Today, we were delighted to host @paulaaureo.bsky.social ( @ucl.ac.uk ). He presented joint work called “Production Function Estimation Using Subjective Expectations Data”. The talk presented a new method for estimating production functions with fewer assumptions. #Econometrics #econsky
Aureo de Paula
@paulaaureo.bsky.social
Professor of Economics at UCL, IFS. East London Carioca. Arsenal and Flamengo!
📢 #CallForPapers - 2nd Workshop on Frontiers in Measurement and Survey Methods Organised by: CEPR, University of Calabria, University of Naples Federico II & @yale.edu Deadline: 25 Jan 2026 More details: cepr.org/events/works... @giannolamichele.bsky.social @armiano.bsky.social
NEW: #IFSWorkingPaper: The rise of online dating and heterogamous marriages 📗 Read Yujung Hwang, Fangzhu Yang and @paulaaureo.bsky.social's new paper on how the diffusion of online dating platforms has shaped intermarriage patterns by race and education here: ifs.org.uk/publications...
Just published in @jpube.bsky.social: "Intergenerational mobility in socio-emotional skills" By Orazio P. Attanasio, @paulaaureo.bsky.social, & Alessandro Toppeta www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... #econsky #publiceconomics @ucleconomics.bsky.social @uclpolicylab.bsky.social @sofi.su.se
This is a (very) short thread on a recent paper with the great Orazio Attanasio and Alessandro Toppeta on “Intergenerational Mobility in Socio-Emotional Skills” (forthcoming at @jpube.bsky.social)! (1/7) @ucleconomics.bsky.social @uclpolicylab.bsky.social @sofi.su.se @clscohorts.bsky.social
📣 Check out my latest article with R Inafuku, T Halliday and Lester Lusher on air population, test scores ...and a volcano!
🆕 article in the Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics: "Vog: Using Volcanic Eruptions to Estimate the Impact of Air Pollution on Student Test Scores" (by Rachel Inafuku, Timothy J. Halliday, Lester Lusher, @paulaaureo.bsky.social) doi.org/10.1111/obes... #Environment #HumanCapital🌋💨📝🏫
Join @ucleconomics.bsky.social this May for this year's annual Gorman Lecture and Conference 2025. Find out more about this year's programme and book your tickets ⬇️
In @ucleconomics.bsky.social, we engage in the #discourse globally. Our annual Gorman Lecture (and conference) returns this May with the distinguished Ariel Pake of @harvard.edu. Register now➡️https://www.ucl.ac.uk/economics/events/2025/may/ucl-department-economics-gorman-lecture-and-conference-2025
We at @ucleconomics.bsky.social have extended the application deadline to our MA degrees by a week (until May 8th)--all nationalities warmly welcome!
American students turn to UK as Trump takes aim at US universities https://www.ft.com/content/ebb2b7e7-5dea-47a2-8386-f12eda692c0f
This year's Gorman Lectures at UCL will be given by one of my heroes, Ariel Pakes. I can't wait!
In @ucleconomics.bsky.social, we engage in the #discourse globally. Our annual Gorman Lecture (and conference) returns this May with the distinguished Ariel Pake of @harvard.edu. Register now➡️https://www.ucl.ac.uk/economics/events/2025/may/ucl-department-economics-gorman-lecture-and-conference-2025
It's been a while since I did a standard lit review thread, but here's one for #econsky #econtwitter about an important literature that's been growing recently: the effect of supply- and demand-side interventions on fertility in LMICs
We are recruiting an Econometrics Adviser. The role would suit someone with a recent PhD (or a masters and some experience), and an interest in empirical IO. This is a unique opportunity to work on high-profile cases and with great data! www.civilservicejobs.service.gov.uk/csr/jobs.cgi...
Recently accepted to @reveconstudies.bsky.social, "Industrial Policy Implementation: Empirical Evidence from China’s Shipbuilding Industry" from Barwick, Kalouptsidi and Bin Zahur: www.restud.com/industrial-p...
I have a new paper on “Prediction Sets and Conformal Inference with Censored Outcomes” with the great Weiguang Liu and Elie Tamer. Prediction Sets and Conformal… what? I know, I know! Here comes a (very) short thread on what we do in the paper. (1/5)
Agnes Norris Keiller presented a great paper with @paulaaureo.bsky.social and @johnvanreenen.bsky.social on how we can use data on firms' turnover and employment expectations directly in production function estimation. www.nber.org/papers/w32725 2/
Production Function Estimation Using Subjective Expectations Data
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
nber.org
NEW #IFSWorkingPaper: Robust inference for the Frisch labor supply Michael Keane and Timothy Neal argue the AR test should be widely adopted in lieu of the 2SLS t-test for estimating Frisch labor supply elasticity. Read here: https://buff.ly/4fhBJ2G
The ONS has today released results from two new data collection efforts on public-sector productivity: a public-sector version of the existing Management and Expectations Survey and a public-sector time use survey. Overall, management practices look similar in the public and private sectors. 1/
🚨New (very short) paper alert: "Bayesian Fama-MacBeth Regressions" with @SBryzgalova and Jiantao Huang tinyurl.com/bddpezz6 🧵1/n #Finance #Econometrics
I am trying to be more active on here, and have not yet seen an IO or org econ starter pack, so here is an attempt at one: go.bsky.app/Rchu8QX Please shout out if I have forgotten someone, or when others join. #EconSky
🎉 🎉 Check out our paper with I Rasul (UCL and @theifs.bsky.social) and P Souza (QMUL), now forthcoming at the REStud. You can find replication codes either at the REStud or on Github (shorturl.at/hO24S)! www.restud.com/identifying-...
Identifying Network Ties from Panel Data: Theory and an Application to Tax Competition - The Review of Economic Studies
Social interactions determine many economic behaviors, but information on social ties does not exist in most publicly available and widely used datasets. We present results on the identification of so...
restud.com
Very interesting fresh working paper on production function estimation w. subjective firm expectations by Norris Keiller, @paulaaureo.bsky.social, & @johnvanreenen.bsky.social: arxiv.org/pdf/2407.07988 Just in time to serve as overture to John's UK Econ Advisory Council chairmanship gig, I suppose!😉
arxiv.org
In his jmp, Wenhao uses data and model of altruism within networks to study the evolution of patrilineal kinship in facilitating male marriages in 19th-century China amid development spurred by a forced port opening.