Hi @coalisdead.bsky.social Three boosts in a row is a nice subscription package 🎉 Thank you for the welcome 🙏
Eric Maugendre about emissions
@data.yt
Data scientist; researching climate policy. I calculate how to avoid much carbon emissions: http://data.yt Banner is a directed acyclic graph. Avatar shows a white man in a heatwave.
People build in forests because they love forests. But forests also burn. What is happening near Spokane is a tragedy—and a warning about decades of allowing homes to spread through fire-prone landscapes. Coeur d’Alene and Sandpoint may face an even greater reckoning.
More than 700 structures lost as 65,000 evacuate in Washington state wildfires
Officials have yet to determine how many of the destroyed structures were homes, businesses or schools. No injuries have been reported.
apple.news
Most of the lagoons and ‘billabongs’ adjacent to the major river system in Australia, the Murray Darling, are gone. It’s a tragedy
Climate forcing: some activities force the climate to drift. Forcing activities include fossil energies, mining, bovine husbandry, tree plantations, etc. 🧵
Our smoke-filled summers, courtesy of fossil fuels. "On average, ACC [anthropogenic climate change] contributes 49% to smoke PM2.5 concentrations in the western United States from 1997 to 2020, and explains 58% of the increasing trend in smoke PM2.5 from 2010 to 2020."
Large role of anthropogenic climate change in driving smoke concentrations across the western United States from 1992 to 2020 | PNAS
Wildfire activity has increased dramatically in the western United States over the last three decades, having a significant impact on air quality a...
pnas.org
This is an important point. While some hard limits (cannot be overcome by any means) to adaptation might be identified through biophysical research, identifying most hard limits and all soft limits (we hit because we choose not to do things that are needed) requires actually trying to adapt.
Meade Krosby@meadekrosby.bsky.social · 3d agoThis is also, tangentially, a response to those saying we’re already seeing the limits of adaptation. No, we’re not. We’ve barely begun to adapt. And that’s being generous. Adaptation has limits - and they’ll vary by system - but we won’t reach them until we genuinely mobilize to reduce risk.
[And yet again I plead: don’t quote battery “capacity” in units of power (MW or GW). Use *energy*: MWh, GWh. Or tell us power AND runtime (“xMW for y hrs” etc.). But NEVER EVER POWER ONLY. That just betrays that you don’t really understand the role of storage. 🤷♂️]
Ember@ember-energy.org · 5d agoBattery storage in the EU is set to QUADRUPLE from 37 GW in 2025 to 178 GW by 2030 🔋 This could enable far more wind and solar power to be absorbed and reduce the region's reliance on gas for grid balancing. ember-energy.org/lat...
I spoke to @thetimes.com on horrible yields and how there is no "new normal" "As bad as this year’s harvest is proving to be, Behrens warned against seeing it as a “new normal”. “Until we get our carbon emissions down things will continue to get much, much worse.”" www.thetimes.com/uk/environme...
Heatwave forces farmers to abandon crops as harvests fail
Extreme weather and rising costs see growers diversifying into alternative businesses, raising severe concerns over the future of British food security
thetimes.com
Land & marine heatwaves, droughts, fires, floods, landslides, sea-level rise, super-charged typhoons, weather whiplash Climate change is harmful, fossil fuels cause it, we know who's responsible👇, non-fossil alternatives are viable
Yann Quilcaille@yannquilcaille.bsky.social · 11mo ago🚨 Important paper in Nature: "Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors". www.nature.com/articles/s41...
"At best, it is a long-term option contingent on heavy subsidies, regulatory change and infrastructure build-out. The risk is that reliance on #CCS could delay more viable alternatives (renewables, storage, green hydrogen) and expose Germany to high costs and project failures"
The case against carbon capture for Germany’s gas power sector
Chapter 2
ieefa.org
Just 16% of countries met a 2025 deadline to identify their nature-harming subsidies, according to new analysis by @giulianaviglione.bsky.social and I 🐛
I keep on saying the same things, so here we go: People think mitigation politics is impossible, but the type of adaptation politics we tend to play is superficially ok at best and only in the short run (it is terribly toxic in the long run)
Happy to have been involved in this work. How a rush for minerals is causing deforestation in tropical regions www.nature.com/articles/d41...
