Aureo de Paula

@paulaaureo.bsky.social

Professor of Economics at UCL, IFS. East London Carioca. Arsenal and Flamengo!

Join @ucleconomics.bsky.social this May for this year's annual Gorman Lecture and Conference 2025. Find out more about this year's programme and book your tickets ⬇️

@ucleconomics.bsky.social · last yr.

In @ucleconomics.bsky.social, we engage in the #discourse globally. Our annual Gorman Lecture (and conference) returns this May with the distinguished Ariel Pake of @harvard.edu. Register now➡️https://www.ucl.ac.uk/economics/events/2025/may/ucl-department-economics-gorman-lecture-and-conference-2025

I have a new paper on “Prediction Sets and Conformal Inference with Censored Outcomes” with the great Weiguang Liu and Elie Tamer. Prediction Sets and Conformal… what? I know, I know! Here comes a (very) short thread on what we do in the paper. (1/5)

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The ONS has today released results from two new data collection efforts on public-sector productivity: a public-sector version of the existing Management and Expectations Survey and a public-sector time use survey. Overall, management practices look similar in the public and private sectors. 1/

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In his jmp, Wenhao uses data and model of altruism within networks to study the evolution of patrilineal kinship in facilitating male marriages in 19th-century China amid development spurred by a forced port opening.

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