Everyday weather in a warmer world Imagine the weather patterns that happened in 1903 occurred again in a warmer world - how would that weather be experienced differently? Thomas et al. answer this question, highlighting the thermodynamic response of the climate: esd.copernicus.org/articles/17/...

Everyday weather in a warmer world

Abstract. How would the weather of a year from history be experienced in a warmer world? We reconstruct the weather of 1903 using a reanalysis system that assimilates only surface pressure observation...

esd.copernicus.org

How hot & dry was your UK summer? Excellent interactive tool to explore how hot this summer was: www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

UK summer 2026: BBC postcode lookup shows how hot and dry it was

Most of us experienced drought and heatwaves - but temperatures and rainfall were not the same everywhere.

bbc.co.uk

New version of the HadCRUT global temperature dataset released @colinmorice.bsky.social HadCRUT5.2 uses HadSST4.2 (with improved adjustments for SST biases during 1933-1961) and CRUTEM5.2 (with updates to stations in China, USA and Canada). Here is the difference from the previous version 5.1

📣 CCNow is thrilled to announce the winners of the 2026 CCNow Journalism Awards! Our awards program honors excellent reporting on many critical dimensions of the climate story. Together, their work constitutes the leading edge of climate storytelling. ...🧵↓

🌍 54 million historical weather observations from 95 countries have been unlocked & made freely available online. 📚 With records dating back to 1837, the project enabled the discovery of an HMS Terror logbook & an international weather station network Read ⤵️ www.metoffice.gov.uk/blog/2026/ho...

How 54 million historical weather records are being made globally accessible

For more than a century, the Met Office's National Meteorological Archive has held a treasure trove of historical weather data, some of it dating back to 1837. Now, thanks to a major project, tens of ...

metoffice.gov.uk

22 feet (almost 7m). 2,000 years. One scarf. 99% blue, then the last little bit turns red. That's climate change, knitted, based on @edhawkins.org climate stripes. climateactually.com for the full story. #ClimateAction #Knitting #ClimateActually

August 2026 was the warmest August ever recorded globally and the warmest month on record El Niño is pushing temperatures higher, but these records are occurring in a climate that has already been fundamentally altered by decades of burning fossil fuels heating our planet #Climate 🧪⚒️🌊

How much warmer was summer 2026 than 1976 for the UK? Interesting differences between daytime (Tmax) and nighttime (Tmin). 2026 was much warmer than 1976, including in rural areas. (The only exception is daytime temperatures in Scotland.)

We haven’t just changed our weather. We’ve changed the climate in which our weather happens. climatelabbook.substack.com/p/learning-f...

Learning from the summers of 1976 and 2026

We have changed the climate in which our weather happens

climatelabbook.substack.com

War drama Pressure depicts D‑day’s weather forecast – what we found when we recreated the challenge using modern systems theconversation.com/war-drama-pr...

War drama Pressure depicts D-day’s weather forecast – what we found when we recreated the challenge using modern systems

Even with today’s forecasting technology, D-Day would not have been an easy call as portrayed in the new movie, Pressure.

theconversation.com

News we could not be more excited to share: the description paper of our high-resolution dataset is now available for review and comment at ESSD. The record provides global coverage at 0.25° resolution, built from 58,311 weather stations extending back to 1750. Pre-print: tinyurl.com/9dw7jbnf

Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature – High-Resolution (BEST-HR): a 0.25° Global Gridded Temperature Data Set for Climate Monitoring

Abstract. We present version 2 of the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature dataset, a global observational temperature record that now features enhanced spatial resolution (0.25° × 0.25°) and a new regr...

tinyurl.com

How does an AI forecast model handle the uncertainty of the most important weather forecast in history? It is June 1944: Stagg & Eisenhower have a critical decision to make under pressure Reimagining the D-Day forecast through machine learning: rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...

Pressure: reimagining the D‐Day forecast through machine learning

We reproduce the D-Day forecasts, one of the most iconic and famous forecasts ever made and the subject of the new film ‘Pressure’ using a machine-learning model, AIFS-ENS. While James Stagg and the ...

rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Global warming is set to cross 1.5°C, pushing climate risks and impacts to increasingly dangerous heights, a new UNEP report warns.   Predicted impacts include extreme weather and threats to human health and economies.

