Dan Woynillowicz
@danwoy.bsky.social
Principal Polaris Strategy + Insight | Navigating the energy transition | Climate policy & politics | coffee & bicycles | “charter member of the climate-energy wonk club”
I've got a new brief in Policy Magazine that explores "Mark Carney’s Strategy for the Age of Electricity." It makes the case for doubling not only electricity supply, but also electrification and energy productivity. It also flags a sleeper opportunity. www.policymagazine.ca/mark-carneys...
What will the global fossil fuel market look like once the closure of the Hormuz ends? In short, volatile and risky but oversupplied - terrible for fossil fuel investors, less so for clean energy investors. The UAE's decision to leave OPEC reinforced this.
Wildfire health impacts continue -- but research shows that if we do not directly connect extremes with how they're being driven by a warming climate, being affected by disasters won't make us more willing to support + advocate for climate action. That's why it's SO impt that we talk about it!
Air quality in Toronto among worst in the world Monday, as Environment Canada issues heat warning | CBC News
Parts of the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) are under an air quality warning on Monday alongside an ongoing heat warning in the region, Environment Canada says.
cbc.ca
For the BC #climate crowd. If you’re in Victoria, come check out this great event with @danwoy.bsky.social and others! www.eventbrite.com/e/beyond-the...
Beyond the Carbon Tax: Charting a New Course for Climate Action in BC
Join IPAC Victoria for a panel on the future of climate policy in BC, featuring expert voices from across sectors.
eventbrite.com
New paper compares non-exhaust pollution (brake and tire particulates) from ICE and EV cars. Conclusion: EV's create more tire pollution b/c they're heavier, but less brake pollution due to regenerative braking. EVs come out ahead overall if >15% of driving is in a city. doi.org/10.1016/j.tr...
The Greens in Germany got this concession for supporting Metz’ 500bn package.
@danwoy.bsky.social ‘s usual great deep dives. My take on analyzing the O&G cap was if they reduced fugitive GHG at best practise, little combustion limitation was necessary. With a bit of efficiency & heat electrification (heat pumps & heat batteries for low heat need), the cap was not binding
Dan Woynillowicz@danwoy.bsky.social · last yr.The PBO's analysis of the federal government’s proposed oil and gas emissions cap is out (www.pbo-dpb.ca/en/publicati...), and unfortunately for Canadians it continues their pattern of shoddy analysis (www.cbc.ca/news/politic...) of federal climate policy. 1/
The PBO's analysis of the federal government’s proposed oil and gas emissions cap is out (www.pbo-dpb.ca/en/publicati...), and unfortunately for Canadians it continues their pattern of shoddy analysis (www.cbc.ca/news/politic...) of federal climate policy. 1/
NEW: Global EV sales grew 18% year-on-year in Jan 2025 Was this due to the "devastating collapse" of 21% growth in Europe? The "stalling" 12% growth in China? Maybe the "plunging" 22% rise in US/Canada? Or "faltering" 50% rest-of-world growth…? Data: Rho Motion 🤷♂️
Dear @pbsnews.bsky.social when a fascist is threatening an invasion and annexation of a sovereign nation you in fact do not have to respond by explaining how it would work WTF is “Here’s what it would take to transform Canada from a nation to a state”?
PBS News@pbsnews.org · last yr.President Donald Trump has repeatedly said Canada should be the 51st U.S. state as he proposes to erase the 5,525-mile-long border that separates the two countries. Here’s what it would take to transform Canada from a nation to a state.
"Canada First" may be an enticing slogan and sentiment, but it risks making things harder for Canada. www.linkedin.com/posts/activi...
Dan Woynillowicz on LinkedIn: Friday reflections... "Canada First" may be an enticing slogan and…
Friday reflections... "Canada First" may be an enticing slogan and sentiment, but it risks making things harder for Canada. As a middle power and a trading…
linkedin.com
"When you tally up that savings over someone’s typical four-year lease or seven-year car loan, suddenly, even without the incentives, the EV saves you an absolute fortune." vancouversun.com/news/local-n...
