Today's young republicans are tomorrow's loyal subjects — support for monarchy rises steadily with age across all generations 👑 Started as office joke but ended with valuable finding about legitimacy of unaccountable institutions. Andrew's latest disgrace not in data, but plenty of earlier ones are

Joe Phillips@polpsychjoe.bsky.social · 4mo ago

New publication out and open access at @poqjournal.bsky.social with the legendary @jaclarner.bsky.social! How does support for the UK monarchy change over the lifespan or differ between cohorts? 🧵 (1/x) doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

🎙️DIGWYDDIAD | EVENT - 23/06/2026 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿🇬🇧🇪🇺 Degawd ers Refferendwm am adael yr Undeb Ewropeaidd | A Decade on from the EU Referendum Ymunwch â ni i wythnos nesaf i glywed ein hymchwil diweddaraf ar #Cymru ôl-Brecsit | Join us to hear our research on post-Brexit #Wales. www.eventbrite.com/e/1991988577...

Wales and the EU Referendum: A Decade On

Degawd ers Refferendwm am adael yr Undeb Ewropeaidd

eventbrite.com

Come join us next Tuesday for new analysis on how Wales has changed in the 10 years since the Eu Referendum 👇

Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru@walesgovernance.bsky.social · 4mo ago

🎙️DIGWYDDIAD | EVENT - 23/06/2026 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿🇬🇧🇪🇺 Degawd ers Refferendwm am adael yr Undeb Ewropeaidd | A Decade on from the EU Referendum Ymunwch â ni i wythnos nesaf i glywed ein hymchwil diweddaraf ar #Cymru ôl-Brecsit | Join us to hear our research on post-Brexit #Wales. www.eventbrite.com/e/1991988577...

The ‘England and Wales’ scheme that just keeps on giving, eh? www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cz...

HS2: Railway could cost up to £102.7bn and may not open until 2039, transport secretary says

Heidi Alexander tells the Commons the railway, originally estimated to cost £32.7bn, will now cost somewhere between £87.7-102.7bn.

bbc.co.uk

Accepted at @bjpols.bsky.social: After EU Referendum Remain voters became less British🇬🇧 Same gap emerged between Yes and No voters after 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 IndyRef but then disappeared; Brexit's hasn't, because ongoing implementation keeps reinforcing the threat, meaning gap has continued to grow. Full link 👇

James David Griffiths@jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social · 5mo ago

🚨 New Research Recently accepted at the @bjpols.bsky.social, our paper shows that Brexit led to weaker British 🇬🇧 identities among Remainers! You can read the paper by @jaclarner.bsky.social, me, and @danielwincott.bsky.social here: tinyurl.com/mrj96ywu

Ironic. If Greens decided not to stand in Valleys seats for Senedd election then their chances of playing part in govt would have increased. They're unlikely to win 12% in any seat there but 5-8% vote they'll get cld have gone to Plaid - almost guaranteeing Plaid-led govt.🤔

Tactical voting likely to play a big role in driving vote choice (yes, you can tactically vote in this system) Majority want to stop a Reform government and see Plaid as best placed to stop them, but progressive fragmentation remains Reform's route to being largest party (though not government)

Welsh polling remains very noisy Reform has dropped off in other polling but steady here 29% would be Plaid's worst Senedd VI from YG since Nov 24 (sceptical of this given other trends both in Wales and UK) Lab bounce driven by MiC polling, but some small hope for them

The latest YouGov/ITV Wales/Cardiff Uni is a real puzzler given that, alongside Senedd VIs, we also have this - and I have no idea how to reconcile them! A three pipe problem?!

New poll in Wales, this time with constituency level estimates from YouGov(🥳). Polling in Wales has been pretty noisy over the last 24 months with some big house effects, but the general vote intention trend is clear - May 2026 is a two-horse race between Plaid Cymru and Reform

Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru@walesgovernance.bsky.social · 7mo ago

“Plaid Cymru remain in the strongest position - Reform faces far greater constraints, yet there should be no mistake: winning a third of seats would represent a remarkable result.” - @jaclarner.bsky.social #Senedd26 #Wales #Cymru www.itv.com/news/wales/2...

Hmmm …. The Green Party printing their Cardiff leaflets for Senedd Cymru election 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 in Southend-on-sea, Essex, England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 … 🧐 Why are they not supporting local businesses in Cymru 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 to print these leaflets? 🧐

Welsh icon Michael Sheen has declared his support for Plaid Cymru ahead of May's Senedd election, saying the country is undergoing a ‘huge transformation’

Michael Sheen backs Plaid as he describes Wales as being at a political crossroads

Welsh icon Michael Sheen has declared his support for Plaid Cymru ahead of May’s Senedd election, saying the country is undergoing “huge transformation”. Speaking to Times Radio’s Adam Boulton, the Po...

wp.me

Proving Misconduct in Public Office is not easy, as it’s a matter of ‘AND’ not ‘OR’. All four elements👇🏻must be proven together to prove that the offence has been committed. All or nothing… Though this does not preclude other issues from surfacing in the process…🧐👀

‘Welsh Gov stats are not telling the full story’ ‘It is layer upon layer of systems which aim to provide everything but clarity.’ ‘manufacture superficial wins based upon selectively highlighting columns on an Excel spreadsheet’ @willhaycardiff.bsky.social latest newsletter

‘The absurdity of GP funding in Wales’ by Dr Jim Pink and Dr Matthew Jones bjgplife.com/the-absurdit...

