Skeletor Capital

@skelecap.bsky.social

Equities, ex-credit, they keep forcing me to cover semiconductors, Final Fantasy, cats

I think my most genuinely unpopular take is that a widely held and genuine consumer preference for cheaper, lower-quality goods, not private equity, is driving the decline in quality of consumer goods like clothing and housewares.

The thing about blockading Hormuz is that it is the logical conventional escalation option vs. running a massive bombing campaign or attempting amphibious invasions, to the point where I’m surprised they didn’t do it first week of March.

$AAPL great take on the new MacBook Neo, and how PC makers ignore it at their peril ie 8GB RAM is zippier on this machine running MacOS (not iPadOS) so they can keep costs down

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Since 1y BEI @ 5% chart is doing the rounds, a not of caution: short-term TIPS are *extremely* illiquid. To price breakeven inflation you match nominal UST with TIPS, which gives you an inflation "price". But if one leg of that is super illiquid....well you got some issues.

2006 - current chart of 1y inflation swaps and 1y breakeven inflation

Black hole mergers from LIGO are pulling at my brain because the mergers of event horizons and release of significant amounts of energy as gravitational waves (5% of combined mass) imply the possibility the underlying whatever that's behind the event horizon could be merging as well, which is a trip