Steve Sawyer
@stevesawyer12.bsky.social
Recovering data analyst. Husband to the LOML, proud Dad to a union machinist, a union road maintenance worker, and a pit bull. “The old order is not coming back” – Canadian PM Mark Carney
this is really, really good. he’s subtly making a strong case that all gender is performance. this just might start to unwind both the trans panic and even the attacks on talarico. and will either convert or enrage the bill maher types.
Abdul El-Sayed@abdulelsayed.bsky.social · 23h agoDon't get me wrong, I lift every morning. But being a man is not really about how you show up in the gym. It's how you show up for your family. It's about how you show up for your community.
What event in our time will historians eventually point to as marking the beginning of WWIII? WWII was well under way when Hitler invaded Poland (see Japan in China and the Spanish Civil War). The Balkans were already at it when WWI broke out. /1
My god…until today I hadn’t seen the clip of this poor man trying to evade a drone that was intent on killing him. I understand he survived but I don’t know how or how badly he was injured. Watch it here:
The Dystopian Future of War
Russia's Human Safari, and its imitators
open.substack.com
Steve Sawyer@stevesawyer12.bsky.social · 5d agoReally important discussion here. It’s a bit of a tough numerical slog for a bit, but hang in there as it’s all explained pretty well simply by describing methods and explaining conclusions. The last 10 minutes is critically important stuff.
Deep Dive episode: What if our leaders are actually more responsive to public opinion than we think?
Watch now (59 mins) | I sit down with Peter Enns, a political scientist at Cornell University, whose new research offers an optimistic view of democracy and representation
open.substack.com
Iran is now publicly talking about what I’ve been saying since this war started: They’re trying to Jimmy Carter him, and he’s letting it happen while telling everyone he’s winning.
To my DSA homies- we represent *basic bitch FDR/LBJ legacy Democratic Party politics*. The 3rd Way Clintonista DNC corporate Dems are the anomaly, not us. Basic left wing Social Democrat platform is literally just FDR's 2nd Bill Of Rights. Let's seize back the narrative
👍 👇 Caring what Republicans might say got us into Vietnam, to weaken regulatory practices, to rollback safety-net measures, to turn a blind eye as Wall Street morphed into a national security risk. Caring what Republicans say got us to feel satisfied with a glass barely wet let alone half-full!
I'mTheProblemIt'sMe@spin4srv.bsky.social · 3d agoDems have to stop caring what Republicans might say. Every Dem has been 'the most liberal' for decades. Every Dem has been 'anti-military' and 'defund the police'. You'll never leave the house if you care about that. Do the work and speak your choices,
GIFT ARTICLE: "Populist economic policies can sway moderate voters in swing districts and states, according to a left-leaning advocacy group pushing Democrats to craft messages that attack billionaires and large corporations ahead of the critical Nov. 3 midterm elections. ..." wapo.st/4z8dgr1
Group urges Democrats to woo moderate voters with populist policies
A progressive group says messages that target the wealthy and large corporations appeal to a majority of Americans who see the economy as fundamentally rigged.
wapo.st
Republican polling expert Kristen Soltis Anderson has shared a harsh message for Donald Trump ahead of the midterms." www.thedailybeast.com/gop-pollster...
GOP Pollster Makes Damning Prediction for Trump’s Economy
Trump’s “extraordinarily poor” economy is made worse by his absolute refusal to own up to it, she says.
thedailybeast.com
"Three consecutive polls have shown Talarico leading the scandal-plagued Texas attorney general, adding to the sense that Paxton’s path to the Senate is looking increasingly precarious." www.thedailybeast.com/maga-senate-...
Trump Senate Pick Sounds Alarm as GOP Braces for Midterms
The Trump-backed Republican is sounding the alarm as polls show his Senate bid slipping away.
thedailybeast.com
Oh my. Do you take me for a fool. Of course Al-Sayad could lose voting blocs but the discourse suggests that he can’t add back as well. Harris blew it in Michigan; the Dems wrote off the Arab and Muslim voting bloc and they turned to Trump. The early data suggests they are surging back.
Juliette Kayyem@juliettekayyem.bsky.social · 2d agoDems freaking out about whether Al-Sayed can win in a state where Trump won, it helps to do your homework. Harris lost because she lost the Arab and Muslim vote there due to Biden and team’s Gaza stance. The community is back in the Democratic fold. They vote too. From NewArc on Michigan primary:
Private equity is price gouging firefighters now. Yes, you read that right. Firefighters. Is this the most evil thing they've done yet?