How a rush for minerals is causing deforestation in tropical regions
An analysis of the extent to which mining caused deforestation between 2001 and 2020 in areas near mines in sub-Saharan Africa could help conservation efforts.
nature.com
"We find plantations in temperate regions were twice as likely to suffer stand-replacing #wildfires than natural production forests, including in vital timber-producing nations like China and Russia. Plantations in tropical regions showed no clear effect". Bousfield et al. (2025):
Global risk of wildfire across timber production systems - Nature Communications
Timber plantations in temperate countries are twice as likely to be destroyed by wildfires compared to natural wood-producing forests under similar conditions. The increasing threat of wildfires in th...
doi.org
much agreement with this 🧵 but pol science has clearly shown that ideologically opposition to clean energy is a direct function of political efforts in fossil fuels sectors and constituencies to generate such ideology. So no, fossil lobbying for their interests and culture wars are not separate.
Zeke Hausfather@zekehausfather.com · 4w agoWhile I agree with Bill that the fossil fuel lobby paid for a lot of climate denial in previous decades, I see ideological opposition to clean energy (and climate action) as a much bigger barrier to progress today than fossil lobbyists.
great reporting on the litigation brought by Big Food companies against public health policies in battleground jurisdictions while the majority of these legal challenges fail, they should be understood as part of a political economy of delay www.lighthousereports.com/investigatio...
Big Food vs. The People
We expose Big Food’s 239 lawsuits against life-saving policies
lighthousereports.com
I am starting a thread on global land loss 🧵 #sediments #mining #climate #rivers #deforestation #soil #carbon #causality #land #footprint #dataViz
'While tour operators often argue that visiting Antarctica can heighten tourists’ awareness of environmental issues, former guides were struck by guests’ ignorance of human impacts. None of the guides quit overnight. Their decisions emerged through years of reflection, uncertainty & moral conflict'
Starmer's nature plan is pathetic. Burnham must do better. I've written about the government's '30by30 Delivery Plan', out today, which isn't a plan & won't deliver 30by30. I suggest some policies Burnham should pursue instead, amidst Blackadder gifs: guyshrubsole.substack.com/p/starmers-n... 1/🧵
Starmer’s nature plan is pathetic. Burnham must do better
Today's 30by30 Delivery Plan isn't a plan, and it won't deliver 30by30.
guyshrubsole.substack.com
1/ We've a new paper: The highest-impact diets belong to the people with the most choices. In @nature.com Food, led by Oliver Taherzadeh and Hongyi Cai: across 165 countries, the highest dietary emissions per person are among highly educated urban men aged 15-34. doi.org/10.1038/s43016-026-01389-y
Dietary environmental impacts and quality differ by socio-demographic characteristics - Nature Food
Dietary intake and supply chain data from 165 countries reveal demographic disparities in diet-related environmental impacts. Impacts are greatest among young, highly educated urban men, and healthier...
doi.org
"The hotter and drier the weather, the drier the scrub, grass and woodland become. Dry vegetation doesn’t just burn more easily, it burns faster, spreads further, and is far harder to bring under control once it’s alight." Climate change is turning the landscape into fuel. #Wildfires per @350.org:
Beyond the spark: Why wildfires across Europe are getting worse
Wildfires are becoming a familiar part of the European summer, from the hills of Wales to the forests of Spain and southern France.
350.org
Any student who sees this: Please do not use ChatGPT to "check links"! Instead, wherever possible use the DOI URL. When there's no DOI, identify the canonical URL and remove any "?" and anything that follows. For example, doi.org/10.1126/scie... not www.science.org/content/arti....
Holden Thorp@holdenthorp.bsky.social · 3w agoHi, this is Holden emerging from my Bluesky hiatus to tell everyone that when checking the links in the piece, I used ChatGPT as my search engine (does anyone use Google anymore?). The piece was written by me and edited by humans. So all the links were checked by me and again by our copyeditors.