The absurdity of GP funding in Wales – BJGP Life

bjgplife.com

‘GP practices in wealthiest areas of Wales receive more funding than deprived areas.’ ‘There is an urgent need to restore fairness in the funding for GP practices in Wales, finds new research by Cardiff University.’ Dr Jonny Currie & Cardiff University www.cardiff.ac.uk/news/view/28...

GP practices in wealthiest areas of Wales receive more funding than deprived areas

Underinvestment in GP services in Wales’ most deprived areas contributing to health inequalities, researchers say

cardiff.ac.uk

‘Devolution is supposed to allow Wales to do things creatively, to find Welsh specific solutions to Welsh specific problems. GPs are the frontline in Wales but they have been tethered to a funding formula which was designed for England for decades.’ @willhaycardiff.bsky.social DrJonny Currie says:

The absurdity of GP funding in Wales bjgplife.com/the-absurdit...

The absurdity of GP funding in Wales – BJGP Life

bjgplife.com

I have made some predictions for what we can expect in Welsh politics in 2026. I would love to know what you predictions are... willhaywardwales.substack.com/p/the-big-we...

The big Welsh politics predictions for 2026

We are in for an interesting year...

willhaywardwales.substack.com

Reform UK's director for Wales has been removed from Cwmbran Community Council for failing to attend meetings. David Thomas is also goes by the names "DJ Dowster" and "Dr Squeegees" (I am not joking). Find out more about Dr Squeegees here: willhaywardwales.substack.com/p/special-re...

Special report: Who are Reform in Wales?

We dived into the wild world of Reform UK in Cymru

willhaywardwales.substack.com

This is a clip from inside the Welsh Parliament. So much to say about this. For one thing, Mike Hedges is having an absolute mare here. Jenny Rathbone's facial reactions when he starts praising the USA are incredible. 😮 Andrew RT Davies being the spectre at the feast stuck behind a pillar. 👻

Labour's plans for the 2026 Senedd election have been leaked to my news letter. Some of it makes sense. Some is bizarre. Some is frustrating. Much is enraging. willhaywardwales.substack.com/p/exclusive-...

Exclusive: Welsh Labour’s election plan leaked

We have obtained Eluned Morgan’s plan for the 2026 election

willhaywardwales.substack.com

Bwriadau pleidleisio Senedd / Senedd Voting Intention (YouGov - nid MRP/ not MRP method) / (28/11 - 10/12) PC: 33% REF: 30% LLAF/LAB: 10% CEID/CON: 10% GWYRDD/GRN: 9% DEM RHYDD/LD: 6% ERAILL/OTH: 2% N=1,891 Ein dadansoddiad ni / Our analysis: blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...

Consolidation, Not Conversion: Understanding Wales’s Ongoing Realignment

Showcasing current research, comments and analysis on the law, politics, history, culture, government and political economy of Wales from the Wales Governance Centre.

blogs.cardiff.ac.uk

New 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 data paints picture of consolidation within two blocs: a Welsh-identifying/progressive bloc (with Plaid as largest party) and a British-identifying/conservative bloc (with Reform as largest). Adds to evidence that 2026 is shaping up to be 2-horse race between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK 🧵

Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru@walesgovernance.bsky.social · 10mo ago

Bwriadau pleidleisio Senedd / Senedd Voting Intention (YouGov - nid MRP/ not MRP method) / (28/11 - 10/12) PC: 33% REF: 30% LLAF/LAB: 10% CEID/CON: 10% GWYRDD/GRN: 9% DEM RHYDD/LD: 6% ERAILL/OTH: 2% N=1,891 Ein dadansoddiad ni / Our analysis: blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...

For those interested, raw data download is here along with some basic cross tabs: github.com/jaclarner/Ca...

GitHub - jaclarner/Cardiff-YouGov_Dec25: Repository for simple cross tabs and raw data (.csv) for Cardiff University/YouGov December 2025 Data

Repository for simple cross tabs and raw data (.csv) for Cardiff University/YouGov December 2025 Data - jaclarner/Cardiff-YouGov_Dec25

github.com

Will Hayward - Wales Journo@willhaycardiff.bsky.social · 10mo ago

Right let's breakdown this new poll for Wales because there is a lot going on below the headline figures. [Thread]

‘What makes the (Welsh Lab Gov) refusal to hold a Welsh inquiry all the worse is that one of the findings of the UK inquiry was that many of the mistakes made in Wales were well after the first lockdown - when they were overwhelmingly in charge of the response’ @willhaycardiff.bsky.social newsletter

Nathan Gill's social media bio... They claim to love the country they would sell down the river for a stuffed brown envelope. He was the head of Reform in Wales. How do you think Reform would react if any other party leader had been found to have committed such crimes?

Can you imagine how Reform UK would react if a Welsh leader of any other party had been sentenced for 10 years for taking bribes? Nathan Gill once said he "would never apologise for being patriotic". Tbf he never said to which country...

Bribery is a "malignancy" at the heart of British public life, says judge. The law responds with "stern punishment"

🚨 NEW in @bjpols.bsky.social : When Partygate hit Westminster, trust in Scottish politicians increased. Our experiments reveal a "contrast effect" - scandals at one level can make the other look better by comparison. Who lost most trust in Westminster? Scottish unionists. Read now #OpenAccess 👇

British Journal of Political Science@bjpols.bsky.social · 11mo ago

NEW - Political Scandals and Vertical Contagion in Multilevel Systems - cup.org/47wHeJB - @jaclarner.bsky.social, Robert Johns, @ailsahenderson.bsky.social, @frasmcm.bsky.social & @cjcarman.bsky.social #OpenAccess