Think it’s time for a new extended temperature colour scale…

Met Office - weather and climate@metoffice.gov.uk · 4w ago

Summer 2026 is provisionally the UK’s warmest summer on record with the season’s mean temperature made around 130 times more likely due to human-induced climate change. Here, we delve into the numbers 🧵

Summer 2026 is provisionally the UK’s warmest summer on record with the season’s mean temperature made around 130 times more likely due to human-induced climate change. Here, we delve into the numbers 🧵

Reconstructed Satellite Images Show How Close D-Day Came to Disaster gizmodo.com/reconstructe...

Reconstructed Satellite Images Show How Close D-Day Came to Disaster

Built off historic weather records, the new images show the surprisingly small break in the clouds that made the landings possible.

gizmodo.com

A break in the clouds helped make D-Day possible. Ahead of the release of new film Pressure, University of Reading's Prof Ed Hawkins and ECMWF reconstructed the weather conditions of 6 June 1944, showing how a few hours either way could have changed history. Read more: https://rdg.ac/4hT1fQh

A new Hollywood film (Pressure) is to be released shortly to tell the story of the infamous weather forecast that enabled D-Day to be a success. We produced a new reanalysis for D-Day, and processed it to look a bit like a satellite image. climatelabbook.substack.com/p/pressure-t...

this is very cool

Ed Hawkins@edhawkins.org · last mo.

Over the weekend, a storm in the Baltic states caused significant disruption to power supplies and at least 2 deaths. An experimental reanalysis-based attribution approach suggests that ~20% more rain fell than if the same weather pattern had occurred in a world that was 1°C cooler.

Climate change is increasing the intensity of extreme rain, and using multiple methods can increase our confidence in this. We've been working on a new storyline technique:

Ed Hawkins@edhawkins.org · last mo.

Over the weekend, a storm in the Baltic states caused significant disruption to power supplies and at least 2 deaths. An experimental reanalysis-based attribution approach suggests that ~20% more rain fell than if the same weather pattern had occurred in a world that was 1°C cooler.

Over the weekend, a storm in the Baltic states caused significant disruption to power supplies and at least 2 deaths. An experimental reanalysis-based attribution approach suggests that ~20% more rain fell than if the same weather pattern had occurred in a world that was 1°C cooler.

Projection has become reality 22 years ago, Christoph Schär et al. published a landmark paper in Nature explaining that the 2003 heatwave was a harbinger of things to come. The study featured an iconic figure - shown in countless lectures - illustrating how outlandish the event was at the time

With the looming El Nino, what does this mean for UK weather? Likely wet? The major El Nino events of the last 50 years have all been coincident with a wet UK in late autumn into winter. The wetter winter part did not occur during the 1877-78 El Nino, which we think was the largest event on record.

Daily rainfall sheet for Mile End in London in 1893 - dry from 4th March to 15th May - 73 days - the longest such dry period on record, for now.

I've stared at (and sometimes help produce) these climate graphics for some 3 decades by now, and still, it's always striking to see: "Observed changes in climate over the last 2025 years" from @edhawkins.org's github.com/ed-hawkins/c...

All else being equal even a simple increase in the mean of the temperature distribution will lead to extreme heat above a particular threshold that's more frequent, more intense, lasts longer and covers a wider area (you'll have to imagine that third dimension).

Earlier in the summer I presented a figure showing how a comparable weather event to the summer of 1976 would be experienced in a warmer current climate. It would be 3-4°C hotter, with London hitting 38°C. Yesterday, that is exactly what happened.

Nope, it’s the weeks of hot, dry weather made more severe by global heating due to fossil fuel burning that has increased the risk of wildfires. The landscape is so dry that any ignition can start a fire that becomes uncontrollable. Fields of crops and grasses are not “rewilded” but have burned

38.0ºC at Pershore was an all-time record for the station by 0.9ºC (37.1ºC, 19th July 2022) and a new August record by OVER 3ºC (34.9ºC, 4th August 1990). Station records go back to 1957.

Horrific scenes in Stourbridge & Stoke-on-Trent today with several houses devastated by wildfires. The Fire Service are saying that the hot and dry conditions helped the fires to spread from grasslands to residential areas.