The weathers, they are a-changing. We can make sense of pattern evolution. I am starting a thread about Europe's new #climate conditions. 🧵 (You may read stories in the "ALT" descriptions.)
![The chart is temperatures plotted against years (from 1940 to 2026).
It graphs temperatures averaged over four weeks in European France since 1940 [the month Pétain made his first broadcast to the French people].
A curve in red is made from statistical regression (loess method: smoothness determined with cross-validation) to build a statistical central trend.
We may look at the difference between monthly index and trend:
The red point represents the average of mid-June to mid-July 2026. Its high position is not absurd: it shows within the distribution of variability around the trend.
June 1976 and 2003 were outliers, "black swan" like, events: June and mid-June to mid-July 2003 were 3.7 °C away from the trend, when 2026 June is only 1.7°C.
The same kind of extreme period this year would have shown an average at 2°C more.
The calculations and graph were made by Denis Mongin @denismongin.bsky.social
The above comments were built from his. Below comments come from me.
Incidently you may note that 2022 was the year the French President said "Mais qui aurait pu prédire ?" and the monthly index exactly is at the trend curve.
Data was mangled by averaging over the month. This has the benefit of showcasing a general enhancement: across the country, day and night.
Data was uploaded from weather stations located in Europe. The method was chosen by the national weather service.
The method purposely excludes weather stations located in France but not in Europe – such as Guyane, a territory neighbour to the Amazon basin.
Florent Malouda was born in Guyane. He is one of the greatest wingers in the history of the Chelsea football club. Malouda represented the France national football team on 80 occasions from 2004 to 2012.
Among the players selected for the 2026 FIFA World Cup is Mike Maignan. He plays as the goalkeeper for and captains Serie A club AC Milan. Mike Maignan was born in French Guiana, to a Haitian mother and a Guadeloupean father.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:ghfylraepxvzz7zjex4nelzw/bafkreihysrppiulaeqhdaobfnglpoj62ww6sl266zbzux47bm2o537b63i)
☀️🌧️ Extreme weather events are increasing 🌀🌤 Our new paper discusses the range of extreme weather attribution methods available and how we should be combining them to improve confidence in our attribution statements with co-authors: @marylouathanase.bsky.social & Shirin Ermis doi.org/10.1002/wea....
The need for multi‐method extreme event attribution
Over the past 20 years, extreme event attribution has developed rapidly, providing a wide range of methods to attribute weather events – from unconditioned probabilistic to strongly conditioned story...
rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
How do we decide what grows where? 🌱🧪⚒️ Our new paper analyzes 100 years of land-use history across 3,104 sites in Germany and finds that hydrological properties shape our agricultural landscapes. doi.org/10.1002/jpln... @cwmsoils.bsky.social @thuenen.de #Hydrology #LandUse #Sustainability #Soil
Hydrological Conditions Outweigh Soil Texture, Temperature, and Terrain in German Agricultural Land Use
Background The availability of fertile land suitable for agriculture is limited. In the European Union, political demand for self-sufficiency in staple food production currently competes with increa...
doi.org
Six years back the Oat Mafia set out simply to share knowledge and resources with each other about growing food-grade oats. They wound up solving a different problem related to nitrogen fertilizer: its deleterious impacts on drinking water. foodprint.org/blog/oats-ca...
Oats can improve soil and water quality. All that’s missing is a market for them.
A group of Midwestern oat farmers wants to improve soil and water quality and grow a nutritious local crop. All that’s missing is a market.
foodprint.org
"Crop rotations, reduced or no-tillage practices, organic farming, and cover crops increase total microbial #biomass and shift the community structure toward a more fungal-dominated community, thereby enhancing the accumulation of" microbial biomass and microbially derived organic matter. #carbon 🧵
Bacterial and Fungal Contributions to Carbon Sequestration in Agroecosystems
This paper reviews the current knowledge of microbial processes affecting C sequestration in agroecosystems. The microbial contribution to soil C storage is directly related to microbial community dy...
doi.org