Javier Martínez-Cantó

@javiermcanto.bsky.social

César Nombela Research Fellow at @ipp-csic.bsky.social. Before: @europeatharvard.bsky.social, @ibei.org, @uni-konstanz.de, @uni-bamberg.de. Studying political representation, party politics & legislatures. www.javiermcanto.es

Es gibt Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. Aber es gibt auch Mecklenburg und Vorpommern. Wie wir heute Abend voraussichtlich wieder sehen werden, unterscheiden sich beide Regionen deutlich in ihrem Wahlverhalten. Woher kommen diese Unterschiede? Ein Thread mit Daten aus dem Kaiserreich bis heute. 🧵

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Unsere Prognosen für die drei Landtagswahlen im September sind ab sofort online. In Sachsen-Anhalt liegt die AfD in Umfragen bei über 40 Prozent — aber reicht es für eine absolute Mehrheit der Sitze? Die klassische Sonntagsfrage kann diese Frage nicht beantworten.

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Ukraine Foreign Affairs Minister: "We have detected intensive Russian propaganda campaign across Europe using pictures from Ceuta to sow destabilisation." Far-right from EU (& US!) falls with open eyes for hybrid threats from the weaponisation of migration, even fan the flames. #unity #solidarity

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It's not like the old owner of CBS (Paramount), Shari Redstone, was a saint. But she had an incentive to maintain the audience, advertisers, and some semblance of journalistic reputation. As a _common owner_, Ellison has greater incentive to cozy up to the administration even if it kills CBS.

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Bill Grueskin@bgrueskin.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Cecilia Vega describes what life at 60 Minutes was like under Bari Weiss, in the weeks before CBS fired her. Short version: One of the most disastrous debuts in modern journalism history. Via @oliverdarcy.bsky.social www.status.news/p/cecilia-ve...

On a separate piece about Donald
Trump's Irag War, just three weeks into the conflict, Vega said she was told to introduce the story by saying, "Who is winning the war? Iran is totally outgunned by the United States and Israel." Vega called it an "administration talking point" used by the White House as it contended it was winning the war, which continues to rage months later without an end in sight.

🚨 New paper! Does social integration change how minorities vote? Classic theories say yes: voting patterns should converge with the majority. But looking at Muslim Turks in Germany, we found the exact opposite. A thread on the integration puzzle 👇

The Blackness scale might be one of my favorite parts of the paper. People often talk about identity as continuous (“She’s Black, but she ain’t Black Black”), so we developed a way to capture that perception. We then estimate how much different traits predict those ratings.

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Hakeem Jefferson@hakeemjefferson.bsky.social · 6mo ago

One of the measures in the paper is a Blackness scale that asks respondents to place profiles along a continuum from 0 (not at all Black) to 10 (very Black). Perhaps inspired by a 2007 Saturday Night Live sketch that introduced its own “Blackness Scale” in the context of Barack Obama’s candidacy.

Two male actors portray Al Sharpton and Jesse Jackson on the Saturday Night Live “Weekend Update” set, seated behind a news desk. One holds a poster labeled “Blackness Scale,” with a vertical gradient from green at the bottom to red at the top. Small photos of various public figures are placed along the scale at different points, implying different degrees of “Blackness.” The graphic is presented satirically, while both characters maintain serious expressions.