Christian Grose
@christiangrose.bsky.social
Professor of Political Science & Public Policy, USC. Director, Democracy and Fair Elections Lab. Principal, Data Viewpoint. Duke, Rochester, L.A. Opinions my own. Links and posts are not endorsements.
APSA 2026 is complete! I served as Chair of the @apsa.bsky.social Legislative Studies Section. The best part of leading the section meeting is giving out awards. I'll post photos in the coming days of winners. Here I'm pictured w/ the previous & future Chairs, Gisela Sin & Laurel Harbridge-Yong.
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com “American colleges and universities must not be neutral on the issues of democracy and civic participation,” writes Jonathan Becker, the acting president of Bard College.
Opinion | The Trump Administration Is Trying to Keep College Students From Voting. Don’t Let It.
American democracy and American higher education are inextricable.
nyti.ms
Hey is that me on All Things Considered? Why, yes it is! www.npr.org/2026/08/19/n...
Alaska primary sets up big Senate race between Sullivan and Peltola
Primary elections in Alaska have set the stage for some big races in the fall: one that could be key in Democrats' effort to take control of the Senate in the midterms.
npr.org
What's going on in the CA race for Gov? Shared some thoughts (along with @christiangrose.bsky.social and Eric Schickler) here: time.com/article/2026...
Where the Tumultuous California Governor’s Primary Race Stands
With early voting in the California primary now underway, the race to replace Gov. Gavin Newsom is still rife with uncertainty.
time.com
VA state court overturns Virginia redistricting map on technicality, debating what "after the next general election" means. State court puts no "faith" in the legislature, despite voters supporting new legislators in 2025 general election & voters passing map in 2026.
How "weird" is this California's Governor's race? In the leadup to @cnn.com's debate, I talked with @kyunglahcnn.bsky.social about the leading candidates' baggage as they seek to make a first impression with voters, again. From @jaketapper.bsky.social's show today. www.cnn.com/2026/05/05/p...
In race for California governor, candidates look for another chance at making a first impression | CNN Politics
The so-called “anti-Trump Republic of California” is looking at a possible Democratic nightmare. How? The top two vote-getters in the June primary advance to the November ballot, regardless of party, ...
cnn.com
SCOTUS VRA decision has drawn intense interest for its impact on the U.S. House. However, significant impacts will be seen in local elections, such as Texas school boards. I spoke to Votebeat about the case's impacts on local elections. www.texastribune.org/2026/05/05/v...
Voting Rights Act ruling could change local Texas boards, councils
The 1965 federal law helped Latino and Black voters gain representation in city and school boards across Texas but now that could change.
texastribune.org
My favorite paper of 2019 has just been conditionally accepted at AER (lmao) The Voting Rights Act rapidly increased Black wages in the South via public employment & redistribution static1.squarespace.com/static/59dc0...
Breaking News: Florida lawmakers approved a new congressional map that could help Republicans win as many as four additional House seats. Several voting rights groups plan to challenge the map in court once Gov. Ron DeSantis signs it into law.
Florida Approves House Map That Could Add 4 Republican Seats
Several voting rights groups have said that they plan to challenge the map in court once Gov. Ron DeSantis signs it into law.
nyti.ms
We don't get to do that, or they win. Take a beat and get back to work.
At the California Governor's debate last night. Candidates were unruly and unpredictable with no clear winner emerging. Kudos to @pomonacollege.bsky.social & @cbsnews.com for hosting the debate!
SCOTUS Louisiana v. Callais majority opinion does not completely strike down Section 2, and adds that "partisan advantage" does "not intrude" on "prerogative to draw districts...to achieve partisan advantage."
Callais decision in Louisiana case, two years in the making, is finally out. SCOTUS strikes down map with Black-opportunity districts and weakens VRA. Still reading full decision. www.nytimes.com/live/2026/04...
Live Updates: Supreme Court Deals Blow to Voting Rights Act
nytimes.com
Virginia redistricting vote today. If passes will be 2nd state in US history to redraw map mid-decade via ballot proposition. www.nytimes.com/2026/04/21/u...
Virginia Voting Today on Map That Could Hand 4 House Seats to Democrats
nytimes.com
Why was Dem. party reaction to Swalwell so swift? "It’s not the 1990s [anymore],” Grose said. “especially as a Democratic candidate, Democratic voters and Democratic women voters, this is completely damaging him, obviously, to the point where he’s dropped out.” san.com/cc/swalwell-...
