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@metatheory.bsky.social

San Franciscan, writer, analyst. Interests: democracy, philosophy of mind, philosophy of language, cognitive science, art, flowers, pastry.

Hello, El Niño. A lot of sifting through model forecasts here. I explain caveats of long-range model predictions (there are big limitations along the CA coast), but the strong consensus amongst American, Canadian and European models gives merit to predictions of a very wet California winter.

Powerful El Niño puts California in the bull’s-eye for soaking winter, models show

Within the United States, only California, Florida and the Mid-Atlantic have such a strong signal for unusually wet weather.

sfchronicle.com

On Tue, Aug 4 at 6pm PT, I'll be participating in a live virtual Town Hall event, hosted by CA State Senator Mike McGuire, on our rapidly-developing #ElNiño event and implications for California from 2026 into 2027. No RSVP required. See you there!

Super El Nino Town Hall

Join Senator McGuire, along with climate scientists, meteorologists, and disaster preparedness experts, for a virtual Super El Niño Town Hall to learn how California is preparing for very strong or “super” El Niño weather patterns and events this fall.

youtube.com

TONIGHT 6pm El Niño town hall: Join our climate scientist Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social, Mark Tamayo @ktvufox2.bsky.social, @caloes.bsky.social and host State Sen. Mike McGuire

Daniel Swain@weatherwest.bsky.social · 4d ago

On Tue, Aug 4 at 6pm PT, I'll be participating in a live virtual Town Hall event, hosted by CA State Senator Mike McGuire, on our rapidly-developing #ElNiño event and implications for California from 2026 into 2027. No RSVP required. See you there!

The FAA says the incident occurred on Tuesday afternoon, when Trump's Marine One helicopter took off from the White House around the same time that a commercial plane took off from nearby Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport.

Aviation authorities investigating apparent safety violation by helicopter carrying Trump

The FAA says the incident occurred on Tuesday afternoon, when Trump's Marine One helicopter took off from the White House around the same time that a commercial plane took off from nearby Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport.

n.pr

Genuinely far worse than that. Taxpayers are paying propagandist -- possibly once paid by Dmitry Firtash and DEFINITELY paid by similarly sketchy corrupt oligarchs -- John Solomon to continue his propaganda habit. Then he's posting what taxpayers pay for and posting it on his site.

Corey Lewandowski had no official role at DHS. But he personally signed government contracts anyway. Then he lied about it under oath. This is the culture Trump has created: Get close to power. Use it. Cash in.

When your party leader is a president with historically low approval ratings, who has raised prices through tariffs and wars, uses disaster relief and science grants to punish states that didn’t vote for him, and has agents shooting people in the streets, this is what you do.

Bild