Moritz Oberndorfer
@moberndorfer.bsky.social
Postdoc at Helsinki Institute for Demography and Population Health Max Planck-University of Helsinki Center for Social Inequalities in Population Health. Affiliated with University of Glasgow and Stockholm University
Send them this editorial! Short and sweet! jech.bmj.com/content/80/4...
Descriptive estimands, causal estimands, and avoiding the jungle of adjusted associations ‘in between’
The first recommendation for quantitative studies in JECH ’s recently published methodological recommendations1 for prospective authors reads: > Be upfront about the research study’s intention (this ...
jech.bmj.com
There is a major problem with how applied health (equity) researchers think about covariate control. I often read research papers where the paper is trying to answer an important question....But the adjustment set doesn't make sense. #episky 1/3
Looking forward to presenting our working paper: "Interpreting inequalities and causal considerations – reflections on the application of descriptive intersectional MAIHDA" at the upcoming MAIHDA conference in Sheffield next Friday. Preprint here: osf.io/preprints/so...
Were people analysing stepped-wedge cluster randomised trials doing staggered DiD before it was cool?
MPIDR@EPC2026 Have a chat with Marcus Ebeling 📅 Friday, June 5 🕑 14:00-15:00 📍MPIDR booth Marcus Ebeling will be promoting his new Research Group Medical Demography. If you want to learn about his research and the future possibilities to join the group, visit us at our booth. #EPC2026
👩🎓 Maria Ponkilainen successfully defended her PhD thesis "Childbearing and Divorce among Same-Sex and Different-Sex Couples in the Nordic Context : A Register-Based Analysis" at the University of Helsinki in March 2026. Her thesis can be read here: hdl.handle.net/10138/627822 🥳🌈
Intersectionality and MAIHDA conference - BOOKING NOW OPEN! (and it's free) Friday 10th July, University of Sheffield With a pre-conference MAIHDA course on Thursday 9th July All details: intersectionalhealth.org/upcoming-eve... Please share widely in your networks!
Do you ever claim to be interested in the "association" between variables? This talk may be for you! @jeremylabrecque.bsky.social will explain when and why such associational language is not appropriate and why causal language should be used instead. Register here: ucl.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
Los Pollos Hermanos! 🐓 Our new cohort study published in JECH: Parental death is linked to increased psychotropic medication use in adults (ages 35–55), especially among those with fewer siblings, highlighting the role of family as a support network. jech.bmj.com/content/earl...
On the space between descriptive and causal estimands with Annie Herbert, Anna Pearce and @vkatikireddi.bsky.social Descriptive estimands, causal estimands, and avoiding the jungle of adjusted associations in between doi.org/10.1136/jech... Don't get lost in the jungle of adjusted associations.
New decomposition method to quantify how specific subpopulations drive demographic gaps. E.g., estimating how foreign-born populations by race and ethnicity contribute to the gap between total and native-born life expectancy. @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social 👉 www.demographic-research.org/articles/vol...
🚨New paper out in Demographic Research🚨 and my first foray into demographic methods. It develops a new method to quantify how specific subpopulations drive demographic gaps. www.demographic-research.org/articles/vol... @demresjournal.bsky.social @pophel.bsky.social #demography #methods
Demographic Research - The groupwise decomposition: Estimating group-specific contributions to differences between demographic measures (Volume 54 - Article 14 | Pages 441–470)
Volume 54 - Article 14 | Pages 441–470
demographic-research.org
"Temporary shock or lasting scar?" By 2024 nearly all high-income countries remained below their pre-pandemic life expectancy trends. We identify four distinct mortality shock patterns since 2020. Full analysis in our preprint: www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...
1 week left to submit your abstract for SSMPH EuroEpi 2026!! ➡️ hg3.co.uk/ssm/ Submission deadline: 23:59 (GMT), Monday 2nd March 📆 9-11 Sep 2026 Venue: Mile End Campus, QMUL, London
* Abstract submission open! * 70th Society for Social Medicine & Population Health Conference & European Congress of Epidemiology, 9-11 Sep 2026 Venue: Mile End Campus, QMUL, London Submission deadline: 23:59 (GMT), Monday 2nd March Website: bit.ly/4oyrifb @qmul-wiph.bsky.social
Is there a good reason to still put so much emphasis on hypothesis testing in quant methods courses for social science (esp. undergrad) students? What would we lose if we mentioned it but instead emphasised the estimand framework?
Excited to be delivering a session on better incorporating geography in intersectional inequalities research at the ISGlobal Spring School in March. It is free to attend and today is the final day to sign up. Further information here: www.isglobal.org/en/-/interna...
