Moritz Schwarz

@moritzpschwarz.bsky.social

Climate Economist đŸ‡ȘđŸ‡ș🇩đŸ‡č Working on all things Carbon Pricing, Econometrics and Measuring the Impact of Climate Change and Climate Policies Post-Doc @ TU Berlin and PIK DPhil from Oxford with @ClimateMetrics.bsky.social #rstats | #mufc

When the story of why humanity didn't stop climate change is written, it will feature front pages like this. Even as the skies blacken with climate change-induced wildfires, right wing media continue their relentless crusade against measures to tackle it.

The Times: Net zero risks blackouts. Below a photo of French wildfires.

1/ You might not have even thought you needed this, but here it is: an update of the German duck curve! 🩆 The curve shows the distribution of average hourly wholesale prices over the course of the day (normalized with the yearly average price). You can see an ongoing (and not so great) trend:

Repeat after me: Elektrifizierung und Erneuerbare gewinnen. Der Mark hat lĂ€ngst entschieden. (das violette Streifchen ganz unten ist ĂŒbrigens die angeblich â€žĂŒberall“ stattfindende „Renaissance der Atomkraft“).

Iea energy investment landscape

decade of turbulence and transformation for energy investment
Global investment in energy
2026e
USD 3.4 Trillion
2015
USD 2.6 Trillion
Renewables
Oil
Grids
Natural gas
Oil
Renewables
Grids
Efficiency
Coal
Electrification
Nuclear
Low-emissions fuels
Natural gas
Electrification
Efficiency
Coal
Storage
Nuclear
Low-emissions fue

Bombshell study that questions a key German electricity market policy. tldr: DON'T SUBSIDISE NEW GAS PLANTS WITH PUBLIC MONEY! Most interestingly: it was not (only) commissioned by the renewable industry but (i.a.) by one of DE's main business lobby groups (@dihk.bsky.social)! A đŸ§”analysing it:

A screenshot showing the title page of the study:

ENDBERICHTERFORDERLICHKEIT UNDGEEIGNETHEIT VONKAPAZITÄTSMECHANISMENÖKONOMISCHE ANALYSE UNDVERGLEICH MIT EINERZUKUNFTSFÄHIGENABSICHERUNGSPFLICHT Studie im Auftrag von BNE Bundesverband neue Energiewirtschaft e. V., DIHK Deutsche Industrie- undHandelskammer, EEX European Energy Exchange AG,VEA Bundesverband der Energie-Abnehmer e. V.

THREAD: The IEA global energy review 2026 * CO2 record high, but growth nearly ground to halt * Clean energy shaved 3bn tonnes off CO2 * Fossil-fuel power pushed into reverse * Age of Electricity "confirmed" * "Extraordinary" solar growth * Batteries up 40% * EVs up 20% 1/10

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Why is it so hard to understand a. the difference between primary and secondary energy, and b. why it amounts to journalistic malpractice to compare current renewables capacity with the primary energy provided (and to a large part wasted in the form unused heat) by fossil fuels?

Viktor Orbån redet seit Tagen davon, dass irgendwelche Ukrainer ihn umbringen wollen. Stellt sich heraus: Der russische Auslandsgeheimdienst SWR wollte tatsÀchlich einen Mordanschlag auf Orbån fingieren, um Putins bestem Mann doch noch die Wahl zu retten. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/0...

To tilt Hungarian election, Russians proposed staging assassination attempt

To aid Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, a friend of Russia, in his election, operatives proposed “the Gamechanger” — a staged assassination attempt to stir supporters.

washingtonpost.com

I've largely stopped posting #HydrogenSoufflé because it seems distasteful to dance on the graves of so many dreams. But... Aberdeen is flogging its hydrogen bus fleet for scrap. How much money was wasted on this 100% predicable outcome? Will heads roll? aberdeenbusinessnews.co.uk/aberdeen-hyd...

Aberdeen Hydrogen bus fleet to be sold off - Aberdeen Business News

Aberdeen City Council is set to sell its entire fleet of 25 hydrogen double-decker buses and exit a ÂŁ20 million joint venture with oil giant BP, marking the

aberdeenbusinessnews.co.uk

A tax economist put his entire life savings into a prediction market bet that DOGE wouldn’t cut spending. His wife read the Kalshi comments from the people on the other side and grew *more* confident because “they didn’t seem to understand what they were buying.” He made a 37% return

The Tax Nerd Who Bet His Life Savings Against DOGE

Until Elon Musk came roaring into the nation’s capital, Alan Cole was largely a plain-vanilla investor.

wsj.com

🚹 New paper: Coupling integrated assessment and energy system models 🚹 Planning future energy systems requires bridging two fundamentally different scales: long-term transformation pathways spanning decades, and short-term power system operations unfolding hour by hour. #EnergySky #PyPSA đŸ§”

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“A year after the $1.1 billion overhaul,” which added a new lane each direction, “the 405’s rush hour drive times were a minute slower than they were before the workers broke ground. Five years later, traffic was worse at all times of day.” www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...

A Tunnel to Transform Los Angeles

The ambitious Sepulveda Transit Corridor project — an automated subway line underneath Bel Air — aims to do something rare in LA: Get people out of their cars.

bloomberg.com