Friday and Saturday's votes, and beat Pratt by >20 pts She's in position to overtake him tonight

Trump should show up here at the L.A. County ballot processing center because he’d learn within five minutes this is democracy in action, not some conspiracy.

Here's where the LA Mayoral race stands today (est. 78% in): 34.8% Bass 27.3% Pratt 26.2% Raman Here's the full trajectory of vote reports, with each row being unique batch Raman won plurality of both Friday and Saturday's votes, and beat Pratt by >20 pts She's in position to overtake him tonight

11th Hour with Ali Velshi @11thhourmsnow.bsky.social · 2mo ago

In order to advance to general election for LA mayor, Raman needs to beat Pratt by about 10 percentage points in the vote estimated to be outstanding in Los Angeles... How much she beat Pratt by in each batch of votes since Tue: 10.4 pts on Wed 13.3 tpts on Thu 20.7 pts today

Bearing witness has never mattered more and you don’t have to be a journalist to do it. Contrary to what the people counting on your indifference want you to believe, citizenship is a choice to show up and engage with your neighbors, your community, your country. We will not look away. #Velshi

‘We will not look away’: Velshi on journalism, citizenship, and his move to prime time

Bearing witness has never mattered more than it does right now. And you don't have to be a journalist to bear witness. Darnella Frazier, Renee Good, Alex Pretti, Eugene Goodman, and Febb Burn. History is filled with people who bore witness and held power to count. We will not look away. Because contrary to what the people counting on your indifference want you to believe, citizenship in a democracy is not something you are handed. It is something you do — a choice to show up and engage with your neighbors, your community, your country. And in this moment, your country needs you. The Republic is not lost. It is deeply endangered. And endangered things can be saved — but not by waiting. You have 148 days. One hundred and forty-eight days between this morning and November 3rd — Election Day — to organize, to register voters, to have the conversations that need having, to show up for democracy. See you on The 11th Hour.

ms.now

In order to advance to general election for LA mayor, Raman needs to beat Pratt by about 10 percentage points in the vote estimated to be outstanding in Los Angeles... How much she beat Pratt by in each batch of votes since Tue: 10.4 pts on Wed 13.3 tpts on Thu 20.7 pts today

Opposite story in LA mayoral: 3rd-place Nithya Raman hitting numbers she needs to catch up with 2nd-place Spencer Pratt In today’s batch of 60K votes, Raman actually got bigger share than even incumbent Karen Bass Gap between Raman and Pratt now down to 3 points It could be a photo finish for 2nd

Opposite story in LA mayoral: 3rd-place Nithya Raman hitting numbers she needs to catch up with 2nd-place Spencer Pratt In today’s batch of 60K votes, Raman actually got bigger share than even incumbent Karen Bass Gap between Raman and Pratt now down to 3 points It could be a photo finish for 2nd

The margin between Hilton (currently 2nd place in vote count) and Steyer (3rd) keeps narrowing It dropped from 6 pts to 5 pts today, and will probably tighten more That said, Steyer hasn't been hitting the numbers he needs in these late batches to catch up with top two candidates Stay tuned! 2/2

Scott Clement @sfcpoll.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Large updates today in counties like Sacramento, Contra Costa, Alameda, and LA propelled Becerra into 1st place in CA Gov race Later-arriving ballots continue to break heavily for Ds There are still millions of ballots left to count statewide, and no projection yet for 2nd candidate advancing 1/2

MS NOW@ms.now · 2mo ago

BREAKING: Democrat Xavier Becerra, Biden’s Health and Human Services secretary, will advance to the general election. His challenger is yet to be determined.

Most Americans oppose ICE presence at World Cup stadiums, a Washington Post-University of Maryland poll finds. Details in my story with @rickmaese.bsky.social -> www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2026/...

Ali Velshi@velshi.com · 2mo ago

Going to talk Texas numbers this morning with Velshi on @ms.now

Please join me @velshimsnow.bsky.social 10a-1p w/ @libradunn1.bsky.social @monacharen.bsky.social @lauriegarrett.bsky.social @kabirkhanna.bsky.social @mmckinnon.bsky.social @thmoore.bsky.social Rep. Kanani Souza 1/2

Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Extremely relevant today - our new report on the state of the rule of law in America brightlinewatch.org/erosion-of-t... Most notably, 91% of legal experts say Trump's DOJ provides favors or benefits to his allies, including 56% of legal conservatives. Findings thread below; please read & share.

