Reckonings within the DC policy establishment never happen but the following should be recognized: Liberal champions of Venezuelan democracy got played and gave cover and legitimacy to amateur neo-imperialists, helping them birth a dangerous and destabilizing new order.
Sam Handlin
@shandlin.bsky.social
Swarthmore political scientist. Elections, autocracy, and the politics of digital surveillance in Venezuela and beyond. Currently moving from the other place...
decades of “national security” people treating those concerned about US imperialism as wacko commies while intoning gravely about a supposed liberal/rules-based order under threat by a rotating cast of someone else.
Trump is going to declare victory and leave the Maduro-regime-without-Maduro in place, isn’t he? The dumbest possible ending.
Coup Dynamics and Escalation Risk in Venezuela Air strikes offer little guarantee that Maduro will be ousted. Maduro is unpopular and illegitimate. But its not clear why this matters. Air strikes do not trigger a popularity contest. 1/
I get why Team MCM/Edmundo makes this argument yet its still hugely annoying to be told that anybody who believes democracy might not magically materialize in an already failed state after US sponsored regime change via force is simply providing cover for Maduro. www.wsj.com/opinion/what...
Opinion | What Comes After Maduro Falls
Disregard the warnings of civil war. Venezuela stands united behind democratic leaders María Corina Machado and Edmundo González.
wsj.com
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We simply had to intentionally destroy the world’s strongest economy while dismantling our scientific and educational infrastructure to ensure that a team with a trans girl would never finish second place in the Mountain West volleyball standings again
I’m told this is a real letter. It basically says, “We’ll destroy Columbia unless you destroy it first.”
This phenomenon deserves its own name in which otherwise smart elites engage in all sorts of insane theorizing to rationalize what Trump is doing. DOGE is the disruptive force government needs. Trump is a savvy geopolitical strategist. Recessions are actually good. 1/
Elites of a certain generation are having a hard time seeing Trump & Co as mafia goons. They insist he must have some philosophy of power that America has already been through & is returning to. The failure to update is going to be very costly. Pirates have boarded the ship & you can’t mildly argue
How many federal workers would DOGE need to fire to make up for Musk not paying his fair share of taxes? Answer: 677,000. That's 44% of the entire non-DoD federal workforce. Again, this power grab is not about the budget. It’s about politics.
How much Elon Musk makes from the government a day: $8 million. How much a senior on Social Security gets a day: $65 Guess which budget Musk and Trump want to cut?
This will blow up university budgets and one effect is that the job market will be very very bleak for a while.
grants.nih.gov/grants/guide...
Every one of these guys thinks they’re Oppenheimer mixed with Andrew Carnegie and they own something called SplortDotCom that got bought by Boozoo
2025 will go down as the year when all the subtext became text
So many mainstream journalists got snowed into repeating the obviously farcical story that Trump's envoy made such grave threats that he got Netanyahu to fold. Netanyahu gave Trump a "win" and now Trump will turn a blind eye to the annexation of the WB and shrug when the war returns to Gaza.
Trump will not use US leverage to preserve the ceasefire; he will not even use US sanctions leverage to weaken the far-right in Israel as Biden did. US strategy with Israel/Palestine will switch to Maximum Bystander, allowing the Israelis to do what they see as necessary.
The news of a deal in Gaza is an immense relief, first and foremost. It is convenient for both Trump and Bibi to claim that the former wielded sticks and forced the latter's hand. Far more likely is that Trump offered some awful carrots, like support for the ethnic cleansing of the West Bank.
Your location data going back years may now be in the hands of any random cybercrime syndicate willing to pay for it. Gravy Analytics claims to collect on 1b mobile devices daily and the hackers say they've been inside their systems since 2018.
Holy shit. 404 reporting that Gravy Analytics (Unacast) has been breached, hackers might leak location data www.404media.co/hackers-clai...
We're going to need separate Milei and non-Milei categories but this thread should be a banger regardless.
We're hosting a competition to decide the Craziest Moment in LatAm Politics 2024. This is our second edition after the widly popular contest of 2023. We now want an input from our followers, please send sugestions. We will try to include moments from every country of LatAm.
Amazing thread, follow to the end.
Still blown away by GPT-4o’s images. It does dark fantasy very well. I saw a statue of a frog doing yoga and wondered what it would look like as ornamentation in a baroque cathedral. It only really worked when I asked to zoom in…
Optimist: The cup is half full Pessimist: The cup is half empty Political scientist: Whatever. Can you make a valid causal inference about how it got that way?
Optimist: The cup is half full Pessimist: The cup is half empty STS researcher: The cup is an affordance
This is insane and probably only the beginning in public higher ed.