Yuriy Gorodnichenko
@ygorodnichenko.bsky.social
Economics Professor at UC Berkeley; from #Ukraine Author of "Expectations Matter: The New Causal Macroeconomics of Surveys and Experiments".
The experience of being chased by a murderous kamikaze drone, a flying machine that behaves as if it were alive, is not one that humans are equipped to understand: www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
The Dystopian Future Dawns in Kherson
Putin’s human safari in Ukraine is the beginning of a grim new normal.
theatlantic.com
🔥🔥🔥 John Mearsheimer gets it wrong every time he opens his mouth! from www.facebook.com/bpitts.usa
A new piece with @ilonasolohub.bsky.social The USSR perfected deploying "independent" voices to deliver Kremlin messages while appearing to challenge them. Melnichenko's Economist piece is the same playbook. The correct response to such "visions" is one word: nyet. #Ukraine
Why The Economist Scoop Was a Polite Version of the Same Moscow Threat
The storied British news journal merely flogged a standard Russian threat couched as a “wind of change.”
kyivpost.com
FT editorial on EU sanctions on RUS "the price of short-term efforts to protect national interests could be to embolden RUS to fight on in pursuit of a victory that would have huge costs for Europe’s long-term security and prosperity." The lack of strategic thinking in some EU gov'ts is shocking
The EU needs to hold together on Russia sanctions
Cost of trying to protect domestic interests may be to embolden Moscow
ft.com
I have a new policy brief on Russia's wartime economy (with Mariia Dzholos and Oleksii Shpanel-Yukhta. TL;DR: Russia can't sustain this war much longer without imposing substantial hardship on its population. Accompanying op-ed here: voxukraine.org/en/russia-s-...
Russia’s War Economy Is Running Down. Europe Should Press Harder
In mid-July, European leaders will gather for another review of the Union's sanctions against Russia. It is therefore a fitting...
voxukraine.org
This is one of the two closest metro stations to my house, which is used like a shelter. Coincidence of yet another Russian attack. #UkrainianView
A strong worded editorial from Financial Times Main message: the best people should be in the government This is always a good idea and especially so during an existential war #Ukraine www.ft.com/content/fd75...
Ukraine’s self-defeating reshuffle
Wartime leadership is not a popularity contest
ft.com
How do firms form inflation expectations in a heterogeneous monetary union? Using novel euro area survey data, including an RCT, the paper shows that firms' beliefs are consistent with Bayesian updating, extrapolating from regional and national inflation to euro area expectations
Forthcoming article "Firms’ Inflation Expectations in a Monetary Union" by Ursel Baumann, Annalisa Ferrando, Dimitris Georgarakos, @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social and @treinelt.bsky.social @eeanews.bsky.social doi.org/10.1093/jeea...
Firms’ Inflation Expectations in a Monetary Union
Abstract. Using data from the euro area SAFE, a novel survey of firms’ inflation expectations including a randomized controlled trial, we show that firms’
doi.org
Everyone is amazed at the development of drone industry in Ukraine. Ukrainian firms are ready to share the experience and technologies, but Ukraine needs more "conventional" weapons such as missiles. Our op-ed with @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social www1.project-syndicate.org/commentary/h...
Inside Ukraine’s Game-Changing Drone Industry
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Viktor Koziuk and Ilona Sologoub examine the nuts and bolts of how the country has turned military necessity into world-leading technology.
www1.project-syndicate.org
Trump promised to finish the war in one day It has been 531 days since his inauguration and RU continues to destroy Kyiv and other cities in #Ukraine kyivindependent.com/russian-atta...
