Pawel Adrjan

@paweladrjan.bsky.social

Economist and Director of Research at Indeed Research fellow at Regent's Park College, Oxford 📈 Using data to make the world of work better for all 🌈 https://sites.google.com/site/paweladrjaneconomics/ Los Angeles, CA / Sevilla, España

A small favour for my economist network - we're hiring an Economist (Dutch speaker) based in the Netherlands at Indeed Hiring Lab. If you know someone who'd be a great fit, please share this with your Dutch-speaking network! Application link below

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Sind Frauen und Männer unterschiedlich stark von KI-getriebenen Veränderungen auf dem Arbeitsmarkt betroffen? Eine gemeinsame Analyse von @diw.de & Indeed Hiring Lab zeigt: Es gibt keinen eindeutigen Zusammenhang zwischen KI-Transformationspotenzial und Geschlecht. 🧵(1/6) www.diw.de/de/diw_01.c....

Infografik zum DIW Wochenbericht 14+15/2026: Das männerdominierte Bauwesen und der frauendominierte Bereich der Kinderbetreuung sind von KI-Transformation wenig betroffen

Una interesante evaluación de la reforma laboral española de 2021: Las ocupaciones con mayor número de contratos temporales antes de la reforma experimentaron un importante cambio hacia la contratación permanente y un aumento del 53% en la oferta de formación.

Pawel Adrjan@paweladrjan.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Occupations with the most temporary contracts pre-reform (and thus most impacted by it) saw a large shift toward permanent hiring and a 4.3pp (53%) increase in advertised training relative to less impacted occupations By 2024, the pre-reform training gap was completely gone

Zwischenzeitlich bezeichnete sich fast ein Drittel Polens als „frei von LGBT-Ideologie“. Nachdem die EU finanziellen Druck ausübte, verschwanden diese Zonen Stück für Stück. Doch die Folgen sind noch spürbar und betreffen nicht nur Queers (F+)

Queerer Braindrain in Polen: Ein herber Verlust von Talenten

Zwischenzeitlich bezeichnete sich fast ein Drittel Polens als „frei von LGBT-Ideologie“. Nachdem die EU finanziellen Druck ausübte, verschwanden diese Zonen Stück für Stück. Doch die Folgen sind noch…

freitag.de

New IZA paper by @jangromadzki.bsky.social and @paweladrjan.bsky.social shows anti-LGBTQ resolutions in Poland increased migration intentions. Their findings nicely echo our own (osf.io/preprints/os...) from the same case: even symbolic exclusionary politics can shape people’s choices on the ground.

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Jan Gromadzki@jangromadzki.bsky.social · 11mo ago

Anti-LGBTQ resolutions aka "LGBT-free zones" in Poland have increased residents’ intentions to migrate, both within the country and abroad. Together with @paweladrjan.bsky.social, we use unique data on all clicks on the global job site Indeed. Link: docs.iza.org/dp18217.pdf Main findings ⬇️ 1/7

Thanks to the shutdown, we didn't get the first estimate of Q3 GDP today. And private-sector data offer no good substitute for official GDP. The shutdown offers lots of lessons about what private sector data can and can't do. New at @piie.com : www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

What the government shutdown teaches us about private sector data

The government shutdown provides an unexpected test case for an increasingly urgent question: What would happen if official economic statistics became less useful, whether through declining resources,...

piie.com

Con ganas de volver a México para compartir nuestra investigación sobre el mercado laboral y hablar de las tendencias que vemos en los datos de Indeed. ¿Alguien de mi red estará en CDMX la semana que viene?

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2-3 days a week in the office has become the norm in hybrid job postings. Attendance requirements have tightened over the last few years, but there's no evidence of any significant shift beyond 3 days in the office. UK data:

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Europe's labour markets are converging, as hiring demand is strong in the South while falling in the North. As of late August, job postings in Spain are 46% and Italy 53% above pre-pandemic levels. Guillermo Gallacher and I wrote a blog post about Eurozone's four largest economies 👇

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Is working from home just a pandemic blip? Not according to the data. We analysed 1 billion job postings in 20 OECD countries. The share of jobs advertising remote/hybrid work quadrupled from 2.5% to 11% (2019–2023) and has been stable since 🧵

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The Indeed Wage Tracker is now live for #Japan 🇯🇵 Posted #wages in Japan rose 3.6% year-over-year in April 2025, based on a 3-month average. This represents moderation from a recent peak of over 4% but it's still higher than anytime from 2019 to early 2024.

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📉 New job posting data shows a growing North-South divide in Europe’s labour market as of mid-April: 🇪🇸 Spain up 4% in the past month, now 65% above pre-pandemic levels 🇮🇹 Italy high & holding steady 🇩🇪 Germany & 🇬🇧 UK sliding No crash anywhere (yet) but a continued divergence

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📢 New data from the #Indeed Hiring Lab! 📈 Ahead of this week’s ECB Governing Council meetings, we’ve released December data from our Wage Tracker. In a new blog post, @rlydon.bsky.social, Vahagn Galstyan and I dive into euro area wage trends and their implications for monetary policy. 🇪🇺🧵 1/

Line chart titled “Euro area wage growth has slowly trended down.” With a y-axis range of 0% to 8% and an x-axis range from 2019 to 2025, the chart shows the yearly percentage change in nominal wages in job postings for the euro area (3.7%), the UK (7.0%), and the US (3.1%) to December 2024.

Excited to share that my paper with Reamonn Lydon is now published in Research in Labor Economics! Main insights: ✅ Online job postings offer timely insights into wage trends ✅ Post-pandemic wage growth surged, especially for lower-paid jobs — signalling strong labour demand

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Today’s JOLTS report was reasonably good! - Job openings ticked up to 7.7 million (from 7.4). - The quits rate rose for the first time in 17 months. - Layoff rate = 1.0 -> Below pre-pandemic all-time lows. Hires rate weak at 3.3%, but could be a blip given slight pickup in recent months.

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