Brendan Nyhan@brendannyhan.bsky.social · 3mo ago

🚨New Bright Line Watch report on the rule of law in the US - joint w/@rickhasen.bsky.social's Strengthening Democracy Project at UCLA Law The most comprehensive expert survey to date - 21 federal judges, 113 elite lawyers, and 193 law profs brightlinewatch.org/erosion-of-t... 🧵 on findings below ⬇️

High in STRONG disapproval of Trump (52%) and low in strong approval (20%) -> widest gap of term (32 pts) And noteworthy result about key segment of Trump base: last month his approval with White, non-college Americans dipped below 50% for first time in this poll; it's still underwater at 46% today

More tough numbers for White House from today's CBS News/YouGov poll Trump approval rating down to new low of 37% Ratings of economy down to levels not seen since 2023 Three quarters say incomes aren't keeping up with inflation (stable proportion since '23); gas prices increasingly difficult 1/2

11th Hour with Ali Velshi @11thhourmsnow.bsky.social · 3mo ago

More tough numbers for White House from today's CBS News/YouGov poll Trump approval rating down to new low of 37% Ratings of economy down to levels not seen since 2023 Three quarters say incomes aren't keeping up with inflation (stable proportion since '23); gas prices increasingly difficult 1/2

@kabirkhanna.bsky.social says Republican redistricting may drive Democratic enthusiasm: “I do think that will add fuel to the fire in terms of engaging people and driving turnout.” Democratic pollster Celinda Lake says,” They may have really overshot this.” #Velshi

‘They may have really overshot this’: How redistricting could backfire on GOP

The GOP are ahead in the redistricting war, but it may backfire nationally. MS NOW Elections Director Kabir Khanna says Republicans drawing out Democratic districts will, “add fuel to the fire in terms of engaging people and driving turnout,” when midterms usually have lower turnout. “There were in 2024 over 9 million skippers on the Democratic side in battleground states, not just southern states, but battleground states,” says Democratic pollster Celinda Lake. “Those voters are coming out.”

msnbc.com

Trump endorsed 7 primary challengers against Indiana state senators who voted against redistricting in the state... Of six races that have already been projected tonight: 5 Trump-endorsed challengers have won nomination 1 incumbent state senator has survived Still waiting on SD-23, which is closer

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Happy to share I'm joining MS NOW as Director of Elections & Analytics... Truly excited for this chapter and grateful for the opportunity build something special in a crucial election year www.thewrap.com/media-platfo...

MS NOW Taps CBS News’ Kabir Khanna to Bolster Election Coverage

Khanna will lead election data coverage for the progressive news network and the business-focused CNBC.

thewrap.com

I analyzed turnout by race and Hispanic ethnicity in Virginia's redistricting amendment vote michaelmcdonald.substack.com/p/how-did-vi...

How Did Virginia's African-American Communities Vote in the 2026 Virginia Redistricting Referendum?

Southern minority communities have a unique and long experience with redistricting.

michaelmcdonald.substack.com

Cory McCartan @corymccartan.com · 4mo ago

Time to plug my simple congressional model again, which I've updated with the new VA plan: tinyurl.com/cmchousemodel. Net effect of re-redistricting is D+1.5 seats in tied environment, growing to D+2 seats in a D+10 environment. Bit more competitive map, too.

CBS News @cbsnews.com · 4mo ago

Virginia voters approve a referendum for a new congressional map, which is expected to favor Democrats.

Virginia voters approve new congressional map favoring Democrats, CBS News projects

Virginia voters on Tuesday approved a new congressional map that would give Democrats an advantage in 10 House districts, leaving just one safe Republican seat, CBS News projects.

cbsn.ws

It's still early, but positive trends for Yes side on Virginia ballot question Early results tracking fairly closely with '24 election when Harris won state by 6 points Here are counties we estimate to be >80% complete, scaled by size Large circle is Loudoun, where Yes is slightly ahead of Harris

Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 4mo ago

Nice analysis here from Andrew & NBC desk, who estimate Virginians turning out at 90% of what we saw last fall Context: 2025 gubernatorial saw 3.4 million total votes and 15-point win for Democrat Spanberger That indicates about 3.1 million total referendum votes, with slight majority voting today

Once again asking people not to post about poll results without links to the surveys, and not to repost anything that cites poll results without links to the surveys. This is not (primarily) about credit, it's a data credibility check.

Andrew Arenge@mrarenge.bsky.social · 4mo ago

Nice analysis here from Andrew & NBC desk, who estimate Virginians turning out at 90% of what we saw last fall Context: 2025 gubernatorial saw 3.4 million total votes and 15-point win for Democrat Spanberger That indicates about 3.1 million total referendum votes, with slight majority voting today

Been tracking Virginia voter turnout for NBC News all day We've gotten data from 86 of the 133 jurisdictions In communities that have traditionally supported Dems, turnout is ~87% of the number of people who voted in 2025, whereas GOP jurisdictions it's ~96% www.nbcnews.com/politics/tru...

Thomas J Wood @thomasjwood.bsky.social · 4mo ago

The vivid partisan sorting of US house districts by income and party -- 2005 -2024

Trump's approval rating is down 14 points since start of term, from 53% in Feb '25 to 39% now Young people and less politically engaged have seen biggest drops (20+ pts) New lows today with '24 non-voters (30%) and men <45 (36%) And White non-college number underwater for first time (48% approve)

NEW Trump's approval rating has hit a new low this term: 39% in our latest poll Ratings of U.S. economy have ticked down, with eight in ten Americans reporting rising gas prices Widespread dissatisfaction with administration's handling of economy, and its marks on Iran war aren't much better 1/3

NEW Trump's approval rating has hit a new low this term: 39% in our latest poll Ratings of U.S. economy have ticked down, with eight in ten Americans reporting rising gas prices Widespread dissatisfaction with administration's handling of economy, and its marks on Iran war aren't much better 1/3