Babe wake up a new LinkedIn Catholicism just dropped
lmfao
Dan Cassino
@dancassino.bsky.social
Political scientist at FDU, Executive Director of the FDU Poll, studying masculinities and research methods.
Babe wake up a new LinkedIn Catholicism just dropped
lmfao
It’s 2026, a week and a half before the election, I’m punchy, and it’s important to make your own fun.
The IKEA x Halo crossover the universe was crying out for. Ok, the controller stick stools are pretty cute, actually.
I spoke with Politico and WNYC about the disastrous politics of the ICE surge. www.politico.com/news/2026/10...
Trump put this Hispanic district in play. His deportations are complicating the pitch.
Republican Rosie Pino is criticizing Trump’s immigration crackdown, but her party’s hopes of unseating Democratic Rep. Nellie Pou are fading.
politico.com
Working on my video craft and talking about Jon Husted and Arnold Palmer and Trump’s obsession with men’s looks. With a shout-out to @dancassino.bsky.social www.instagram.com/reel/DezFXZN...
Create an account or log in to Instagram - Share what you're into with the people who get you.
instagram.com
the problem with Wedgewood isn't that other pollsters don't have standards (they very much do! aapor.org/standards-an...), it's that ~no one on the demand side pays attention to professional ratings of pollsters' reputations/adherence to these standards (or lack thereof)
Standards and Ethics - AAPOR
Overview AAPOR believes in upholding the highest standards for our profession, with our members agreeing to abide by the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. Our goals are to support sound...
aapor.org
Polling, at minimum, needs a trade association which sets minimum standards for polling and to make polling commensurable so that poll aggregation is an apples to apples comparison process and so you can apply different pollsters "house effects" to other pollsters microdata.
I have a new favorite "scientific" masculinity test (from Tempo magazine, July 1958)
I know some folks think that differentiating between sex and gender is woke, and the definitions are too complicated, and it's new and we can't expect people to understand, and here's notoriously woke outlet Hustler explaining it to a reader in 1974.
Two things going on here, I think. 1) Some states just don’t have local public polls any more, which is a problem. 2) Some pollsters are shy about releasing numbers too close to an election, as it’s harder to say “my numbers are good, but the race changed.”
Important post from my colleagues at FiftyPlusOne: Pollsters are publishing fewer polls in fewer races this year, which could increase uncertainty in polling averages and election forecasts: blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/where-are-...
We've probably learned more about American politics from the ANES than any other single data source. The same is true for the GSS and sociology. Both of these are gone if Congress acquiesces to these NSF cuts.
NEW: In March the White House released an FY27 budget request that zeroed out the National Science Foundation's directorate of Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences (SBE). For months it was unclear what would happen. Now, with FY26 over, the damage to SBE is coming to light. My reporting:
I'm on the air with PIX-11 at 8:30 to talk about last night's fiery NY-17 debate between Republican Mike Lawler and Cait Conley.
I put together a non-infringing Answer and Question trivia game for some Incomparable panelists who were contestants on a well known Answer and Question show. We had loads of fun, and I got to explore some of my favorite topics with some very smart folks. www.theincomparable.com/gameshow/293/
This is Relayparty! (Game Show 293)
From the Relay St. Jude fundraising campaign comes this game where three familiar Incomparable voices with a bit of televised game show history compete in a game of answers and questions!
theincomparable.com
young men (18-29) who spend >5 hours a day on social media are more likely to agree that advancing women’s and girls’ rights has gone too far than those who don’t use social media as much. no difference detected among young women. @eurcorrespond.bsky.social
The annual Elections, Public Opinion, & Voting Behavior conference will be at UW-Madison on May 13-14, 2027! Paper & poster submissions are due Dec 1. Apply here: go.wisc.edu/qj0o22 More info about the conference here: elections.wisc.edu/epovb27/ I am on the host committee & happy to answer Qs!
This is a terrible framing. It is certainly the case that high quality polls had an anti-Trump bias in his Presidential runs. If Trump were on the ballot, it would be reasonable to expect it again. But that bias hasn’t been present in midterms! www.nj.com/politics/202...
Trump’s midterm chances may not be as dire, pollsters say
Experts are pointing to a polling problem with the president.
nj.com
Tom Kean, Jr. is in real trouble not because he was in treatment for depression, but because he missed a lot of votes. Missing votes, and otherwise not doing your job, is about the strongest attack that can be made against an incumbent. www.usatoday.com/story/news/p...
Rep. Tom Kean Jr. might lose, but not because of four-month absence
Rep. Tom Kean, R-New Jersey, was absent from Congress for four months, which he later attributed to depression. His reelection race is looking tight.
usatoday.com
The Legend of Billie Jeanne Dielman, 23, quai du Commerce, 1080 Bruxelles
Combine 2 Film Titles 2 make a New Film.
Hey @2000ad.bsky.social: I’m going to need Judge Dredd to go back to being an over the top parody, rather than a straight reporting of real life, it’s getting upsetting, thanks.
“And what do you call your act?” “The sanctity of life!”
WASHINGTON (AP) - Pentagon says the firing squad execution of Fort Hood shooter Nidal Malik Hasan will be livestreamed in December.
Two points on this apparent use of LLM chatbots over text. First, the artificially low cost of LLMs right now means that, for the first time in decades, actual push polling - trying to use purported polls to change the minds of a significant number of voters- may be feasible.
this is already going well
It is sometimes a weird little niche I’ve carved out for myself. www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-...
Trump Is Fixated On Ken Paxton’s Appearance — Experts Say This Might Explain Why
“I’m not sure if I like your look, I’m not sure if I like the way you dress, I don’t like the way you talk,” the president said about the GOP nominee.
huffpost.com
more business owners need to be like this
New poll from Natalie Jackson's (newish) shop Centerline Research and Strategy, with an interesting methodological twist: weighting by religious affiliation rather than party, with a note that Evangelicals (who skew MAGA w/in the GOP) were under-represented stuckmiddle.substack.com/p/introducin...
Introducing the Centerline National Poll
And why I weighted to religious affiliation and not partisanship.
stuckmiddle.substack.com
In “Hell I’ve made for myself” news , I’m now going to have to try and track down Sir Magazine’s “New Scientific Test for Maleness.”
Might not be posting for a while. Dealing with some stuff. My wife was captured by apes.
10 year old me, when I started playing Civilization II:
“Democracy has been hailed as, like, the holy grail for the last couple hundred years, but democracies are inefficient,” said the crypto billionaire. “If you get a benevolent dictator, it’s actually extremely efficient." Hmm, where have I heard this before? www.nytimes.com/2026/10/01/b...
Thermostatic partisanship is here with a vengeance, which should give pause to anyone thinking about weighting 2026 election polls to party ID, or any proxy thereof.
Gallup reporting D+11 in self-reported party id in latest 2026 Q3 release news.gallup.com/poll/654560/...