Lorenzo Lolli

@lorenzololli.bsky.social

Lead Researcher at Aspire Academy | Research Fellow at Manchester Metropolitan University | Views are my own

โ€œWe counsel authors to ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ฎ๐ž using ๐ฉe๐ซc๐žn๐ญa๐ e๐ฌ and ๐ฌi๐ณe-s๐ฉe๐œi๐Ÿi๐œ ๐ขn๐i๐œe๐ฌ in an attempt to scale data for variation in body size within and among groups. Although ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐˜€ are simple to form and seemingly simple to interpret, they actually are ๐ž๐ฑ๐œ๐ž๐ž๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ž๐œ๐ž๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž and p๐จt๐žn๐ญi๐šl๐ฅy m๐ขs๐ฅe๐šd๐ขn๐ โ€

(PDF) The use of percentages and size-specific indices to normalize physiological data for variation in body size: Wasted time, wasted effort?

PDF | Researchers commonly compute percentages or size-specific indices in an attempt to remove effects of body size from physiological data.... | Find, read and cite all the research you need on Rese...

researchgate.net

โ€œThese intervals are reasonably narrow, reflecting the quite large sample size. They show, ๐ก๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ, that e๐ฏe๐ง ๐จn t๐กe m๐จs๐ญ ๐จp๐ญi๐ฆi๐ฌt๐ขc i๐งt๐žr๐ฉr๐žt๐št๐ขo๐ง there can be ๐œo๐งs๐ขd๐žr๐šb๐ฅe d๐ขs๐œr๐žp๐šn๐œi๐žs between the two methods of measurement and we would conclude that ๐ญh๐ž ๐e๐ r๐že o๐Ÿ ๐šg๐ซe๐žm๐žn๐ญ was ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ฒ.โ€

Measuring agreement in method comparison studies - PubMed

Agreement between two methods of clinical measurement can be quantified using the differences between observations made using the two methods on the same subjects. The 95% limits of agreement, estimated by mean difference +/- 1.96 standard deviation of the differences, provide an interval within whi โ€ฆ

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov

๐—จ๐—น๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ต๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ

Ultrasound methods are inappropriate to assess skeletal age: Letter to the editor regarding the article "The influence of biological maturity status on the German talent pathway in youth elite soccer:...

zenodo.org

Ivan Oransky, one of the experts who spoke with ProPublica for this story, said he has encountered other cases where journals failed to retract a study after a university made such a request. โ€œYou have a situation where the fox is guarding the henhouse,โ€ he said.

His Research on Pregnant Opioid Users Was Widely Celebrated. Auditors and Experts Found Major Flaws.

Dr. Craig Towers was hailed as a hero for his research on detoxing pregnant opioid users. After he published a study that found naltrexone could help patients stay off drugs, addiction specialists sta...

propublica.org

โ€œCausal inferential methods require t๐กe u๐ฌe o๐Ÿ ๐œo๐ฎn๐ญe๐ซf๐šc๐ญu๐šl๐ฌ that are ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐๐š๐ญ๐š (๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜€๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€) and make ๐š๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ that are ๐™ช๐’๐™ซ๐’†๐™ง๐’Š๐™›๐’Š๐™–๐’ƒ๐™ก๐’†, e.g., about the ๐œo๐ซr๐žl๐št๐ขo๐ง ๐ฌt๐ซu๐œt๐ฎr๐ž ๐’๐™› ๐™ฅ๐’๐™ฉ๐’†๐™ฃ๐’•๐™ž๐’‚๐™ก ๐™ค๐’–๐™ฉ๐’„๐™ค๐’Ž๐™š๐’”.โ€ Excellent read, @f2harrell.bsky.social.

Statistical Models Answer the Fundamental Clinical Question and Provide Clinical Trial Estimands โ€“ Statistical Thinking

Specific goals and estimation targets for randomized clinical trials have still not been well defined for general outcome variables. Proponents of causal inference calculus have claimed to define goal...

fharrell.com

Frank Harrell@f2harrell.bsky.social ยท 2mo ago

New blog article proposing a general statement of the fundamental question a standard RCT should answer and providing robust and powerful statistical methods to answer it: www.fharrell.com/post/rctmod/ #Statistics #StatsSky #EpiSky #clinicaltrial #rct #pharma @stephensenn.bsky.social

โ€œC๐จu๐งt๐žr๐Ÿa๐œt๐ฎa๐ฅ-based attempts at ii๐งd๐ขv๐ขd๐ฎa๐ฅ ๐ฉa๐ญi๐žn๐ญ ๐e๐œi๐ฌi๐จn m๐šk๐ขn๐  have led to ๐ง๐จ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ง๐  ๐›๐ฎ๐ญ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐งโ€ ๐Ÿ”—nice read by @f2harrell.bsky.social: www.fharrell.com/post/rctmod/

Statistical Models Answer the Fundamental Clinical Question and Provide Clinical Trial Estimands โ€“ Statistical Thinking

Specific goals and estimation targets for randomized clinical trials have still not been well defined for general outcome variables. Proponents of causal inference calculus have claimed to define goal...

fharrell.com

Does the (live) shingles vaccine protect against dementia? Fergus Hamilton and colleagues provide important evidence in a new preprint using hospital data from the whole of England in a regression discontinuity design from which we *don't* show evidence of a meaningful protective effect /cont

