A U.S.-China war over Taiwan would be catastrophic for all sides and the world. But preventing such a war requires understanding how it might unfold. Lt. Gen. Charles W. Hooper joins Jon Bateman on today’s World Unpacked to break down a possible scenario:
How a U.S.-China War Would Unfold
A U.S.-China war over Taiwan would be catastrophic for all sides and the world. Preventing such a war requires understanding how it might unfold—from start to finish—including worst-case scenarios.…
youtu.be
New U.S. terrorist designations targeting two gangs in Brazil could have far-reaching political and economic implications. @oliverstuenkel.bsky.social examines the potential consequences and what they could mean for U.S.-Brazil relations in @foreignpolicy.com: foreignpolicy.com/2026/06/03/u...
Why Is Trump Targeting Brazilian Gangs?
The U.S. designation of two Brazilian crime groups as terrorist organizations scrambles already tense bilateral relations.
foreignpolicy.com
Even if the Iran war ends tomorrow, the economic and humanitarian consequences will continue, says Sarah Yerkes: “This is not something that’s going to be easily or cleanly wrapped up in a day, or a week, or a month.” More from Sarah on @bloomberg.com:
Watch US Demands Unclear: Carnegie Endowment's Yerkes - Bloomberg
Sarah Yerkes, the Senior Fellow at the Middle East Program at the Carnegie Endowment, says the US-Iran conflict may continue to play out over several months, while the fundamental strategic goals of…
buff.ly
President Trump's threats to Iran this morning open the door to potential violations of the Geneva Conventions. Stewart Patrick weighed in.
🔥 Mother protecting her chicks from the rain.
“No Kings” protests in the U.S. and globally have mobilized millions against the Trump administration’s policies. But are mass protests enough to spark actual democratic change? @saskiabr.bsky.social and Shreya Joshi unpack: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Protests Like No Kings Can Only Go So Far to Stem Authoritarianism
Lessons from other backsliding democracies show that mass mobilization needs to feed into an electoral strategy.
carnegieendowment.org
Diplomacy or Deception? As the war enters its 5th week, we are seeing a massive contradiction in strategy today. 1️⃣ Ground Invasion Fears: Iran’s parliament speaker (Ghalibaf) claims the US is "secretly planning a ground attack." Tehran warns they are "waiting" to "set them on fire." 🔥
"Washington and Israel are right that their bombs have wreaked havoc on Iran’s military capabilities. But if they believe that Tehran is about to keel over, they are probably mistaken." Mohammad Ayatollahi Tabaar explains, for @foreignaffairs.com: www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/how-ira...
How Iran Sees the War
External escalation, internal consolidation.
foreignaffairs.com
South Korea is far from the warzone in Iran. But its economy is facing “outsized shocks,” write @darciedraudt.bsky.social and Tim Sahay. The country’s longstanding energy vulnerability means that shocks like these can destabilize key industries. Full article: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
The Iran War Is Also Now a Semiconductor Problem
The conflict is exposing the deep energy vulnerabilities of Korea’s chip industry.
carnegieendowment.org
For The Conversation, I wrote about how White Southerners are making sense of what it means to be White in these times. In a nutshell, it’s complicated. I hope you’ll read and share widely. theconversation.com/its-a-compli...
‘It’s a complicated time to be a white Southerner’ − and their views on race reflect that
How do white Southerners think about their racial status in a world that is scrutinizing white advantages? Researchers found people across the political spectrum grappling with what being white means.
theconversation.com
Got this in the mail yesterday—the newest addition to my bookshelf. Thanks@uchicagopress.bsky.social! Can't wait for the book to come out next month! Link to pre-order 👇
Today, the last remaining nuclear treaty between Russia and the U.S. expired. What does that actually mean – and what could be next? @nktpnd.bsky.social explains: youtube.com/shorts/RxUMr...
The End of the Last U.S.-Russia Nuke Treaty
YouTube video by Carnegie Explains
youtube.com
At the end of 2025, tensions between Saudi Arabia and the UAE came to a head over conflict in Yemen. What exactly happened, and what does it mean for Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and the region? @andrewleber.bsky.social explains: youtube.com/shorts/URKId...
Why Did Saudi-UAE Tensions Escalate?
YouTube video by Carnegie Explains
youtube.com
U.S. norm-breaking will shape illiberal rivals’ behavior. For China, the Venezuela attack is likely to harden Beijing’s security calculus. My latest analysis for @carnegieendowment.org: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
The U.S. Venezuela Operation Will Harden China’s Security Calculation
Especially on Taiwan.
carnegieendowment.org
What do Californians think of global affairs? Carnegie California’s Ian Klaus, Mark Baldassare, Marissa Jordan, and Abigail Manalese surveyed Californians on today’s most important issues, from migration to democracy. See their findings here: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
2025 Carnegie California Global Affairs Survey
California is acutely aware of the intense renegotiation happening almost daily in domestic and international politics.
carnegieendowment.org
💡 Carnegie's 2025 must-reads: We asked Carnegie’s directors to select one piece each that they felt stood out or best represented the program’s work for the year. See their selections here: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Carnegie’s Must-Read Pieces of 2025
Program directors share the analysis and research that stood out this year.
carnegieendowment.org
The age of networked, technologically disrupted warfare requires new strategies, innovations and regulations ‼️"The Digital in War: From Innovation to Participation" series from @carnegieendowment.org & @forsvarshogskolan.bsky.social analyses these evolutions 🧵⏬
The Digital in War: From Innovation to Participation
The age of technological disruption in warfare is here. Read the complete series (PDF).
carnegieendowment.org
Unlike the sleek, high-quality weapons technology of the past, today’s warfare depends on cheap (but lethal) “good enough” systems. How is this new paradigm shaping the ways we fight? @stevenfeldstein.bsky.social and @warmatters.bsky.social: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
The Digital in War: From Innovation to Participation
The age of technological disruption in warfare is here.
carnegieendowment.org
🧵 In 2025, people around the world took to the streets to protest their governments. Why? @carnegiedcg.bsky.social’s Thomas Carothers and Judy Lee broke down the main drivers, with the help of the Global Protest Tracker. See more: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Know your rights. Protect your neighbors. New York is — and always will be — a city for all immigrants.
Jared Kushner's involvement was "not mentioned in Paramount's press release on Monday morning about its $108 billion bid, nor were participating sovereign wealth funds from Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi and Qatar." fancy that
Jared Kushner is part of Paramount's hostile bid for Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount is telling WBD shareholders that it has a smoother path to regulatory approval than does Netflix.
axios.com
Schiff: "I think that all of these strikes are unlawful. They are a form of extrajudicial killing. These boats are not invading the US in an armed assault ... the fact the administration may put a group of organizations on a list doesn't confer on a president the ability to kill them at sea."
It could take decades to recover from where we are.
Meade Krosby@meadekrosby.bsky.social · 8mo agoMy teen, who had dreamt of being an astrophysicist, just told me he wants to go to law school because, “Science isn’t going to be a priority in the US in the future…I don’t want a job where I’ll be constantly worried my funding will be taken away.” Gutting. How many future scientists have we lost?
Freudian slip from Tom Cotton: "I think President Bush has every power under the Constitution to strike boats in international waters"
JUST IN: Mike Johnson plans to swear in Rep.-elect Matt Van Epps on Thursday — less than two days after he won the TN-07 special election. As a reminder, it took Johnson 50 days to swear in Democratic Rep. Adelita Grijalva.
