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Avital Livny

@avitallivny.bsky.social

Assoc Prof of Pol Science @ Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Ethnicity & religion; Turkey & Middle East; measurement More here: www.alivny.com

71 Posts1174 Follower468 Folgt
Ben Wikler@benwikler.bsky.social · 2mo ago

I'm on the road, but my heart is at home in Madison. Corey Ruiz is dead, his family—and the city—is grieving, and a neighborhood that has carried this kind of shock, pain, and loss before is again in mourning. If you're able, join me in supporting Corey's family: gofund.me/81bea73c2

Ben Yoel@benyoel.bsky.social · 6mo ago

Chaudoin and @avitallivny.bsky.social (2021) have a nice piece on this. Their conclusion seems to be that randomizing where possible should be the way to go. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10....

Survey Design, Order Effects, and Causal Mediation Analysis | The Journal of Politics: Vol 83, No 4

Causal mediation analysis requires measurement of an outcome variable (O) with and without treatment, plus a set of mediator variables (M) that constitute possible pathways for the treatment effect. There is no consensus on whether surveys should measure potentially mediating variables before or after the outcome variables—MO or OM. We use a replication exercise to demonstrate how the order of mediator and outcome items can be consequential for the results from causal mediation analysis. Order can affect mediation conclusions, even if the treatment effect is similar across designs. As such, randomizing order is usually prudent, although best practice depends on the researcher’s contextual knowledge about her particular application.

journals.uchicago.edu

Bend the Arc: Jewish Action@bendthearc.bsky.social · 7mo ago

Correct. We must fight antisemitism. And we cannot fight it by restricting free speech. Listen to @aclu.org, @splcenter.org @truahrabbis.bsky.social @ncjw.bsky.social, and Hannah Rosenthal — former CEO of Milwaukee Jewish Federations, Jewish Council for Public Affairs, & US envoy on antisemitism.

@captimes.com · 7mo ago

Editorial: A bill working its way through the Wisconsin Legislature seeks to define antisemitism, but critics warn it infringes free-speech rights.

Nicole Bedera@nbedera.bsky.social · 8mo ago

The biggest risk in this moment is something sociologists call “symbolic compliance.” That’s when an institution that is violating civil rights gives the public just enough symbolic victories that accountability efforts lose steam before there has been any meaningful change.

Adam Bonica@adambonica.bsky.social · 9mo ago

If there's one empirical insight I'd want everyone to understand about American politics, it's this: America's problems are solved problems. Just not here. What would change if the US simply matched the average of 31 peer democracies? Not Denmark or Norway. Just the middle of the pack. 🧵

Screenshot of a data visualization titled “The Cost of American Exceptionalism,” subtitled “What would change if the U.S. matched the OECD average?” The page explains that each card shows how outcomes would change if the U.S. matched the average of 31 peer democracies. Below, a section labeled “Economy & Inequality” displays eight cards comparing U.S. figures to OECD averages. Highlights include: +$19K per household per year in redistributed income and +$96K in redistributed wealth if the top 1% matched OECD shares; a 71% lower CEO-to-worker pay ratio (from 354× to 101×); 50 million more workers with union coverage; 26 million more people with health insurance; $2.1 trillion saved annually in healthcare spending; $691 less per person per year in prescription drug costs; and intergenerational economic mobility being twice as high. Each card shows the U.S. value alongside the OECD average.
Avital Livny@avitallivny.bsky.social · 9mo ago

Academic journals are so ridiculous. - Request to re-review an R&R arrives in my inbox on Monday Dec 22 - Reminder to respond delivered (by Santa?) on Dec 25 - Today — Sunday Dec 28 — an email saying my services are no longer needed.

Nicholas Grossman@nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 10mo ago

The “canceled people” database listing victims of cancel culture, which includes oft-repeated cases such as Bret Weinstein (Evergreen State College) and James Damore (Google), has a little over 200 entries across 18 years. canceledpeople.org

Raphael Satter@raphae.li · 11mo ago

New: Reuters has tallied job losses, suspensions and investigations stemming from the reaction to Charlie Kirk's Sept. 10 assassination. Its findings: More than 600 Americans have been punished, and the figure is likely to be an under-count. www.reuters.com/investigatio...

Avital Livny@avitallivny.bsky.social · 12mo ago

Having reviewed ~250 applications, I'm writing to share that fly-out candidates for the UIUC Behavior search were contacted yesterday. Thank you to those who applied and/or supported someone who did. This was a large, exceptionally talented pool -- we wish we had more than one job to offer!

Avital Livny@avitallivny.bsky.social · last yr.

Y'all it's official. WE ARE HIRING! Here is the ad with all the details: illinois.csod.com/ux/ats/caree... And here's the skinny: Political behavior, broadly defined @ the assistant level. Comparative behavior/psych + REP especially encouraged. Come join a great department at a great institution!

Avital Livny@avitallivny.bsky.social · 12mo ago

Having reviewed ~250 applications, I'm writing to share that fly-out candidates for the UIUC Behavior search were contacted yesterday. Thank you to those who applied and/or supported someone who did. This was a large, exceptionally talented pool -- we wish we had more than one job to offer!

Avital Livny@avitallivny.bsky.social · last yr.

Y'all it's official. WE ARE HIRING! Here is the ad with all the details: illinois.csod.com/ux/ats/caree... And here's the skinny: Political behavior, broadly defined @ the assistant level. Comparative behavior/psych + REP especially encouraged. Come join a great department at a great institution!

Joel S.@joelhs.bsky.social · 12mo ago

This is the main reason the ADL originally existed, and now they’re giving it up entirely because it made some right-wingers upset. They are no longer pretending to be anything other than a pro-Israel advocacy group. And they are prioritizing Israelis above American Jews.

“ADL deletes Glossary of Extremism under pressure from conservatives over Charlie Kirk entry The organization stands by a separate resource that describes Kirk’s Turning Point USA’s ties to ‘extremists’”
Nicholas Grossman@nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · last yr.

The free speech activist who built a list of professors he worked to get fired for their speech must be celebrated for his support of free speech, and anyone who quotes his speech accurately in context will be fired and/or face state punishment by the champions of free speech, do I have that right?

Max Berger@maxberger.bsky.social · last yr.

Charlie Kirk was a person. He might not have cared if I died, but if I don’t care that he died then I’ve already lost. I believe in the dignity of all human beings and I want to live in a society that treats each of us as sacred and ensouled.

Ida Bae Wells@nhannahjones.bsky.social · last yr.

The MSNBC commentator saying that most political violence has historically come from the left just once again showed how we suffer from failing to learn history. Lynching, pogroms, race riots, the political violence that ended Reconstruction, and against the Civil Rights Movement. Come on.

Evan Sutton@evansutton.bsky.social · last yr.

I'll merely note that today, like all days, is a great day to stop posting on Twitter, a platform whose owner force feeds this slop into people's brains with an algorithm designed to boost his views and trample yours.

Screenshot of Elon Musk tweet from shortly after Charlie Kirk was shot. Elon says "The Left is the party of murder" and is quote tweeting a post from Shaun Maguire that reads: The Left lectured us for the last decade about the dangers of violence from the Right From the assassination attempts of President Trump To Brian Thompson, the United Healthcare CEO, being murdered Now to Charlie Kirk The danger was actually on the Left
Nicholas Grossman@nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · last yr.

Political violence is bad. It usually begets more political violence. Celebrating political violence is bad. It usually encourages more political violence, against various targets. Campus shootings are bad. They make everyone on campus less safe. It's bad that what I wrote here is controversial.

Avital Livny@avitallivny.bsky.social · last yr.

Just over one week to go before the September 16 deadline. Excited to review the applications and engage with folks’ work!

Avital Livny@avitallivny.bsky.social · last yr.

Y'all it's official. WE ARE HIRING! Here is the ad with all the details: illinois.csod.com/ux/ats/caree... And here's the skinny: Political behavior, broadly defined @ the assistant level. Comparative behavior/psych + REP especially encouraged. Come join a great department at a great institution!

Governor JB Pritzker@govpritzker.illinois.gov · last yr.

The President of the United States is threatening to go to war with an American city. This is not a joke. This is not normal. Donald Trump isn't a strongman, he's a scared man. Illinois won’t be intimidated by a wannabe dictator.

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Kat Abughazaleh@katmabu.bsky.social · last yr.

If you hear about a Mexican Independence Day celebration in your area, go. There is strength in numbers and — especially if you’re white — you can protect your community just by being there and not flinching if ICE shows up. These goons are cowards. Don’t be one.

Heather Cherone@heathercherone.bsky.social · last yr.

BREAKING: Gov. JB Pritzker says the Trump administration has sent the Texas National Guard to Great Lakes Naval Base outside Chicago, awaiting orders to deploy to Chicago. Trump administration officials will target Mexican Independence Day (Sept. 16) celebrations. @wttw.bsky.social