Claire Hartnell

@cjhartnell.bsky.social

Mostly systems thinking, complexity & frustration. Finally scratching an itch with my MSc in Human Evolution at UCL. Substack: https://clairejhartnell.substack.com/

HOPE AT LAST! This paper is brilliant. Keynes, Polanyi, Christophers, Mamdani, Splintering Urbanism - it’s all there. Supply/demand inflation targetting? Just brilliant. Brilliant. I’m sure Haldane will be all over capital inflows & reserve tap for markets. Current acct still a problem but HOPE!

Mainstream@mainstreamlabour.bsky.social · last mo.

💥💥💥 Today, Mainstream publishes our first major research publication, The Productive State: A Framework for Manchesterism, by Mathew Lawrence and Alex Williams. It could not come at a more significant moment. Read it here: www.mainstreamlabour.org/publications...

A graphic showing the cover of Mainstream’s new report, The Productive State: A Framework for Manchesterism, and the following text: 'The Productive State: 
A Framework for Manchesterism, By Mathew Lawrence and Alex Williams. The Productive State is the foundation for a different kind of economy - one organised around a principle that four decades of market primacy systematically suppressed: that the essentials of life should be provided for need rather than profit, and that economic security is the condition of genuine freedom rather than its enemy.’

Phenomenal World is brilliant. If you want yawn debates about migration & Brexit then it won’t be for you. But if you want to understand the deep global patterns that lead to populism / Brexit / tariffs / currency collapse then dig in…

Albert Pinto@70sbachchan.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Tired of magazines that sound like this? Read our new online little magazine. First issue of @phenomenalworld.bsky.social 'American Power' is out! Essays on ‘declinism,’ the dollar, the Donroe Doctrine, Iran, Cuba, Brazil, Venezuela, China, the Gulf, and more. phenomenalworld.org/issues/

The thing to remember is that Blair is happy for the UK to be a safety deposit box for capital. That was the New Labour strategy & due to low(ish) debt in the 90s, we could sustain this policy, service the interest & still have money left over for benefits & wagefare. That world ended in 2008.

Ian Dunt@iandunt.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Fascinating intervention, in that it doesn't actually seem to have any strategic intent. Just a verdict handed down from the political Galapagos of the TBI. www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

With Palantir embedded with Network Rail and now with SpaceX being positioned as the primary train WiFi provider, we must ask the question: how much control is the US tech industry going to get over our railways?

BBC news article headlined "Better WiFi for hundreds of trains under government plans"

An optimistic thread for anyone who thinks these are dark days. The world is changing. Endogenously - the only way it sticks. Investors flocking to green energy heralds economic sovereignty & distributed power in the world to come. A better, freer, more equal world may emerge👇

Albert Pinto@70sbachchan.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Points we make in this essay: Why exactly is this shock different What are policy & mkt response China and electrotech order All energy transitions are driven by geopolitical energy shocks Hyperagency of Consumers who want solar,EV,battery Counterarguments-Oil will win!Coal will entrench!- don't fly

16/ Trump "has made fossil fuels both expensive and unreliable. People used to worry that addiction to oil made us dependent on Middle Eastern autocracies. ...We have learnt since 2022 that it also makes us dependent on Trump, Vladimir Putin and Benjamin Netanyahu." bsky.app/profile/ande...

Anders Åslund@andersaslund.bsky.social · 3mo ago

"How the oilman’s president boosted a green transition" "Trump has pulled off an improbable feat: the oilman’s president has made fossil fuels both expensive and unreliable. People used to worry that addiction to oil made us dependent on Middle Eastern autocracies.... /1

9/ Over the past decade there has been a global green industrial buildout as country after country wanted a position in new industries. The problem in the mid-2020s was not factory overcapacity, but a lack of coordinated global demand The Hormuz shock has violently solved that under-demand problem.

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Well done Charles. How nice to wake up to old-fashioned diplomacy. Calm, polite but direct in his message. What a lesson in manners to Trump’s vulgar rabble. And someone deserves a knighthood for that Trump bell. It will be mercilessly memed online - which is of course, the point: eyeballs.

Perhaps this is a good faith post but it repeats the false equivalence of invasion of Iran to defence *against* Hitler. The second problem is to conflate mistakes with reckless abandon of norms. Let us remember that Iran stood down & expressed contrition after bringing down Flight 752 in 2020👇

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3/6 It runs a trade surplus because it produces far more than it consumes or invests domestically. In more familiar terms, China runs a trade surplus because it saves far more than it invests, and of course saving is just production minus consumption.

The people who listen to Michael Hudson will already know that he is one of the most perceptive geopolitical commentators out there - trigger warning: also cantankerous & fervently anti US - but even I am stunned as his ability to predict every move in this war *before* it happened👇

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America: well we must have extended immunity for the president because we inherited the principle of sovereign immunity from British legal tradition, and... Britain: *arrests the brother of the sovereign*

The wheels of justice may turn slowly, but in Britain: sleaze, malfeasance and/or incompetence in office - Johnson, Truss lose jobs Britain: Epstein dealings: Mandelson fired; Andrew arrested US: crickets. Nothing to see here. The rich and powerful do as they please.

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