Canadian Aqua

@priorconfirmed.bsky.social

Canada shill. Economic stuffs

Updated Urban Greenness data out from StatCan is out today, quantifying the "average greenness" on a 250m grid. Data is annual and goes back to 2000 and allows for some comparison (although some caution is advised).

Urban greenness in Metro Vancouver in 2025Urban greenness in Metro Vancouver in 2025

With the release of the 2022 supply and use tables and revisions, here's what the updated GDP per capita looks like. We'll have to wait later this month for 2025 updates. I just did a crude upward lift here since we only got annual up to 2024.

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I just had to say something on this report by TD. Their argument for why unemployment would be higher in counterfactual world with higher population growth is drawing a straight line. Like my god, bank economists truly are topic economic minds.

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With the adoption of the 2025 SNA coming around in 2029-2030, here's the impact on nominal GDP from the inclusion of data as recommended by it. We see a slight shift upward (average of 2.2%) over 2000-2019 with it's impact growing over time. If the trend holds 2024 will be ≈2.6% high

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In the process of replicating and extending Diewert and Yu (2012) where they calculate Total Factor Productivity but I will be doing it on a quarterly basis and extending it to the Present. Multiplying labour quality by hours worked gives us our "labour services" input. Details below 1/n

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Long-term interest rate yields on US Treasury securities have trended up since Trump's 'Liberation Day'. The risk of default has never been higher as the fiscal deficit explodes and uncertainty stalls private decision-making under a President who made a career out of welshing on his personal debt.

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An update on permits issued for study, temporary foreign worker program, and international mobility program. Reminder that this includes renewals and new permits! Looks like study permit issuances is going up again after falling, but exercise caution with this series!

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As the US drives its international indebtedness ever higher, Canada's net asset position keeps expending. Our financial picture is much better balanced. The Trump budget plan for this year will drive US indebtedness even further down, necessitating more borrowing and further weakening the US$.

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Canada, unlike the US surprisingly, has been experiencing a RELATIVE decline of the manufacturing sector for decades now. Interesting to see that the decline in non-durable manufacturing has been essentially a straight line down, while durable is more volatile.

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Annoying how many broken series there are for Canada. Like expenditure based GDP is all the way back to 1961 but for production based GDP the chain is broken. Just an example to indicate the problem.

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The update to the 2008 SNA is now here, 2025 SNA! Data will FINALLY be considered a produced asset and so will now show up in GDP! Unfortunately, it'll take awhile for countries statistical agencies to adopt it's recommendation though.

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