B.C. faces bumpy road as 10-year countdown begins on zero-emission vehicle target
B.C. is now on a 10-year countdown to hit the province's mandate for all new, light-duty vehicle sales to be zero-emission by 2035.
vancouversun.com
"When you tally up that savings over someone’s typical four-year lease or seven-year car loan, suddenly, even without the incentives, the EV saves you an absolute fortune." vancouversun.com/news/local-n...
B.C. faces bumpy road as 10-year countdown begins on zero-emission vehicle target
B.C. is now on a 10-year countdown to hit the province's mandate for all new, light-duty vehicle sales to be zero-emission by 2035.
vancouversun.com
Worthy of attention in the Canadian conversation about "what next?" -- the giant climate and energy policy pendulum swing happening in the US could make Canada a MORE attractive destination for low-carbon investment IF we don't follow suit. Keep Canada Boring. polarisstrategy.ca/2024/05/13/k...
The tariffs may be paused but the relationship is broken. Trump and the next Trump can’t be trusted. Canadians need to look inward and elsewhere, diversifying away from the US, and getting stronger in the process. Let’s make that the legacy we build from this. Bye America, Buy Canadian 🇨🇦
Premier David Eby has instructed all 29 Crown Agencies (BC Hydro, ICBC, LCB, etc) and all Ministires to buy Canadian Goods and Services First. President Trump has essentially ripped up our Trade Agreement. This means we don’t need to abide by it either. So what does this mean for BC? (1/4)
Very encouraging to see Canada achieve an 8th place ranking (now cracking the Top 10!), with 19% growth to just over US$35 billion invested in the energy transition in 2024. about.bnef.com/energy-trans...
Global sales of fully electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles will rise by at least 17% this year to over 20 million cars, helped by an extension of China's auto trade-in subsidies, research firm Rho Motion forecast on Tuesday. www.reuters.com/business/aut... #Upshift 🔌🚗 🔌💡
EV car sales to top 20 million in 2025, research firm says
Global sales of fully electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles will rise by at least 17% this year to over 20 million cars, helped by an extension of China's auto trade-in subsidies, research firm Rho Motion forecast on Tuesday.
reuters.com
Beyond tech industry implications of DeepSeek, I am wondering what this does to the ridiculous projections of electricity demand growth in the next 5 years. This is a good time to take stock of unrealized efficiency gains in AI compute before we end up building a bunch of 30-year gas plants.
Silicon Valley Is Raving About a Made-in-China AI Model
DeepSeek is called ‘amazing and impressive’ despite working with less-advanced chips.
wsj.com
So many of the big challenges BC faces require solutions that cut across multiple ministries, so it's great to see Meghan Sali providing this policy development leadership in the Premier's office. @davidebybc.bsky.social will surely benefit from her wise counsel & focus on delivering solutions.
Rob Shaw@robshaw.bsky.social · 2y agoNEW - As part of continued reorganization in @davidebybc.bsky.social office, Meghan Sali has been promoted from policy director to the premier’s “principal secretary” - a new role in the office designed to lead policy development for government.
It's wild that this isn't getting more attention: Beijing’s official target, set in 2020, for EVs to account for 50 per cent of car sales by 2035, will be achieved 10 years ahead of schedule: China is set to sell more EVs than ICE vehicles in 2025 www.ft.com/content/0ebd... #energysky
China’s EV sales set to overtake traditional cars years ahead of west
Volumes forecast to rise 20% next year, smashing international projections and Beijing’s official targets
ft.com
This is 🎯- “Americans on both political sides have essentially agreed to frame emerging electrical technologies as being fundamentally about climate change, instead of about national power and prosperity. This is a dangerous misconception.” www.noahpinion.blog/p/america-is...
America is losing the physical technologies of the future
Electrical technology isn't just a climate thing. It's about national power and prosperity.
noahpinion.blog
Hydro-Québec's Sabia on the Churchill Falls deal: “These projects are clear statements that Canada has the ability to do big things,” (gift article)🔌💡 www.theglobeandmail.com/gift/4558b9d...
Hydro-Québec CEO hails Labrador projects as examples of Canada getting stuff done
Michael Sabia said the country will build its credibility with U.S. politicians by increasing its ability to be a reliable partner in areas such as energy, critical minerals and emerging industries
theglobeandmail.com
