So I have no idea what the player will do (ego, prestige of Madrid, emotion, it's a messy choice), but this isn't exactly a surprise.
I suspect Thurs/Fri we get a leak about an “improved Madrid offer” with nothing to explain exactly just how improved that offer is. People will react accordingly but nobody will really have any idea of what “improved” means. Consider the sourcing, and who the story will benefit if Vini leaves.