Dagomar Degroot

@dagomardegroot.bsky.social

Professor of environmental history at Georgetown University. Creator, "The Climate Chronicles." Author of the new book, "Ripples on the Cosmic Ocean." Interested in all things climate change, outer space, existential risk, and past for present.

July ECMWF runs are in and forecast an even more extreme El Niño event than the prior June runs. ENSO3.4 region temperatures reach 3.9C in December, and forecasts are around 0.3C warmer than they were in June.

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The reason why it is essential to read IN BULK when studying history is not simply to amass empirical knowledge—though that is important, too, of course—but because *interpretation* requires thick contextual awareness, and there is NO SHORTCUT for building that up that awareness.

Did you know? Renewables have just overtaken coal as the world's largest source of electricity 34% – global renewable share, up 2x in 20yrs 48% – EU 37% – China 26% – US 24% – India

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Big histories of #ClimateChange are always full of mistakes, partly because climate science is constantly changing. Because my "Climate Chronicles" is not a book, I can fix my errors. I've now published a list of the revisions I plan to make this year. #EnvHist theclimatechronicles.com/revisions/

Revisions - The Climate Chronicles

The Climate Chronicles attempts to explain how climate change shaped the history of our species. That’s a daunting challenge, for at least three reasons.

theclimatechronicles.com

"Project Hail Mary" imagines how an environmental change on the Sun spurs an effort to protect the environment of Earth. In a way, it's the thrilling, fictional counterpart to my new book, "Ripples on the Cosmic Ocean." #EnvHist #ProjectHailMary sciencepolitics.org/2026/05/01/p...

Project Hail Mary Tells a True Story About Humanity’s Past and Future - Science Politics

Changes in solar environments could pose serious risks to modern life.

sciencepolitics.org

How can records of the past inform our understanding of extreme events? Join the National Academies on April 29 for a webinar releasing a new report on a proposed Center for Paleoenvironmental Records of Extreme Events (CPREE). Register: events.nationalacademies.org/46602

Functions and Criteria for a New Center for Paleoenvironmental Records of Extreme Events: Report Release Webinar

Register for this event from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.

events.nationalacademies.org

It's a little hard to fit everything into news stories like this but something I wanted to spell out - Prof Yasuyuki Aono was an *incredibly* dedicated person, by all accounts, who brought us the now-famous cherry blossom climate indicator. www.theguardian.com/world/2026/a...

After 1,200 years, cherry blossom record to live on despite Japanese scientist’s death

Prof Yasuyuki Aono’s meticulous work charted shifting bloom dates as a marker of climate change

theguardian.com

Collapse! Mega-drought! The 16th episode of The Climate Chronicles explores whether a wave of drying brought about the collapse of the world's first empire, 4200 years ago. It's a huge episode: more than 8000 words and 65 mins of audio. #EnvHist theclimatechronicles.com/2026/04/07/e...

Episode 16: Megadrought in Mesopotamia - The Climate Chronicles

More than 4,000 years ago, a wall seems to have gone up across what is now northern Iraq.

theclimatechronicles.com

The combination of a very strong #ElNiño - which should reduce harvests across Asia, Australia, Africa, and parts of the Americas - with soaring fertilizer and fuel prices, owing to the ongoing closure of the Strait of #Hormuz, could make for a devastating year of food shortages and social unrest.

Zeke Hausfather@zekehausfather.com · 4mo ago

I've updated my El Niño forecast plume with the latest April data (ECMWF, NMME, CFSv2, Canadian models). Its now looking like it might end up giving 2015/2016 a run for its money in terms of strength, with a peak of ~2.6C in the ENSO3.4 region by end of year: dashboard.theclimate...

I knew about the 1969 moon landing. And knew that news of the My Lai massacre came out in '69. But I had those events in separate boxes. Occurs to me now that it must have been disorienting to feel proud of (one aspect of) your country, while also deeply shamed by its crimes.