Catarina Leão
@catarinaleao.bsky.social
Fellow in Advanced Quantitative Methods, Department of Methodology (LSE) | DPhil in Politics (Oxford) Political Economy of Autocratic Legacies + Democratic Erosion catarinaleao.com
These are legitimately good post-PhD jobs for junior researchers -- we have (and have had) many fantastic young scholars as Fellows (e.g. @zachdickson.bsky.social @catarinaleao.bsky.social @lanabi.bsky.social @yuanmohe.bsky.social to name a few, along with an all star cast of alumni). Please apply!
🚨 Not long left to apply for our LSE Fellow in Advanced Quantitative Methods position We are seeking an individual with established research interests and teaching experience in advanced quantitative methods and computational social science‼️ Apply before 26 April👉️ jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
Orbán's concession sets an important precedent on conceding after losing/end of term. Hopefully others will take the cue.
V-Dem v.16 is now released, w. updated scores for 2025. Most countries remain stable from 2024, but some clear improvements (on diff’t democracy indices), incl. S. Korea, Sri Lanka & Mauritius. Largest declines came, by far, in the US. This figure shows 10-yr changes on the Liberal Dem. index.
Is hype about AI justified? Cristobal Garibay-Petersen @lse-ei.bsky.social @mlorimer.bsky.social and @neuralisa.bsky.social argue AI discourse has gone too far, limiting the space for democratic engagement with and control of the technology @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social
Should you believe the AI hype? Probably not
Public discourse around AI has gone beyond what its technical specifications warrant, limiting the space for democratic engagement and control.
blogs.lse.ac.uk
Center-left António José Seguro was elected Portugal’s next president yesterday, defeating his far-right opponent by a two-to-one margin.
Center left beats far right to Portugal’s presidency
Former Socialist Party leader António José Seguro defeated far-right leader André Ventura to become the country’s next head of state.
politico.eu
🧵 New version of our paper (@bcegerod.bsky.social) is finally online: "How Many is Enough? Sample Size in Staggered Difference-in-Differences Designs" We show that even well-identified DiD studies are often underpowered; sample sizes needed are surprisingly large Paper: osf.io/preprints/os... 1/6
Excited about chairing @bogatyrev.bsky.social in the @lsegovernment.bsky.social Political Behaviour Seminar at 4pm today. Konstantin will present his paper "Shifting Ground". Come along if you are in London, or join us on Zoom: www.lse.ac.uk/government/r...
Demographic cues (eg, names, dialect) are widely used to study how LLM behavior may change depending on user demographics. Such cues are often assumed interchangeable. 🚨 We show they are not: different cues yield different model behavior for the same group and different conclusions on LLM bias. 🧵👇
Regine Paul, Vali Stan and I have analysed how deeply #AI is entangled in global politics and corporate profit-hunting. “The AI Matrix” is the result – and the digital book-version is open access: www.agendapub.com/page/detail/... (Link doesn't work? Try this one: www.regulaite.eu/images/pdf/M...)
Rejection doesn't have to be ego-shattering—and the people most likely to push through it tend to share a specific quality, Anna Holmes writes.
The Upside of Professional Rejection
There’s a better way to approach no’s in your work life.
bit.ly
Y’all were laughing, but once you leave the EU you start to miss the attached bottle caps real fast.
Mafia goon: Nice house you got here...it'd be a shame if something happened to it Media outlets: Mafia goon rules out use of force. Expresses regret at the mere thought of it
Brilliant !
🎉 NEW PUBLICATION🎉 Our paper on "the effect of symbolic policies on climate policy support" has just been published in the APSR ! @apsrjournal.bsky.social (open access) The end of a long and rewarding journey with the best co-authors @malojan.bsky.social @luissattelmayer.bsky.social (1/6)
This is a great postdoc opportunity on a very interesting project on the association between discrimination and social inequality @cris-sciencespo.bsky.social www.sciencespo.fr/cris/en/news...
CRIS is recruiting a postdoctoral researcher for the DISEQUAL project
The Discrimination-Inequality Cycle: Bridging Unequal Treatment and Unequal Outcomes across Countries, Regions and Workplaces
sciencespo.fr
Portugal is having a presidential election tomorrow (Sunday). It is a fairly unusual one, which is representative of how much the political landscape has changed in the country. Here is some quick context about it, in case that is of interest: 1/9
#tugasky: não deixem de votar hoje. Todas as eleições importam e estas, num momento em que o país está a definir o panorama político no pos-bipartidarismo, não o são menos.
🚨Job alert! The ENDOW project is hiring a Research Officer in Research Database Management, to be based at @lsemethodology.bsky.social. Oversee & expand our database & contribute to research on social & economic inequality. Deadline 15 February. Share & reach out! jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
Calling it “a regime-change war” fully obscures what’s actually happening right now. I doubt Trump is concerned with democratization as much as he is with waging a war to distract from problems at home, with oil extraction as a perk.
“Whether the outcome is ultimately good for Venezuelans, as I hope, or bad, Trump has betrayed Americans,” Conor Friedersdorf argues. “He could have tried to persuade Congress or the public to give him permission to use force. He didn’t bother.”
Very important work imo. We know surprisingly little about what “good” description actually looks like.
🚨 “Good Description” with @annagbusse.bsky.social 🚨 What sets 'good' description apart from 'mere' description? We develop a framework for evaluating descriptive research, whether we are doing it as scholars or assessing it as readers. Two main contributions... 🔗📄 tinyurl.com/gooddesc
Repeat after me: replication papers are not the academic equivalent of diss tracks.
went to bed with a mass shooting, waking up with a different mass shooting
📢 📢 Call for Papers IV Yale–UB Historical Political Economy Workshop Organized by @Didacqueralt.bsky.social & @Cescamat.bsky.social 🎤 Keynote: Lisa Blaydes (Stanford) 📍 University of Barcelona 🗓 June 29–30, 2026 Submit your papers by Jan 21, 2026: shorturl.at/oZTNy #pleaseRT
PhD opportunity at the University of Oxford. The Morelli scholarship funds a doctoral student to work with me on on democratic backsliding, strategies of democratic defense and regeneration, or the rise of illiberalism. Deadline Jan 9. More information at users.ox.ac.uk/~ssfc0073/
Applications are open for the best Postdoctoral position I’ve had the pleasure of holding. Two years of full-time research in the amazing AxPo community. I couldn’t recommend it more!
The AxPo Observatory on Market Society Polarization at Sciences Po is offering a 2-year postdoctoral position focusing on socioeconomic polarization and fragmentation. Ph.Ds in sociology, economics, political science, and related fields are encouraged to apply. www.sciencespo.fr/axpo/applica...