new paper: we update risk estimates for child welfare system outcomes (investigation, confirmed, foster care, termination of rights) by race/ethnicity using 2016-2023 data. Black and AIAN kids still most likely to have system contact, but rates are down across the board compared to mid 2010s

N-IUSSP: Can we really predict individual-level longevity? by Casey F. Breen and Nathan Seltzer www.niussp.org/health-and-m... #demography #populationstudies

Can we really predict individual-level longevity? - N-IUSSP

Disparities in life expectancy across sociodemographic groups are large in the U.S. Still, using linked Census and mortality records for men born in 1910, Casey Breen and Nathan Seltzer find ... Read ...

niussp.org

Looking for a postdoc? Interested in infectious disease modeling? Love causal inference? Want to work with @mlipsitch.bsky.social? Come do a postdoc with us at Stanford! postdocs.stanford.edu/prospective/...

New in @sfjournal.bsky.social, just in time for summer reading 📚☀️ Cohesive schools are widely thought to curb youth offending, but the evidence is quite mixed. I find that popular boys in such schools may experience more leeway to offend—what I call a "code of cohesion." doi.org/10.1093/sf/s...

I’m late, but want to Blue Sky celebrate the amazing @ridhikashyap.bsky.social & her Early Career Award from the @popassocamerica.bsky.social!! 🎉🏆👏🙌. Sometimes good things *do* happen to good people :). #demography @oxforddemsci.bsky.social @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social

New in PDR! Happy to see this one out. Structured Inequality, Uncertain Lifespans: Demographic Perspectives on Predicting Individual-Level Longevity onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

<em>Population and Development Review</em> | Population Council Journal | Wiley Online Library

There are striking disparities in life expectancy across sociodemographic groups in the United States, shaped by structural forces such as racism, class inequality, and policy environments. To what e...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Looking forward to talking tomorrow at UPenn and sharing some new work I’m really excited about! www.pop.upenn.edu/events/2026/...

New paper with @ihsankahveci.bsky.social, Amy Hagopian and others at Social Networks - www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... check it out!

Understanding the personal networks of people experiencing homelessness in King County, WA with aggregate relational data

Personal networks among people experiencing homelessness are vital but often overlooked. Drawing on a unique three-year data set (2022–2024) from over…

sciencedirect.com

Happy to share our new paper published in PNAS! Using epigenetic clocks and egocentric network data, we find each additional "hassler" in your close social network is associated with ~9 months of extra biological age and 1.5% faster pace of aging.

Academia teaches you critical thinking, mostly about your own life choices

Highly recommend blocking off some time today to read this fantastic paper!

Demography - the flagship journal of PAA@readdemography.bsky.social · 8mo ago

In “Bayesian Projection of Extant Refugee & Asylum Seeker Populations,” @herbps10.bsky.social & @adrianraftery.bsky.social propose a time-series model for projecting refugee & asylum seeker population statistics by country of origin. @nyumedpostdocs.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...

Our paper with Ginevra Floridi out in Sociological Science now! We use sequence analysis, LCA & survival models to map how parental financial and co-residential support unfolds across young adulthood. We find 3 distinct pathways & a gendered relationship between marriage and independence. 🏡🧑‍🧑‍🧒‍🧒💸

Pathways to Independence: The Dynamics of Parental Support in the Transition to Adulthood

Article: Pathways to Independence: The Dynamics of Parental Support in the Transition to Adulthood | Sociological Science | Posted November 25, 2025

sociologicalscience.com

Arnout van de Rijt@arnoutvanderijt.bsky.social · 8mo ago

"Using data from the PSID’s Transition to Adulthood Study (2005–2021), we identify trajectories of financial and co-residential support between ages 18 and 28 and relate them to economic and partnership trajectories and events." This month in our journal, @sociologicalsci.bsky.social

I’m recruiting a postdoctoral associate at NYU Abu Dhabi. Position is for 3 years with excellent salary, housing and benefits. Please share widely. For more information and application, link ⬇️ apply.interfolio.com/177935

Favorite books on *undergraduate* teaching?

New working paper up on SocArxiv! osf.io/preprints/so.... I use the 1940 Census and linked mortality records in combination with an IV-design to study the causal effects of racial segregation on longevity. I show that segregation reduces both Black and White longevity.

Our new paper develops and tests a network-based method for estimating death rates in complex humanitarian emergencies. Joint w/ @dennisfeehan.bsky.social and team from Geneva-based NGO @impact-initiatives.bsky.social academic.oup.com/aje/advance-...

Estimating death rates in complex humanitarian emergencies using the network survival method

Abstract. Reliable estimates of death rates in complex humanitarian emergencies are critical for assessing the severity of a crisis and for effectively all

academic.oup.com

Our new pub finds flooding impacts on fertility differ in Bangladesh: “We detect…flood-related increases in childbearing among less-educated and higher parity women but find flood-related fertility declines among childless women and those in urban areas.”

Pleased to be part of the history making "IPUMS USA Full Count Census Data" special issue in Historical Methods 58(4). @ipums.bsky.social @stevenruggles.bsky.social @mattanelson.bsky.social @juliariveradrew.bsky.social @evanrobertsnz.bsky.social www.tandfonline.com/toc/vhim20/5...

Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History

IPUMS USA Full Count Census Data Collection. Volume 58, Issue 4 of Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History

tandfonline.com

New publication with @susanshort.bsky.social in @lancetrh-americ.bsky.social. We analyzed 2025 revisions to womenshealth[dot]gov under the Trump administration -documenting how credible health content was replaced with ideology: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Rewriting women's health: a content analysis of the Trump administration's revisions to womenshealth.gov

In 2025, the Trump administration instituted rapid changes to the data and information available on US government websites. We conducted a content ana…

sciencedirect.com

Oh hey, little update. Indiana University Department of Sociology is hiring this fall. Keeping you on your toes deadline is 11/16. We’re looking for an assistant professor specializing in sociology of medicine, health, and/or well-being broadly defined. indiana.peopleadmin.com/postings/30984

Women are 19% less likely to use the internet and 8% less likely to own a mobile phone than men. That’s 320 million fewer women online and 190 million fewer with phones globally 🌍

Sociology at Oxford@sociologyoxford.bsky.social · 10mo ago

✍️ Published in @pnas.org, NEW data from 2,075 regions across 117 LMICs reveals a stark digital divide: women still face major barriers to internet access and mobile ownership 📱💻 www.sociology.ox.ac.uk/article/320-...

Amazing postdoc opportunity!

Elizabeth Wrigley-Field@wrigleyfield.bsky.social · 10mo ago

Postdoc at the Minnesota Population Center, @minnpop.bsky.social Applications open now and being evaluated on a rolling basis. Pass on to demographers you know! (This one requires folks to relocate to the Twin Cities, because it involves work in the restricted data center)

Our article “Mitigation efforts to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and meet the Paris Agreement have been offset by economic growth” www.nature.com/articles/s43..., w Jitong Jiang & Skylar Shi just published. See also the @uwnews.uw.edu release www.washington.edu/news/2025/10...

Mitigation efforts to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and meet the Paris Agreement have been offset by economic growth - Communications Earth & Environment

Global carbon dioxide intensity declined from 2015 to 2024 following the Paris Agreement, but total emissions still increased due to economic growth, according to a global analysis of population, gros...

nature.com

Heart full of joy and gratitude for my depicted, literal superhero team 🦸🦸🦸🦸🦸🦸of incredible supervisors Josh Wilde, @ridhikashyap.bsky.social, @melindacmills.bsky.social, and excellent examiners @drjenndowd.bsky.social & @ftorche.bsky.social, as well as my terrific mentors, peers, & friends!!!

Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Oxford University@oxforddemsci.bsky.social · 10mo ago

1/ HUGE congratulations to @jasminabdelghany.bsky.social for passing her DPhil viva w/ no corrections with her dissertation "The impact of in-utero exposure to ambient temperature on maternal health, infant health, and population composition." @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social @oxpop.bsky.social

New @pnas.org paper constructing subnational estimates of internet and mobile adoption by gender, including gender gaps, for 117 low- and middle- income countries from 2015 through 2025. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Mapping subnational gender gaps in internet and mobile adoption using social media data | PNAS

The digital revolution has ushered in many societal and economic benefits. Yet access to digital technologies such as mobile phones and internet re...

pnas.org

WE'RE HIRING! The Gender & Women's Studies Dept at the University of Wisconsin-Madison is hiring a TT professor of GENDER AND AGING I'm on the search committee and happy to answer questions Please share widely!

Assistant/Associate Professor of Gender and Women’s Studies (RISE - THRIVE) - Madison, Wisconsin, United States

Current Employees: If you are currently employed at any of the Universities of Wisconsin, log in to Workday to apply through the internal application process.Job Category:FacultyEmployment Type:Regula...

jobs.wisc.edu

New article out in @sociusjournal.bsky.social. It shows how closely linked motherhood penalties 🤰📉 and gender inequalities 👨‍💼💰👩‍💼 are by studying many local labour markets. Thread 👇 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

The GSS asked the same people about their childhood income rank three different times. 56% changed their answer, even though what was trying to be measured couldn’t change! We dig into this in a new article at @socialindicators.bsky.social. 

 doi.org/10.1007/s112... 🧵👇 (1/5)

Growing up Different(ly than Last Time We Asked): Social Status and Changing Reports of Childhood Income Rank - Social Indicators Research

How we remember our past can be shaped by the realities of our present. This study examines how changes to present circumstances influence retrospective reports of family income rank at age 16. While retrospective survey data can be used to assess the long-term effects of childhood conditions, present-day circumstances may “anchor” memories, causing shifts in how individuals recall and report past experiences. Using panel data from the 2006–2014 General Social Surveys (8,602 observations from 2,883 individuals in the United States), we analyze how changes in objective and subjective indicators of current social status—income, financial satisfaction, and perceived income relative to others—are associated with changes in reports of childhood income rank, and how this varies by sex and race/ethnicity. Fixed-effects models reveal no significant association between changes in income and in childhood income rank. However, changes in subjective measures of social status show contrasting effects, as increases in current financial satisfaction are associated with decreases in childhood income rank, but increases in current perceived relative income are associated with increases in childhood income rank. We argue these opposing effects follow from theories of anchoring in recall bias. We further find these effects are stronger among males but are consistent across racial/ethnic groups. This demographic heterogeneity suggests that recall bias is not evenly distributed across the population and has important implications for how different groups perceive their own pasts. Our findings further highlight the malleability of retrospective perceptions and their sensitivity to current social conditions, offering methodological insights into survey reliability and recall bias.

doi.org

Characterizing the potential and limits of using satellite imagery and machine learning technology to measure ground conditions, from Proctor, Carleton, Chong, Fransen, Greenhill, Katz, Murayama, Sherman, Tseng, Druckenmiller, and Hsiang https://www.nber.org/papers/w34315