The decision in Louisiana v. Callais claims, "By 2004, the racial gap in voter registration and turnout had largely disappeared.... Black voters now participate in elections at similar rates as the rest of the electorate" (26–27). This is misleading: White turnout remains much higher than non-White.
Devin Caughey
@devincaughey.bsky.social
Political science professor at MIT
New piece from me @chriswarshaw.bsky.social , @devincaughey.bsky.social , and Bernard Fraga. Story: though we've entered a high turnout era, turnout gaps between racial groups have reemerged. Nerdy story: Using publicly available data, we've generated new, reliable turnout estimates over time.
Helpful data on our current situation: www.cato.org/blog/politic...
Politically Motivated Violence Is Rare in the United States
The government can and should vigorously pursue justice for Kirk and all the others murdered by politically motivated terrorists, but it can and should do so without new political witch hunts, expande...
cato.org
(Trying the sort of thing that used to work on Twitter): Suppose you have panel data with a binary treatment and an outcome that indicates whether something has happened yet (e.g., whether a policy has been passed). How would you estimate treatment effects? 1/2 #polisky
Currently in FirstView: “MODGIRT: Multidimensional Dynamic Scaling of Aggregate Survey Data” by Elissa Berwick and @devincaughey.bsky.social. While traditional public opinion models are restricted to unidimensional latent traits, MODGIRT allows for a multidimensional structure of preferences.
100 years ago Saturday the NYT ran a story that did not hold up well at all. www.nytimes.com/1924/12/21/a...
Three positions at MIT between social sciences (broadly considered) and computing. For two (Sloan and Urban Studies & Planning) apply ASAP as review of applications has begun.
Couple more MIT ones... first, a TT line on the "social, economic, and ethical implications of computing and networks, with specific focus on the Future of Work and the evolving interface between Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Human Interaction" apply.interfolio.com/156476
What makes a great comic strip work? For the week of Halloween, an appreciative breakdown of a classic monster tale from Gary Larson’s The Far Side, with more in-depth critical analysis than you probably want or would think possible!
Cartoon Critic #1: A Shocktober “The Far Side” commentary
(Gary Larson’s tragic tale of Edgar, a werewolf, and an obnoxious tie)
greydanus.substack.com
Coming in 2024! Cover art day is a good day. There are also blurbs and you can even order a copy: tinyurl.com/4e35mjef Intro chapter: www.ocf.berkeley.edu/~gailmard/em...
🚨Forthcoming Must Read!!! The Political Development of American Debt Relief Emily Zackin and Chloe N. Thurston (@chloethurston.bsky.social) Available now for pre-order, May 2024 UChicago Press Polisky press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...
How has legislative attention to race changed over time? Dramatic growth in racialized words in legislation, but concentrated in symbolic resolutions, not substantive bills drive.google.com/file/d/11WPw... - new JMP from Amber Mackey (on poli sci market from Penn, MIT predoc)