Who up hybriding their regime rn

In 1862, Lincoln told a group of concerned comservative voters that he had no plans to free the slaves, let alone arm blacks, and was met with anger from abolitionists. He had already written the emancipation proclamation and freed slave units were already training.

I’m about as pro Ukraine and anti Russia as it gets. But I would oppose Ukraine intentionally massacring Russian civilians because killing civilians is bad

Our age of Sox is collapsing

The bots have been converted

Wyoming? D+9 Wisconsin? D+9 Massachusetts? Believe it or not, D+9

The notion of a “throw the bums out” election where incumbents lose everywhere regardless of party has mostly been a myth, because people tend to blame the party in power nationally more than their particular incumbents. But maybe we’re finally getting that?

hypervelocity kinetic kill dorito

When I wrote letters in 2024, we specifically targeted them towards registered Democrats who had an inconsistent record of voting. That group is always going to lean Democratic to the extent it shows up, outside of extreme situations like rural West Virginia.

I’ve never understood the argument that, because low propensity voters lean Republican, Democrats shouldn’t try to juice turnout. Surely you target your GOTV to demographics that lean *towards* you!

this is a TRVTH countervalue strike

I can’t find a single one going back to 2006, the earliest Senate election where Wikipedia lists Cook’s ratings.

I think going back to 2018, Cook has not rated a Senate race as Lean Dem+ that the Dem ended up losing.

Scott MacFarlane@macfarlanenews.bsky.social · 3d ago

NEW: Cook Political Report shifts forecasts It's still quite striking to see the words: "Kansas" and "Toss-up"

You seem devoted to the thesis that the NYT, in particular, is secretly pulling for Trump. How do you square that with *this* article two years ago?

you know what i said about 95% percentile of media literacy? the clip really does not support the gloss aaron is giving it

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 4d ago

Trump: "With the war, it's just artificial. It's a little bit high. It's a small price to pay ... let them take out Los Angeles, let them take out San Diego. This is a very small price to pay."

finally Georgia and North Carolina will complete the pincer movement to cut the Accursed Carolina off from the greater red blob

VoteHub@votehub.com · 4d ago

RACE RATING CHANGE: North Carolina Senate Likely D → Solid D Roy Cooper currently has an 95% chance of winning in our model. His projected margin is 9.6 points.

Anyway, waiting on @isaiahbishop.bsky.social @peark.es and @sky.skymarchini.net to weigh in and make me less of an idiot on this topic.

“Bill Belichick signs a North Attleboro Walmart assistant manager who rushes for 1,000 yards as a fullback” as national policy

Plainwrap@plainwrapname.bsky.social · 5d ago

The funniest recurring bit in American military history is letting the other team get a free year of wins and making them think the war is over before rolling out the invincible army of rookies.

The funniest recurring bit in American military history is letting the other team get a free year of wins and making them think the war is over before rolling out the invincible army of rookies.

The fact that this construction doesn’t work with Montana proves it was never meant to be

Indakota, like Indaho or Indebraska

i continue to believe that elites have massively miscalculated their approach to this moment, and they have hitched themselves to a horse speeding toward a cliff

Your error was in assuming they’d get a dead cat bounce.

T. Greg Doucette@gregdoucette.bsky.social · last wk.

::taps the sign::

A man so desperate to use the bathroom at a Kroger supermarket in Texas intentionally crashed his 2006 Chevrolet HHR through the building’s front doors because the store was closed, the authorities said.

A Driver Desperate to Use the Bathroom Plows Into a Kroger in Texas, the Police Say

The driver, James Mansell Lancaster Jr., was upset to find the supermarket in Rosenberg, Texas, closed early Sunday morning, the police said.

nyti.ms

In 2012, Harry Reid lied on the Senate floor and said Mitt Romney hadn’t paid taxes in a decade. Mitt Romney published his tax returns, proving that he *had* always paid taxes, thank you very much. No matter how little. Romney lost that election and Reid said “I’d do it again.”

In other words, take this maximalist 2029 map, with Dems running the table in >1% races this year and >5% races in 2028. It’s 72D-28R. At most 5 of the Republicans who would be eliminated in 2028 can risk not convicting Trump without him being acquitted again. www.270towin.com/maps/7QDvd

270toWin - 2028 Presidential Election Interactive Map

Create your own forecast for the 2028 presidential election

270towin.com

That means at least 59 Senators next year. Then we threaten the other seats in NC, IA, KS, SC, and maybe LA (plus flip Murkowski in AK), along with WI and either IN, MO, or UT. It’s not inconceivable. But I’d say it’s closer to 1% odds than 10% odds. Plus, some Senators are true believers.

Going by Trump’s 2024 margin of victory by state, in order to threaten 67 Dem Senators by 2029 (and thereby induce GOP Senators to remove in 2027/28 to avoid that), Dems need to win up to KS, SC, and FL this year, and then either have independents run the table, break LA and MS, or some combination.

Joe Lieberman, representing a state that hasn’t turned down a Democrat since Mike Dukakis: sorry Harry, the insurance companies don’t want a public option White S. Premcy, MS-the bad part, who got elected in 2006 by calling Dick Cheney a homophobic slur: yes madam speaker, all glory to the party 🫡