Massive Russia attack hits apartment buildings in Kyiv, killing 8, injuring 34
Russia launched a barrage of missiles and drones toward Kyiv overnight on July 6, hours after President Volodymyr Zelensky warned of yet another large-scale attack targeting the capital.
kyivindependent.com
1/3 New episode of #PolicyImplications with Jacob Kirkegaard. We discuss what Europe has actually built since 2022: the EU has become essential on money, sanctions, coordination, and long-term support for UA. But EU defence future increasingly runs through UA. Link: tinyurl.com/5hfs7u9p
Ukraine is essential for Europe's security and development. @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social discusses this from economic and technological points of view. Please share: voxukraine.org/en/europe-20...
Europe 2050: Geometries of Peace, Power, and Prosperity
Years ago, California was the frontier of the “Wild West.” Today, it is the beating heart of innovation and the...
voxukraine.org
Op-ed with @ilonasolohub.bsky.social Every concession framed as “diplomacy” is a village burned. When Western leaders repeat RUS “newspeak,” they become its amplifiers. After 12 years of RUS aggression, #Ukraine doesn't need borrowed euphemisms from its partners. UKR needs more effective weapons.
Negotiations’ Are Traps – How Russia Tweaks Language to Deceive the West
Every concession framed as “diplomacy” is a village burned. Every time Western leaders repeat Russian “newspeak,” they become its amplifiers.
kyivpost.com
🎧 Today, as RU launched another massive attack on Kyiv, I’m sharing an episode that feels especially timely. Link: tinyurl.com/4fbjbrvs 🎧 Listen as a podcast: 🟢 Spotify: shorturl.at/Ho3jh 🍎 Apple Podcasts: shorturl.at/gOlvb ▶️ YouTube Podcasts: shorturl.at/otJaq #EconSky #PoliSky #EconTwitter
Sec. Rubio congratulated the Russian people on Russia Day. US Gov. joined Iran, Belarus, N. Korea, etc. No European government or EU institution congratulated Sec. Blinken in 2022 on RUS day: "...the Kremlin is waging an unprovoked and unjustified war against a sovereign, neighboring state."
Le pays qui peut sauver l'Europe se trouve à l'Est. L'Ukraine pourrait devenir l'investissement le plus important que l’Union pourrait réaliser. La perspective de l'économiste @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social.
Le pays qui peut sauver l’Europe n’est pas celui auquel vous pensez | Le Grand Continent
L'Ukraine est en train de devenir notre Californie, l'investissement le plus important que l’Union pourrait réaliser est son élargissement.
legrandcontinent.eu
Monthly losses of Russian vehicles and fuel tankers (Source: General Staff of the Armed Forces of #Ukraine) A dramatic increase in recent months. Recent days were ~500/day Daily number for June 1, 2026: 517 At this rate, June will be well above 10,000
Kyiv this morning After a massive Russian attack
Studying how information treatments affect corruption perceptions and prosocial behavior in Ukraine, from @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social, Ilona Sologoub, and Yuriy Fedyk www.nber.org/papers/w35251
Olivier Blanchard on my #Ukriane chapter for #CEPR Europe 2050 project: "You may well start skeptical: Yes, first we need peace or something close. And UKR is not perfect. But read it with an open mind and change your mind, or at least move your prior. The opportunity is there." #UkrainianView
Great pleasure to contribute my chapter on #Ukraine to CEPR's Europe 2050 Years ago, #California was the frontier of the “Wild West.” Today, it is the beating heart of innovation and the new economy. In much the same way, Ukraine is poised to become the “Wild East” of the European Union (EU).
The National Bank of Ukraine and Narodowy Bank Polski invite submissions for their 10th joint Annual Research Conference titled “Central Banks Response to Future Challenges: Resilience, Credibility, and Innovation”. See the call for papers #EconSky
A Glovo delivery in Kyiv after a massive Russian attack on our city. That's Ukraine.
A proposal to manage blackouts in #Ukraine and other countries
VoxEU @ CEPR@voxeu.org · 3mo agoT Deryugina, @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social & M Reguant argue a better approach to energy rationing is load limiting via smart meters. Rotational outages function as a regressive tax, but load limiting generates substantial savings while impacting fewer households. cepr.org/voxeu/column... #EconSky