International Spring School in Global Health 2026 - ISGLOBAL
isglobal.org
📢 How can systematic reviews better address health equity—even when equity isn’t the main focus? A paper by Dr Mhairi Campbell, with @vkatikireddi.bsky.social (Causal Estimations package) sets out practical ways to build equity into evidence reviews that shape health decisions. Read: bit.ly/3ZfkCIE
Passionate about health equity? 📣 Join the #Equalise team and help make a difference with a fully funded PhD opportunity at the University of Glasgow @glasgow.ac.uk. ✍ Further information & how to apply: shorturl.at/yn3Sh #PhD #PhDFunding @celsenbroich.bsky.social @pmeierprof.bsky.social
FULLY FUNDED PhD - Actionable Evidence for More Health Equity Among the UK’s Future Workforces – A Synthetic Population and Simulation Approach at University of Glasgow on FindAPhD.com
PhD Project - FULLY FUNDED PhD - Actionable Evidence for More Health Equity Among the UK’s Future Workforces – A Synthetic Population and Simulation Approach at University of Glasgow, listed on FindAP...
shorturl.at
📢 New paper! We examine intersectional inequalities in neighbourhood air pollution concentration by area deprivation, ethnicity, education, rurality and age. We find evidence of patterns of inequality which depart from an additive framework link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Intersectional Inequalities in Neighbourhood Air Pollution Concentration in England: A Quantitative Analysis of Ecological Data Using Eco-Intersectional Multilevel (EIM) Modelling - Applied Spatial An...
Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy - Air pollution is detrimentally associated with many health outcomes, yet its impacts are not equally distributed. Research consistently finds inequalities by...
link.springer.com
🏠 Homeownership is often framed as protective for #wellbeing. But less is known about what happens when #homeownership becomes a burden… Our new paper out in Social Science & Medicine shows that #mortgage affordability matters for #MentalHealth. doi.org/10.1016/j.so...
Redirecting
doi.org
If you are interested in the past, present, and future of Mendelian Randomisation, join us later this month for a Causal Inference Interest Group seminar on MR with none other than @mendelrandom.bsky.social Zoom registration link: ucl.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
Happy New Year! 2026 already offers lots of opportunities to join or visit the MPIDR – last call! These four MPIDR calls end in January. Jobs: www.demogr.mpg.de/en/career_61... www.demogr.mpg.de/en/career_61... Visit: incubator.demogr.mpg.de Conference: www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
Again an open position at the MaxHel Center. This time at the Max (Rostock) part of MaxHel. deadline is the 11th of January! www.demogr.mpg.de/en/career_61...
MPIDR - Postdoc Position(s) at the Max Planck – University of Helsinki Centre for Social Inequalities in Population Health
The Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) in Rostock is one of the leading demographic research centers in the world. At the MPIDR, researchers from all over the world investigate demographic change, aging, fertility, biological demography and other issues at the forefront of population research.
demogr.mpg.de
And for all the 1918 flu cohort studies that compare 1919 to all surrounding cohorts, including 1920, the water is doubly muddied: fertility patterns make it look like any compositional changes persisted into 1920, causing bias in the opposite direction too (2/2) doi.org/10.1080/0032...
Did the 1918 influenza pandemic cause a 1920 baby boom? Demographic evidence from neutral Europe
In 1919–20, the European countries that were neutral in the First World War saw a small baby bust followed by a small baby boom. The sparse literature on this topic attributes the 1919 bust to indi...
doi.org
New paper finally published! Using data on 78 million births from 15 countries, we found that babies conceived during the COVID-19 pandemic have a different parental socioeconomic composition than expected had the pandemic not occurred. doi.org/10.1038/s414... @natcomms.nature.com @helsinki.fi
New study on divorce by @elinaeinio.bsky.social & Ponkilainen shows that women divorcing men face larger losses in homeownership & in retaining the marital home than both their former husbands and women divorcing women. @pophel.bsky.social 🔗 link.springer.com/article/10.1... PS. Happy New Year! 🥂
„... there are no iron laws of economics keeping us from building a more humane world, …“ Banerjee & Duflo 2019, p. 255
News from the Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health: doi.org/10.1136/jech... Annie Herbert and I will co-chair the new Scientific Review Panel at JECH (read more about it in the editorial). There are new methodological recommendations for authors of quant studies at jech.bmj.com/pages/authors
Reflecting on the year passed and the year ahead
For many of us, the start of a new calendar year is a time for reflection—of the things that we have to be grateful for and our goals and ambitions for the year ahead. In our first editorial of 2026, ...
doi.org
When kids are ready to learn, Stephen Raudenbush thinks we should be ready to teach. On the latest Inequality Podcast, Raudenbush joins @gtwodtke.bsky.social to discuss how teaching and school structure shape outcomes, and why organizational change might be needed. Listen → bit.ly/4rwytHh