Agree that Warsh seems to be laying to groundwork to lower rates into potential supply growth. If so, that decision would confiscate the potential surplus from households and give it back to producers via lower-cost dollars. (Trickle down economics) Let the surplus market express!
Fed Chair Warsh has invoked a tech-productivity miracle as cover to keep rates low, invoking the '90s Greenspan era. Yet much more than tech drove the '90s disinflationary boom: Fiscal conditions, demographics and globalization all helped. These are all pushing the other direction now. New column.