Clintin Davis-Stober

@clintin.bsky.social

Professor, quantitative psychology, decision theory, data science, mathematics, statistics, open science, modeling, weight lifting, photography, enjoyer of poetry www.davis-stober.com

I love this post about science and metascience. A lot of quotables but I’ll lead with this: “Those seeking a scientific method – one that can be written down and followed mechanically […] – betray a kind of childish impatience with a process they clearly don’t understand.”

John Kennedy@micefearboggis.bsky.social · 12mo ago

This is sort of part two to the far more enjoyable (to write and, hopefully, to read) essay "how to science a science with science". You might want to read that first. diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2025/07/03/h...

1. "'Trusting the experts is not a feature of either a science or democracy," Kennedy said." It's literally a vital feature of both science and of representative democracy. I've written a fair bit about trust in expertise as a vital mechanism in the collective epistemology of science.

RFK Jr. in interview with Scripps News: ‘Trusting the experts is not science’

HHS Secretary RFK Jr. sat down with Scripps News for a wide-ranging interview, discussing mRNA vaccine funding policy changes and a recent shooting at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

scrippsnews.com

here was our call for methodological standards in metaresearch four years ago. instead of getting fixated on a particular inference we'd like to make, we need to maintain scientific standards, do the hard work, respect the evidence. we can't keep jumping at self-serving solutions without question.

The case for formal methodology in scientific reform | Royal Society Open Science

Current attempts at methodological reform in sciences come in response to an overall lack of rigor in methodological and scientific practices in experimental sciences. However, most methodological ref...

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some of the discussion around the p-curve paper is depressing. i still see many missing the point clearly stated in the conclusion, and instead of demanding strong standards or questioning whether they're even asking good questions, they've immediately started asking for replacement methods.

New paper with @richarddmorey.bsky.social now out in JASA, where we critically examine p-curve. Below is Richard’s excellent summary of the many poor statistical properties of p-curve (with link to paper). I wanted to add some conceptual issues that we also tackle in the paper.

Richard D. Morey@richarddmorey.bsky.social · 12mo ago

Paper drop, for anyone interested in #metascience, #statistics, or #metaanalysis! @clintin.bsky.social and I show in a new paper in JASA that the P-curve, a popular forensic meta-analysis method, has deeply undesirable statistical properties. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 1/?

Cover page for the manuscript: Morey, R. D., & Davis-Stober, C. P. (2025). On the poor statistical properties of the P-curve meta-analytic procedure. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2025.2544397

If you'll be at APS2025 in DC next week, I'll be talking about the terrible statistical properties of the p curve procedure in the "Current Issues in Meta-Science" session Saturday, May 24th at 3pm. This will likely be my last US conference in a very long time. A brief summary follows. 1/

Screenshot of the APS program for "Current Issues in Meta-Science", Saturday, May 24, 3:00pmTitles and authors in the session:

* Statistical Power in the Light of Methodological Reform (Jolynn Pek)

* The Poor Statistical Properties of the P-Curve Procedures (Richard Morey)

* Consistent Methods Protect Against False Findings Produced By p Hacking (Duane Wegener)

* Accumulating Evidence across Studies (Blakeley McShane)

I am looking forward to expanding the scope of my professorship by combining cognitive and statistical modeling with LLMs😊 There will be two job openings for postdoc positions soon - one starting in September 2025 and another one a year later.

Universität Marburg@unimarburg.bsky.social · last yr.

🚀 930.000 Euro für #Psychologie -Forschung: Prof. Daniel Heck nutzt #KI, um psychologische Theorien präziser zu machen. Mithilfe von #LLMs sollen unscharfe Begriffe in messbare Modelle übersetzt werden – ein Schritt zu besseren Experimenten & klareren Erkenntnissen #Forschung uni-marburg.de/gDNQIi

Portrait Prof. Dr. Daniel Heck. Foto: Martin Schäfer

Another reminder that this online event will take place this Friday. I might be alone representing the West Coast (it's at 7am PT) but hope colleagues from other time zones consider stopping by and joining the discussion. My talk will be not-so-subtly titled "Replication Is (Not)".

Berna Devezer@devezer.bsky.social · last yr.

OK I had announced this before but forgot to say that Andrew Gelman would be joining Nancy Cartwright and myself as well. Short idea talks, lots of panel discussion and Q&A. Join us on April 25th to discuss RCTs, replications, and scientific inference. sites.google.com/view/cepbi/t...

My latest column just appeared in Science, entitled "Free speech, fact-checking, and the right to accurate information”. (www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...) I use one of President Trump’s first executive orders to unpack the terrain between misinformation and claims to free speech 1/n

Free speech, fact checking, and the right to accurate information

True to his campaign promises, on 20 January 2025, US President Donald Trump signed a broad range of Executive Orders, the scope of which ranged from renaming the Gulf of Mexico to “Gulf of America” t...

science.org

🚨 New Paper Alert! 🚨 How should scientists decide what to replicate & how? Our latest article explores: 🔍 Book of Truths vs. Book of Conversations – What's the purpose of replication? 📊 Balancing epistemic values, public trust & transparency. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/... @clintin.bsky.social

PNAS

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...

pnas.org

Dialogues about the practice of science "In this Feature: Should scientists reform the way they carry out research; if so, how? Should we reform the institutions that currently serve as scientific gatekeepers? How do recent technological & cultural revolutions affect the practice of science?"

PNAS

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...

pnas.org