So let me get this straight, the GOP is trying to smear Muslim Americans holding office in NYC or running for office in MI with 9/11 innuendo but allow the Saudi government with its deep connections to the actual 9/11 hijackers to obtain nuclear fuel? I’m sure this is just fine.
The Washington Post@washingtonpost.com · 3w agoPresident Trump has reached an agreement with Saudi Arabia that gives that country a pathway to enrich nuclear fuel and commits it to using U.S. firms to supply its reactors. Here’s what’s in the agreement:
This is my fear too. Gridlock. Endless gridlock with no party, no institution rising to meet the challenge, and the American people becoming even more cynical and anti-establishment, seeing no practical difference between any of the factions fighting for power while ignoring We The People.
Kevin Elliott@kjephd.bsky.social · 2d agoMost likely, Dems narrowly fail to take the Senate, narrowly take the House & with a majority unprepared for/unwilling to do constitutional hardball. The path of least resistance is Dems do CRs & investigations which are stonewalled and...that's it, constitutional stalemate, as 2028 swings into gear
Endorse! “One of the things people find the hardest to accept in politics is that most problems can't be solved, only managed. The greatest sin of punditry is the idea that one clever guy can fix the big vexing challenge with one weird trick. But if you're going to manage these challenges +
Most of Our Ideas About Party Divisions Are Bullshit — Let’s Discuss
A week ago I wrote about a new CNN poll and how...
talkingpointsmemo.com
🧵 PROBLEM: You understand how vitally important STATE LEGISLATIVE races are, since they control things like voting rights, gerrymandering and so much more...but there's over 7,000 of them and you have no idea which ones are competitive! SOLUTION: Blue26.org/state 1/
State Legislative
Links on this page allow you to easily donate to multiple Democrats running for state legislative seats in every state! Competitive District pages list Democrats running in districts which have a par...
blue26.org
Let’s clear a few things up: Senate GOP don’t want the SAVE Act. They want to campaign on wanting the SAVE Act. If Cassidy was a no, Murkowski or Collins would have been a yes. It’s theater. If they thought they could cancel recess, not a single Republican would vote for it.
In this environment, with this fellow's level of toxicity, a donation like this is effectively a contribution-in-kind to the other side.
Stephen Wolf@stephenwolf.bsky.social · 3d agoElon Musk is funding an Alaska ballot initiative that would repeal the top-4 ranked-choice voting system … and “eliminate campaign finance laws that enable Alaska voters to know when big spenders like Musk give money to Alaska campaigns.”
We’re going to lose Taiwan and Poland thanks to the orange idiot. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/08/u...
The U.S. Is Burning Through Weapons in Iran. Russia and China Are Taking Note.
The Iran war has depleted U.S. weapons stockpiles, resulting in a significant erosion of firepower. A more drawn-out Iran conflict benefits Moscow and Beijing, some analysts say.
nytimes.com
And the alarmists were closer to the mark than people like Douthat
Peter@notalawyer.bsky.social · 3d agoThis line from Ross Douthat’s final NYT column is something you see all the time from the soft-MAGA right. Sure, Trump’s *most* alarmist critics weren’t correct, but that’s basically true of every president. Trump’s *median* critic did in fact predict his presidency pretty accurately.
My hope is all this hand-wringing and pearl-clutching and talk about “war” with members of their own party pisses people off to the point that they vote for the progressive Dem candidate on the ballot just as a big fuck you to the party establishment. /1
How are Republicans always so much vastly better than us on this. You think the corporate wing likes the abortion nuts? Of course not. But somehow their people have enough impulse control to STFU while ours do not.
Establishment people: you have got to start being aggressively and vigorously normal about Democratic Socialists. Like yesterday. So help me god you are going to throw this fucking election to MAGA if you do not.
Karen Geier@karengeier.com · 3d ago
When you have your own booth at Pink Pony Club, you don’t prosecute what happens at Pink Pony Club.
Steve Sawyer@stevesawyer12.bsky.social · 5d agoSomething Republicans in Congress could never embrace.
Steve Sawyer@stevesawyer12.bsky.social · 3d ago
I think it was Timothy Snyder who said the first line of defense against this kind of interference is knowing the playbook and seeing it coming. “We’re watching you.” This is good to hear.
We Need To Be Prepared
YouTube video by Sen. Elissa Slotkin
youtube.com
