Rafe Smyth

@rafe-s.bsky.social

Climate, infrastructure(s), nature, interdisciplinary, radical pragmatism, solutions Based in London, UK. Don't see DMs.

25% turnout for the Greater Manchester Mayoral Election. Nearly 3/4 of voters didn't show up for a contest, whose previous winner has just become prime minister. We shouldn't be blase about this: it raises big questions about the health of our democracy & the public appetite for the mayoral model.

Ash@queerash.bsky.social · 6d ago

it's an interesting contradiction of devolving power to local people when it's a pretty consistent finding that they don't really care about exercising that power

Turnout across greater manchester byelection: 

Trafford: 35%
Stockport 31%
Bury 28%
Tameside 25%
Bolton 23%
Manc 23%
Rochdale 23%
Salford 23%
Oldham 22%
Wigan 22%

I get no one wants to be the boy who cried wolf, but at the end of the story there was a great big wolf. If the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively shut the crisis the IEA and others feared will eventually arrive, probably just as the northern hemisphere winter starts.

Tom Haddon@tomh-analyst.bsky.social · 2w ago

Looking East you see strong H1'26 Asian demand for LNG. Looking West you see US Nat Gas to LNG unable to maintain volumes since April. Bit of a pincer movement on the European gas market, providing the foundation for the high prices.

New drilling isn't just a catastrophic signal of us stepping back from our climate commitments, it also runs against the geological reality of an almost depleted resource. Our focus should be on cheap, clean fuel for the future - not propping up oil and gas. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

Burnham to Back North Sea Oil and Take Control of Thames Water

Within days of taking office incoming prime minister Andy Burnham is preparing to announce new drilling for oil and gas in the North Sea as well as taking public control of Thames Water.

bloomberg.com

As we face unprecedented heatwave, construction sector pleads to "recommit to current infrastructure plans". Reminder: (1) Govt says it won't cut rail but will consult on cutting road schemes. (2) Transport emissions up over last two years, so radical change now urgent. ice.org.uk/news-views-i...

Industry Leaders Urge New UK PM To Stick To Existing Infrastructure Plans

In an open letter signed by 27 built environment and industry bodies, the sector warned that “now is not the time to go back to square one”.

ice.org.uk

Of course unions look out for their members but it defies belief that they chose *this week* to lobby for more North Sea oil drilling. They should be lobbying for super-generous retraining terms.

There are about 25,000 schools in England, so today's promise of 5,000 miles of new safe routes by 2035 means...do the math. Actually you don't even need to bother. That 5,000 figure and the 10,000 new crossings are just "intentions", not even actual targets in the plan.

Prof. Ian Walker@ianwalker.bsky.social · 2mo ago

I shall watch this with interest. There's no way to get 60% of kids actively travelling to school without disrupting current patterns of car-based mobility. This includes making all urban streets safer, not just those right outside schools www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

Don't believe the hype! The new cycling and walking plan (CWIS3) is out, and yes the quoted £4.5bn is just a forecast fudge, exactly as feared. New figures show stalled cycling and walking levels in England. Hard to spot anything in this plan to shift that. www.gov.uk/government/p...

Cycling and walking investment strategy report to Parliament 2026

Third report to Parliament on the progress in meeting the objectives of the CWIS.

gov.uk

Rafe Smyth@rafe-s.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Exclusive: government now allowing "dedicated funding" for active travel to be used for other transport priorities. Shock news exactly one year since @transportaction.bsky.social won historic Court of Appeal victory against cuts to walking & cycling. transportactionnetwork.org.uk/government-u...

Photograph of campaigners standing outside Royal Courts of Justice with banner saying "Fund healthy travel choices"

One can also make a case that today is the real end-point of Blairism, the ideology free zone in which everyone could have something because the world economy was so robust. It isn't now, and there's no reason to believe it will be any time soon.

A frail old man with have face full of botox looking at the ashes of his work. The Ukrainian people broke him and his army. In a way he fittingly represents Russia.

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pure, uncut, liquid Sir Keir to write an article about "breaking with the status quo once and for all" on Friday, then announcing new roles for Harriet Harman and Gordon Brown on Saturday

Guardian piece by Keir Starmer from Friday 8th May saying he will break with the status quo once and for allGuardian article from 9th May saying Keir Starmer has invited Gordon Brown and Harriet Harman back to government

Big win for the party that wants to increase gas reliance in the middle of a gas crisis, hates the clean technologies that are enjoying booming demand and will dominate the 21st century, and embraces Trumpist climate denial even as catastrophic climate impacts intensify everywhere.

In a rational world the government would be asking people to respond to the current fossil fuel crisis by car sharing, turning lights off, and generally saving fuel and energy. And yet Ministers can’t even propose better efficiency standards for tumble dryers without the right wing press going mad.

A Reuters photographer captured this image of a page from Pam Bondi's "burn book," which she used to counter any questions from Democratic lawmakers during an unhinged hearing today. It looks like the DOJ monitored members of Congress’s searches of the unredacted Epstein files. Just wow.

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