Swalwell scandal reshapes crowded, unpredictable California governor’s race
Rep. Eric Swalwell's exit threw another shakeup into the already-convoluted California governor's race. Who takes over as the frontrunner?
san.com
Swalwell resigns, what comes next in 2026 California Governor's race? The Guardian notes that Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, Matt Mahan, others could benefit. I state that D v R general much more likely after Trump endorses Hilton even with Swalwell exit. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...
Swalwell’s shock exit throws California governor’s race into disarray: ‘This really tosses the table over’
The contest to replace Gavin Newsom was already bizarre – now after the downfall of its apparent frontrunner, the state’s Democrats are scrambling
theguardian.com
How does Eric Swalwell sexual assault allegations implode his support? In SF Standard: "Christian Grose...noted that Democratic voters — women in particular — are statistically more likely to take assault claims seriously than their Republican counterparts.” sfstandard.com/2026/04/10/r...
‘We’re in really crazy territory’: Swalwell bombshell could upend the governor’s race
A former staffer claims the congressman sexually assaulted her. Which candidates stand to benefit?
sfstandard.com
What is the state of the 2026 California Governor's race? There's a chance for 2 Rs in the general. I also talked about the prospects of lower-polling candidates dropping out with Conan Nolan on @nbcla.com News Conference. www.youtube.com/watch?v=F3Aw...
NewsConference: USC professor behind gubernatorial debate speaks out
YouTube video by NBCLA
youtube.com
Took a break from the Western Political Science Association meeting in San Diego to take a walk by the ocean
One of my studies in AJPS was randomly selected and reproduced precisely in this new @nature.com study. What an undertaking to examine reproducibility and replication in the social sciences. Nice to see political science as one of the highest %s.
What Does the USC Formula from the Cancelled Governor’s Debate Teach Us? Candidate Viability Scores Predict Primary Vote Shares in California and Who Can Win. medium.com/3streams/wha...
What Does the USC Formula from the Cancelled Governor’s Debate Teach Us?
by José Javier Alcocer (Harvard) and Christian R. Grose (USC)
medium.com
@christiangrose.bsky.social didn’t deserve the public attacks he got for doing his job out here in CA. Here’s his take: www.politico.com/newsletters/...
The professor at the center of the debate debacle
politico.com
🎙️ON AIR: We're talking to @politico.com's Lindsey Holden and USC's @christiangrose.bsky.social about the impact of voter ID laws on elections and voter behavior. ❓Should California require an ID to vote? Or is our current system, which only requires an ID to register, enough? 📻Listen:
Should Californians Have to Show ID to Vote? | KQED
Airdate: Monday, March 16 at 10 AM Reform California, the conservative group behind a proposal to require voters to show identification at the polls, say they’ve gathered enough signatures to qualify…
buff.ly
Should Californians have to show ID to vote? I discussed CA's potential new ballot proposition and how it will have a major impact on mail-in ballots & voter participation. Listen on @kqedforum.bsky.social with Mina Kim. www.kqed.org/forum/2010101913284/should-californians-have-to-show-id-to-vote
Should Californians Have to Show ID to Vote? | KQED
Airdate: Monday, March 16 at 10 AM Reform California, the conservative group behind a proposal to require voters to show identification at the polls, say they’ve gathered enough signatures to qualify ...
kqed.org
Talked data and polls with @amritsingh.bsky.social on Inside the Issues around the California primary. Recent data show D Tom Steyer, R Steve Hilton, D Eric Swalwell surging. R Chad Bianco is not breaking out. spectrumlocalnews.com/nc/triad/ins...
Inside the Issues: Riverside Co. Voting; Gov. race polls; LAPD’s public safety
“Inside the Issues” looks at a voting probe
spectrumlocalnews.com
Ten @usc.edu @dornsife.usc.edu alumni to watch in 2026! Nice to see multiple former students who are tops in their fields! www.youtube.com/watch?v=uhXLPORSvUw
The Dornsife 10 to Watch: 2026
YouTube video by USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences
youtube.com
I spent hours looking through hundreds of files of materials that have been flagged for review by National Park Service sites around the country. Here is just a small sample of what I found. #NationalParks 🗃️ open.substack.com/pub/kevinmle...
What the National Park Service Has Flagged Thus Far. It's Much Worse Than I Thought.
Note: This is a long post.
open.substack.com
