Chanel (she/her)

@chanelly37.bsky.social

I only like 🧊 in my coffee. BLM 🇵🇸🖤

All dogs go to Heaven. We had 13 silly years with our girlie Athena. We were so lucky. She was the only puppy at the shelter who wasn’t afraid of my wheelchair so we knew it was meant to be. Thank you for every side-eye stare and every lick—even though I am allergic lol. 1/3

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🌠 PAID OPPORTUNITY 🌠 Hello! I am looking to pay a wheelchair user of color for a sensitivity read on one of my novellas (about 25,000 words). If that is you or you know someone who qualifies, please respond here or email me at riengrayiswriting at gmail. Boosting appreciated, bots will be 🔇

OSSOFF: You're here to be timely, objective, and independent of political considerations GABBARD: That's exactly what I'm doing OSSOFF: No. You're evading a question because to provide a candid response would contradict a statement from the White House

Mullin is claiming that, as a Congressman, he went on a classified trip in 2016 that required him to go through “specialized training” and SERE (survival, evasion, resistance, escape) school prior to leaving. Classified trips happen, but the SERE claim is utter bullshit.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 5mo ago

MARKWAYNE MULLIN: That was an official trip that was classified PETERS: Where was that trip? MULLIN: I just said it's classified, sir PETERS: So where did you 'smell war'? MULLIN: I just said -- it's classified

NEW: I wrote about a fan-led campaign to unfollow/unsubscribe from the WNBA's accounts, and many fans feeling a lack of direction without a tangible call to action from the players' union about how they can best show their support.

the campaign calling for fans to unfollow & unsubscribe to the WNBA

"Fans know that Cathy and Adam are ultimately going to be moved by the numbers—things actually changing in terms of revenue and followers. Those are the metrics on their scorecard.”

thefrankiedlc.news

new work available on my shop ✨🖼️ from the darkest skies in the world to your walls. i work the night shift of landscape photography and my passion is to be in the middle of nowhere all alone late at night 🌌 decorate your space with space → abdul.cool

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Second half starts now. Secure your seats for the chase. 🏆 The playoff race is on. Lock in your spot with a Playoff Package and join us for every thrilling moment on the road to our first-ever Walter Cup. 🎟️: bit.ly/4aPK5yZ

Boston Fleet Playoff Packages now available.

I'm sorry to remind everyone of the existence of hte worst magazine in America, but Kansas is literally taking away trans' people's driver's licenses, and the Atlantic has decided to publish a thumbsucker about whether effeminate boys are feeling pressured to transition

Iranian-American analyst and writer Hooman Majd spoke to Drop Site Live about Iran’s ability to inflict real pain on the U.S. and on U.S. allies backing the regime-change war. He cited missile hits on Dubai as an example of targeting regional economies, arguing that even limited strikes can shake...

Iranian-American analyst and writer Hooman Majd spoke to Drop Site Live about Iran’s ability to inflict real pain on the U.S. and on U.S. allies backing the regime-change war. He cited missile hits on Dubai as an example of targeting regional economies, arguing that even limited strikes can shake tourism and long term investment. More significantly, he warned Tehran could disrupt global oil trade through the Strait of Hormuz, the critical waterway for energy flows, triggering spikes in the market. The fallout, he said, would hit the U.S. directly: higher gas prices, a falling stock market, shrinking 401(k)s, and rising political pressure on President Trump.

@hmajd
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@jeremyscahill
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@ryangrimShanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
@shanaka86
Twenty million barrels of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz yesterday.

Today the number may be zero.

Not because Iran mined the water. Not because a tanker was hit. Because Lloyd’s of London picked up the phone.

War risk underwriters began canceling policies for strait transits hours after Operation Epic Fury launched. The Financial Times confirmed premiums surging 50 percent. Baseline war risk sits at 0.25 percent of hull value. For a hundred million dollar tanker that is 250,000 dollars per voyage. At peak escalation rates, one million per transit. Vessels linked to American or Israeli interests are becoming uninsurable entirely. No price. No policy. No passage.

The KHK Empress was loaded with Omani crude heading for Basra when it executed a U-turn mid-strait and redirected to India. The Eagle Veracruz halted at the western approach carrying two million barrels of Saudi crude bound for China. The Front Shanghai stopped off Sharjah with Iraqi crude destined for Rotterdam. Nippon Yusen ordered its entire fleet to avoid Hormuz. Greece told its merchant armada to reassess passage. Hapag-Lloyd suspended all transits.

None of them were fired upon. Every one of them got the same call.

More than fifty million years ago the Arabian plate collided with the Eurasian plate and compressed the Persian Gulf into a basin that drains through a single geological bottleneck twenty one miles wide. Twenty one percent of global petroleum. Twenty percent of all seaborne LNG. One fifth of industrial civilization’s energy supply forced through a tectonic accident narrower than the English Channel, bordered on one side by the country whose supreme leader was killed yesterday morning.

The USS Abraham Lincoln carries enough Tomahawks to sink every IRGC patrol boat in 48 hours. Operation Praying Mantis crippled Iran’s operational naval forces in eight hours in 1988. The Fifth Fleet has rehearsed this scenario for decades.

None of that matters. Aircraft carriers cannot force an underwriter to rewrite a policy. Tomahawks cannot lower a premium. The most powerful navy in human history cannot make a Lloyd’s syndicate decide that a VLCC transiting Iranian coastal waters represents an acceptable risk on a Saturday afternoon when missiles are landing in Dubai.

Goldman Sachs estimates Brent could peak at 110 dollars per barrel. JP Morgan projects 120 to 130. At those levels every airline bleeds cash. Every central bank watches three years of inflation fighting reignite 
Goldman Sachs estimates Brent could peak at 110 dollars per barrel. JP Morgan projects 120 to 130. At those levels every airline bleeds cash. Every central bank watches three years of inflation fighting reignite overnight. Bypass pipelines from Saudi Arabia and the UAE handle roughly three million barrels. Hormuz handles twenty million. The math does not close.

Iran figured out something the Pentagon still has not.

You do not need to close a strait. You just need to make it uninsurable.

https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-arithmetic-of-collapse-irans?r=6p7b5o&utm_medium=ios