Counterpoint: there is no singular p-value, it's a description of a sampling property

Cameron Patrick@cameronpat.bsky.social · 13h ago

My take on p-values: 1. p-values do what they are designed to do, which is not what most people using them imagine them to do. 2. Trying to fix p-values is a trap, because no single-number summary can do what people want p-values to do! 3. Trying to explain p-values is also a trap, because...

who up bagging their posteriors arxiv.org/abs/1912.07104

Robust Inference and Model Criticism Using Bagged Posteriors

Standard Bayesian inference is known to be sensitive to model misspecification, leading to unreliable uncertainty quantification and poor predictive performance. However, finding generally applicable ...

arxiv.org

Q&A with @devezer.bsky.social about metascience, open science, and her work in this area.

Q & A with Berna Devezer

Critical Metascience

markrubin.substack.com

The fact that it grossly misleads you 8% of the time is a small price to pay for a life untroubled by uppity pismires who insist that your ideas be connected to base reality as they understand it. 66/

JAGS 5.0.0 is released martynplummer.wordpress.com/2026/08/02/j...

WIFE: (MFA from RISD) I thought a lot of her points were astute, even if her obvious bias for classics made a poor replacement for film criticism specifically, you know? ME: (just found out only yesterday that flies aren't food) I don't feel good. I can still feel some of them moving inside of me.

Overleaf down, time for a nice lunch off campus

Nominations for the Fall Class of Fellows are due by September 1. Nominate a colleague worthy of recognition now! buff.ly/1QVlBr5

Any Old English academics out there who can help with a translation? I'm trying to write "Welcome to _____" for a sign in Old English. I can find some interpretations of "welcome" but I'm not sure if they can be used in this function. ...

Twelve quick tips for AI-assisted coding in science journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol... - our latest by @ericwbridgeford.bsky.social with @thisisadax.bsky.social , Zijiao Chen, Zhicheng Lin, @hritz.bsky.social and @joachim.cidlab.com

Twelve quick tips for AI-assisted coding in science

While AI coding tools have demonstrated potential to accelerate software development, their use in scientific computing raises critical questions about code quality and scientific validity. In this pa...

journals.plos.org

Watching House of the Dragon with the Queen dowager and her lady in waiting

Swiggity swooty

Eloise Powers@elnopower.bsky.social · last wk.

Blue-footed Booby. The blue-footed booby (Sula nebouxii) is a marine bird native to subtropical and tropical regions of the eastern Pacific Ocean. Its most notable characteristic is its blue-colored feet, which can range in color from a pale turquoise to a deep aquamarine. 📸: @dstogs_photography

not literally about cocaine

A cocaine skeptic starts an unwise habit – Notes from a data witch

You will be shocked to learn that this is not actually a post about cocaine

blog.djnavarro.net

Yep!

This is revolutionizing how I meet with my grad students #doabreakthrough

Nate Spilman@natespilman.at · 2w ago

💀

Recordings of Foundational, Keynote, and Named Lectures; the short course on Bayesian Deep Learning; and memorial sessions for Herman van Dijk and Harry van Zanten from the 2026 ISBA World Meeting are now available! www.youtube.com/playlist?lis... @isba-bayesian.bsky.social

ISBA World Meeting 2026 - YouTube

youtube.com

I can now confirm society has fallen apart (missed a flight connecting in Newark)

Advancing theory-building work in the mathematical and behavioral sciences | @ucirvine.bsky.social Center for Theoretical and Behavioral Sciences awards inaugural Luce Fellowship alongside Summer Graduate Fellowships for theory building @uofcalifornia.bsky.social

Advancing theory-building work in the mathematical and behavioral sciences

socsci.uci.edu

I used to struggle with whether the word meaning "kept secret" was spelled discreTE or discreET until one unexpected night of passion ended with a certain unnamed Hollywood extraterrestrial begging me to keep his debased sexual proclivities on the down low

Neither of my grandmothers could read or write. Economic hardship forced my mother out of high school & my father out of middle school. To now join the Harvard faculty is a surreal turn of events for me. I am forever grateful for my family’s hard work and sacrifices. I hope my mom is watching this.

Looking forward to Maria Robinson’s keynote talk following her receiving the early career award from the math psych society @mathpsych.org

Looking to work with a postdoc. Prior experience with fMRI and computational modeling required, interest in psychiatry desired. Fellowship provides three years salary plus independent travel/equipment funds. Send CV and 2-3 manuscripts (preprints OK).

I have eaten the diarrhea lettuce that was in the crisper and which you were probably saving for tacos forgive me it was delicious hang on gotta run

Time Change xkcd.com/3272/

Anybody know a public health science person who'd want to do a livestream about Cyclospora, screwworm, or other headline news? Get in the replies & let me know!

Excellent paper on the ethical complexities of Open Science reform. Highly recommend. Builds upon our previous work on epistemic alignment in replication decision making. @suyoghc.bsky.social @balazsaczel.bsky.social @ayeletfishbach.bsky.social

Mark Rubin@markrubin.bsky.social · 3w ago

Do you view the scientific literature as a "Book of Truths" or a "Book of Conversations"? "This attitudinal divide, we argue, underlies many tensions in contemporary OS [open science] practice." By Rena Alcalay and @joachim.cidlab.com

Analytic variability and multiverse analysis - the latest in my Better Code, Better Science series russpoldrack.substack.com/p/analytic-v...

Analytic variability and multiverse analysis

Better Code, Better Science: Chapter 9, Part 7

russpoldrack.substack.com

Alright, candidates. Prebunk for my vote!

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 3w ago

it's even dumber than you think