Samuel Hurtado

@samuelhurtado.bsky.social

Head of Stress Testing division at Banco de España. Macroeconomics, machine learning and worrying about a world full of post-viral sequelae. He/him.

Taken at face value, the lineage has 481 mutations. I had trouble determining what exactly it was derived from before, but nextstrain now says that it is a Delta-derivative, so a 4-5 year infection. 2/

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I stand with Dr. Anthony Fauci …because I value EVIDENCE over conspiracy, DATA over rumors, and SCIENCE over politics. No public official is beyond criticism, but there’s a difference between honest scientific guidance and misinformation. I’ll choose evidence EVERY time. #medsky #publichealth

I stand with Dr. Anthony Fauci because I value evidence over conspiracy, data over rumors, and science over politics. No public official is beyond criticism, but there’s a difference between honest scientific guidance and misinformation. I’ll choose evidence every time.

Sunday: I’ll do a quick fact check of this insane RFK Jr interview Monday: Up to 40 lies & it was only a 3 min clip! Tuesday: Ready to defend my 2nd PhD thesis on fascist quackery That's why @saveamericamvmt.bsky.social & I are holding him accountable rasmussenretorts.substack.com/p/rfk-jr-is-...

RFK Jr is Asking to Be Proven Wrong Again So Here Are 40 Examples From Just One CNN Interview

He's just creating work for us at this point

rasmussenretorts.substack.com

Alibaba's Qwen-3.8-max is really impressive. It beats the biggest and newest models from OpenAI and Google in some benchmarks, but that's not what impresses me most. They entered it into a coding competition and it beat 87% of human teams.

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Update on PJ.2.1, the saltation variant originating in Ontario & found in wastewater in ~10 US states. 11/75 sequences today from New York are PJ.2.1. Eight of 11 sequences are identical, with the three others differing by 1 nuc mut. Such limited diversity typically indicates rapid spread. 1/5

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Keeping schools open is a goal not a policy. A blanket "never close schools" is a bad lesson. I suggest these: 1. Do not prejudge next pandemic which will be a different virus and could have very different age profile of who it attacks 9/12

The evidence supports the alt theory of a spillover from animals sold at the market. Spillovers also happen to account for all other novel infectious disease epidemics. I'm tired of writing about this since I'm tired of the harassment. Pretty much every science writer I know feels the same.

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The recorded death toll from the Ebola outbreak in the DRC is about to cross 1,000 cases. In reality there have likely been a lot more deaths already. Many new cases appear to have no link to known cases, suggesting much of the spread is still happening in the dark.

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This month, we published another article revealing that MSG kept a database of VIP event attendees, labeling some of them as LGBTQIA and assigning a “risk score” to others. This is also now free to read:

Madison Square Garden Kept a List of Gay Celebrities

An MSG database tracked and categorized hundreds of celebs, famous Knicks superfans, and even some of Taylor Swift’s wedding guests. Labels included “LGBTQIA,” “DO NOT HOST,” and low to high “risk.”

wired.com

Yesterday, WIRED learned that Madison Square Garden was suing us for our accurate reporting. We stand by our work. That’s why we’re removing the paywall from two of the MSG stories they don’t want you to read, making them free for everyone.

Probably the best example of a rapid bottom-up energy transition: Pakistan imported more Chinese solar last year than any country on earth. No big subsidy, no rooftop scheme, no feed-in tariff. Solar is now around a quarter of electricity. More in my piece👇 www.thenewworld.co.uk/jan-rosenow-...

Pakistan’s solar miracle – how the hell did they do it?

Faced with constant electricity blackouts and a failing grid, people in Pakistan took matters into their own hands. The result is a lesson for the rest of the world, and also a warning

thenewworld.co.uk

🔸️Wastewater levels on both WWScan and Biobot remain at rock bottom levels. 5-8x lower than previous lulls and 50-80x lower than our last big waves in 2024. 🔸️<40k infections/day 🔸️We may still see a small late summer wave for the West and South.

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