Chloe N East (she/her)

@chloeneast.bsky.social

Associate Professor in Economics at University of Colorado. I study immigration, the safety net, and inequality Affiliated with Hamilton Project at Brookings, NBER, IRP, IZA, United Campus Workers Colorado https://www.chloeneast.com Opinions my own

"Although arrests spiked at the outset of both Trump presidencies, the share of arrested individuals with criminal convictions fell significantly... A shift in ICE tactics partly explains this pattern, but even conditional on tactic, the share with a criminal conviction declined as arrests rose."

Chloe N East (she/her)@chloeneast.bsky.social · last wk.

My paper is out today in PNAS documenting how ICE activity in Trump 2.0 compares to the last 10 years and the mismatch between the action and the rhetoric. Joint with the fabulous @caitlinpatler.bsky.social and @elizabethacox.bsky.social www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

"Our results show a fundamental mismatch between the justifications for intensified immigration enforcement & the empirical patterns of that enforcement’s implementation." This valuable study puts so many communities' experiences in context. The data will also be so useful for others. Thank you!

Arrests per 100,000 noncitizens by AOR and method, relative to inauguration. Notes: Uses ICE ERO administrative arrest data from 2016, 2017, 2024, 2025, and 2026. Vertical red lines show inauguration dates. To obtain a rate arrests are divided by the number of noncitizens in the AOR (from the 2015 ACS for Term 1 and the 2023 ACS for Term 2), and multiplied by 100,000. To align the ICE classifications, the San Antonio AOR includes the Houston and San Antonio AORs in 2016–2017 and Harlingen, Houston, and San Antonio AORs in 2024–2026.
Chloe N East (she/her)@chloeneast.bsky.social · last wk.

My paper is out today in PNAS documenting how ICE activity in Trump 2.0 compares to the last 10 years and the mismatch between the action and the rhetoric. Joint with the fabulous @caitlinpatler.bsky.social and @elizabethacox.bsky.social www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

TFW you are having a pretty normal summer day trying to find motivation to work and then you are pulled into your aging parents caregiving and wish you could just work. I'm tired y'all and can we mandate therapy for everyone please?

Watching the Atlantic embarrass themselves is good entertainment. The question I have for folks is at what point do I no longer agree to do interviews with outlets whose politics are so transparently harmful? I've been wondering this about the NYT for years now... Any insights?

I am stunned that the constitutional question was so close. I thought it would be 6–3 or 7–2. It is profoundly disturbing that four justices would allow either the president or Congress to rewrite the plain text of the 14th Amendment. This is obviously a good outcome, but the margin is alarming.

BREAKING: The Supreme Court ruled that states can ban transgender girls from school sports. This is a devastating ruling for trans students across the country who simply want the freedom to play with their friends.

The Supreme Court just ruled that the Trump admin can terminate Temporary Protected Status for Haiti and Syria, and jeopardized 1.3 MILLION TPS holders across the country. This decision is wrong. It’s bad for our communities, our economy and our country.