Bild

โ€œThere are also serious philosophical objections to regarding ๐ฉo๐ญe๐งt๐ขa๐ฅ ๐ซe๐ฌp๐จn๐ฌe๐ฌ ๐™–๐’” ๐’‰๐™–๐’—๐™ž๐’๐™œ ๐™ง๐’†๐™–๐’ ๐’†๐™ญ๐’Š๐™จ๐’•๐™š๐’๐™˜๐’†.โ€ @philipdawid.bsky.social, @stephensenn.bsky.social. ๐๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ƒ๐ž๐œ๐ข๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง-๐Œ๐š๐ค๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐‚๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ๐ฌ. arXiv:2301.11976v2 [stat.ME] 2023. lnkd.in/d2hddCKH

Personalised Decision-Making without Counterfactuals

This article is a response to recent proposals by Pearl and others for a new approach to personalised treatment decisions, in contrast to the traditional one based on statistical decision theory. We a...

arxiv.org

Sobering: initial trials with huge effect, large follow-up trial showing no evidence for an effect. But practice is already locked in and criticism is defused by pointing to random effects meta-analyses which are necessarily dominated by the initial trials. polypharmacy.substack.com/p/we-should-...

We should stop running clinical trials that cannot change practice

The case of prazosin for PTSD nightmares and the PACT trial

polypharmacy.substack.com

โ€œThe p๐จt๐žn๐ญi๐šl r๐žs๐ฉo๐งs๐ž ๐Ÿr๐šm๐žw๐จr๐ค, introduced by Neyman (1923) and reintroduced and popularised by Rubin (1974), is often taken to be f๐ฎn๐a๐ฆe๐งt๐šl t๐จ ๐ญh๐ž ๐œo๐งd๐ฎc๐ญ ๐จf c๐šu๐ฌa๐ฅ ๐ขn๐Ÿe๐ซe๐งc๐ž. Howeverโ€ฆโ€ @philipdawid.bsky.social | @stephensenn.bsky.social

Personalised Decision-Making without Counterfactuals

This article is a response to recent proposals by Pearl and others for a new approach to personalised treatment decisions, in contrast to the traditional one based on statistical decision theory. We a...

arxiv.org

โ€œIn the case of a ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ, how do we know whether the ๐œa๐ฎs๐šl e๐Ÿf๐žc๐ญ of c๐กa๐งg๐ขn๐  ๐š ๐ซa๐ญi๐จ is d๐ฎe t๐จ changing the ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ, the ๐’…๐™š๐’๐™ค๐’Ž๐™ž๐’๐™–๐’•๐™ค๐’“, or b๐จt๐ก?

Ratios in regression analyses with causal questions

Ratio measures are often used in medical research. Generally, the reason is to describe a phenomenon with a single number rather than multiple numbers. In

academic.oup.com

Th resigning editors say the publisherโ€™s decision to become fully open access is โ€œirreconcilable with our vision of science.โ€ According to the journalโ€™s homepage, all submissions from July 1 that end up in the journal will be subject to a $2,990 article processing charge (APC).

โ€˜The exploitation still remainsโ€™: Stats journal associate editors resign over $3,000 publishing charge

Eighteen associate editors of the journal Statistics and Computing have announced they will resign after Springer Nature announced the journal would require a fee to publish.ย  In a July 8 statโ€ฆ

retractionwatch.com

โ€œIf an intervention ๐’Š๐’๐’•๐’†๐’“๐’‚๐’„๐’•๐’” ๐’˜๐’Š๐’•๐’‰ participant characteristics, some participants will see larger impacts on their outcome than others.โ€ Higgins, J.P.T. and Li, T. (2022). Exploring Heterogeneity. In Systematic Reviews in Health Research (eds M. Egger, J.P.T. Higgins and G. Davey Smith).

Exploring Heterogeneity

Studies brought together in a meta-analysis are likely to vary in terms of where, when, why, and how they were undertaken. This diversity across the studies often gives rise to heterogeneity: the sta...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

๐—•๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ-๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—บ-๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฎ-๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜†๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜€โ€”๐—œ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป. Igelmann JB, Pauly M, @wviechtb.bsky.social. Res Synth Methods. 2026 May 15:1-14. doi: 10.1017/rsm.2026.10096.

Back-transformations in random-effects meta-analysisโ€”Impact and interpretation | Research Synthesis Methods | Cambridge Core

Back-transformations in random-effects meta-analysisโ€”Impact and interpretation

cambridge.org

๐—š๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—”๐—ฑ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—น๐˜€. Wood SN. ๐€๐ง๐ง๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ข๐ž๐ฐ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐ฌ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ˆ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐€๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. 2025;12(Volume 12, 2025):497โ€“526.

Generalized Additive Models

Generalized additive models are generalized linear models in which the linear predictor includes a sum of smooth functions of covariates, where the shape of the functions is to be estimated. They have...

annualreviews.org

Last week, there was widespread indignation at the revelation that some researchers in STEM might not be reading the papers they cite. Here's a recent example of the standard state of affairs in Medicine and Health, published in @bmj.com, one of the world's leading medical journals! 1/5 ๐Ÿงต

Georgia Tomova@georgiatomova.bsky.social ยท 4mo ago

Tell me you don't understand Bland-Altman limits of agreement without telling me. Authors: "93.5% (100/107) of pairs fell within 95% limits of agreement"

โ€œ๐‚๐จ๐ซ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง implies specific types of association such as monotone trends or clustering, ๐’ƒ๐™ช๐’• ๐’๐™ค๐’• ๐’„๐™–๐’–๐™จ๐’‚๐™ฉ๐’Š๐™ค๐’.โ€ ๐Ÿ”—: moodle2.units.it/pluginfile.p...

Association, correlation and causation - PubMed

Association, correlation and causation

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov