The final paper from a fantastic interdisciplinary collaboration between ecologists and economists to better understand climate change impacts on natural capital and implications for policy. Also produced bangers from @bbastien.bsky.social's dissertation, such as: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Unequal climate impacts on global values of natural capital - Nature

Country-level changes in economic production and the value of non-market ecosystem benefits show unequal impacts on the global values of natural capital resulting from climate-change-induced shifts in...

nature.com

Paper @science.org today led by Junna Wang and my @ucdavis.bsky.social colleague Xiaoli Dong. 7-16% of plants at risk of extinction under climate change, largely from vanishing climates, not slow dispersal. But plants will move, reshaping local species composition www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Climate-induced range shifts support local plant diversity but don’t reduce extinction risk

science.org

In which @madisoncondon.bsky.social and I expand on our argument that "extreme" climate scenarios, such as RCP 8.5, are actually useful and we should use them as part of climate risk analyses. Thanks to @progressivereform.bsky.social for encouraging us and giving us space!

Center for Progressive Reform@progressivereform.bsky.social · 4mo ago

The climate scenario RCP 8.5 is unfairly understood as "misleading," "controversial," or deceptive. This is unfortunate, write @madisoncondon.bsky.social and @vsrikrish.bsky.social — even if its predicted emissions are unlikely, it's incredibly useful for all kinds of climate modeling

A new paper led by @bbastien.bsky.social estimates that accounting for climate pollution's impact on the oceans via the one-two punch of warming & acidification nearly doubles the social cost of carbon (which the Trump EPA thinks is $0). My new @climateconnections.bsky.social article & 🧵 (1/8):

Fossil fuel pollution’s effect on oceans comes with huge costs » Yale Climate Connections

A new study details the vast price society is paying for burning coal, oil, and gas.

yaleclimateconnections.org

As @bbastien.bsky.social told me, improved estimates of the social cost of carbon are still valuable to other countries, and even state governments. And at some point, a future evidence-based administration will be able to make use of it too. Hopefully before the damages become too great (8/8)

Fossil fuel pollution’s effect on oceans comes with huge costs » Yale Climate Connections

A new study details the vast price society is paying for burning coal, oil, and gas.

yaleclimateconnections.org

That’s how we officially kick off the semester in my research lab—with ambitious goals, beautiful human beings and delicious tamales! Check out our new lab page here: climaysociedad.atmosfera.unam.mx/hub-ecosiste...

New paper with Francisco Estrada! This is a paper on termination shock risk and the governance challenge of deploying solar geoengineering when international coordination is so hard to achieve. Paper: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1... New Scientist: www.newscientist.com/article/2513...

Termination shock could make the cost of climate damage even higher

Solar geoengineering could halve the economic cost of climate change, but stopping it would cause temperatures to rebound sharply, leading to greater damage than unabated global warming

newscientist.com

Climate change has an impact on the oceans, which in turn affects humanity, including our economy. In this recent paper, we quantify these impacts www.nature.com/articles/s41..., led by @bbastien.bsky.social with @francescogranella.bsky.social @maxtav.bsky.social within @sparccle.bsky.social project

Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon - Nature Climate Change

Oceans provide essential ecosystem services to human society, yet the climate impacts on blue capital have long been ignored. Incorporating the latest works on ocean science and economics, researchers...

nature.com

🔍 Behind the Paper: 'My Neighbor, the Ocean.' 🌊 The system that regulates the planet’s climate barely appeared in climate policy calculations. Not because it had been “wrong” before, but because it had been incomplete.🔗 Read more here: bit.ly/49NXSo4. @bbastien.bsky.social #ClimateChange

The social cost of carbon (SCC), a crucial indicator for #climatechange policy, has largely overlooked the significant economic and societal benefits provided by oceans, often referred to as 'blue capital'. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon - Nature Climate Change

Oceans provide essential ecosystem services to human society, yet the climate impacts on blue capital have long been ignored. Incorporating the latest works on ocean science and economics, researchers...

nature.com

RESEARCH: Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon. Co-authored by Dr. William Cheung @ubccoru.bsky.social @solvingfcb.org www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon - Nature Climate Change

Oceans provide essential ecosystem services to human society, yet the climate impacts on blue capital have long been ignored. Incorporating the latest works on ocean science and economics, researchers...

nature.com

🌊 Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon By factoring in impacts on corals, mangroves, fisheries, & ports, the 2020 blue social cost of carbon jumps to $48/ton CO2-almost doubling traditional estimates. Protecting “blue capital” matters www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon - Nature Climate Change

Oceans provide essential ecosystem services to human society, yet the climate impacts on blue capital have long been ignored. Incorporating the latest works on ocean science and economics, researchers...

nature.com

Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon www.nature.com/articles/s41... #jcampubs 🌊

Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon - Nature Climate Change

Oceans provide essential ecosystem services to human society, yet the climate impacts on blue capital have long been ignored. Incorporating the latest works on ocean science and economics, researchers...

nature.com

The Social Cost of Carbon for the Oceans is out today in Nature Climate Change. www.nature.com/articles/s41... Until now, ocean damages have been largely missing from SCC estimates used in climate policy.

Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon - Nature Climate Change

Oceans provide essential ecosystem services to human society, yet the climate impacts on blue capital have long been ignored. Incorporating the latest works on ocean science and economics, researchers...

nature.com

Solar radiation management looks most attractive precisely when governance is weakest — and that’s exactly when it’s most likely to fail. Check out our new paper in Environmental Research: Climate iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

Projections indicate that rising ocean temperatures could offset anticipated gains in global mangrove restoration by 2100, resulting in significant ecosystem and economic losses, especially in Asia. doi.org/g92dsh

Ocean warming projected to stall expected mangrove recovery

Increasing ocean temperatures will erase mangrove restoration gains expected to occur due to economic development and conservation, according to a new study from researchers at UC San Diego's Scripps Institution of Oceanography.

phys.org

About 150,000 hectares (580 sq. mi.) of mangrove ecosystems, vital for coastal protection, habitat creation, carbon storage, and water quality, will be lost by the end of the century due to #climatechange, with Asia bearing nearly two-thirds of these losses. oceanographicmagazine.com/news/warming...

Warming ocean will cost $28bn a year in mangrove losses alone - Oceanographic

Continued increase in ocean temperatures is projected to stall the advances made in mangrove recovery and restoration, a new study has warned.

oceanographicmagazine.com

New paper out! We looked at how warming oceans & socioeconomic change shape the future of mangroves worldwide. @ioppublishing.bsky.social TLDR: Climate change could stall restoration efforts & deepen global inequalities. Paper: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

I'm pleased to announce our newest paper published at Scientific Data, where we establish a framework for generating fast, custom SRM scenarios. This will allow us to develop probabilístic regional and global impact studies of geoengineering interventions. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

GeoMIP-Pattern – a pattern scaling dataset for efficient generation of custom geoengineering scenarios - Scientific Data

Scientific Data - GeoMIP-Pattern – a pattern scaling dataset for efficient generation of custom geoengineering scenarios

nature.com

After months held up in customs, @paulkelleher.net 's book finally made it to me. Now riding along with me on the Mexico City metro.

Claim: "Water vapor is a greenhouse gas!" Reality: Yes, and there's more of it in a warmer atmosphere -"CO2 is plant food!" -pretty hard to eat when you're on fire -"Climate has changed before!" -We know, we told you that -"Scientists don't know everything!" - doesn't mean we know *nothing*

New paper! Polycrisis isn’t a series of mistakes — it’s a tangled web of crises we navigate through increasingly rough terrain. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Polycrisis isn’t a series of mistakes — it’s a tangled web of crises we navigate through increasingly rough terrain. In this study, we compile a global database and analyze the co-occurrence of shocks, the building blocks of crisis, from 1970 to today. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Very happy to be an AERE Scholar this year! I'm looking forward to contributing meaningfully to the field.

AERE@aereorg.bsky.social · last yr.

🌿AERE Scholar Spotlight: Bernardo Bastien-Olvera ( @bbastien.bsky.social )🌿 Bernado's research focuses on how climate change will impact the ecosystems that provide tangible and intangible benefits to people. Website: buff.ly/UODc7CR 📈📉 #Econsky

Call for abstracts! The Beijer Young Scholars are convening a session at #AGU25: "Advances in Modeling and Governing Interacting Shocks in the Anthropocene". Submit by July 30! 🌍⚡ 📍New Orleans, Dec 15–19 🔗 agu.confex.com/agu/agu25/pr...

What a view of the Sandia mountains last week in Albuquerque. So happy to join the @aereorg.bsky.social scholars cohort, an amazing group of supportive and brilliant people!

📈 Daily global temperature between 1940 to 2025 – @hausfath.bsky.social 2️⃣ bsky.app/profile/haus...

A weather system over Houston keeps delaying my connecting flight, but still hopeful I'll make it on time for the first session!

AERE@aereorg.bsky.social · last yr.

✨Welcome to Santa Ana Pueblo, New Mexico, AERE economists! We’re excited to kick off #AERE2025—don’t forget to tag your posts with #AERE2025 and share the moments! 😊 #EconSky

What an amazing week at the Beijer Institute, Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences! Sharing ideas, methods and good moments with this talented group of scholars studying socioecological impacts.